No, Alanyaspor have taken 23 points over their last 20 Super Lig games, within 0.28 of the 22.72 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Alanyaspor create 1.07 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 21.39 in all, and have scored 25 goals from those chances, 3.61 more than that xG would expect.
Alanyaspor allow 1.52 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 30.42 in all, and have conceded 25 goals from those chances, 5.42 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Ruan has the most expected goals (xG) for Alanyaspor over their last 20 Super Lig games, 2.71 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Ui-jo Hwang is next with 2.37 xG.
Alanyaspor's results and their chances agree, within 0.3 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 21.39 | 25 | +3.61 | 30.42 | 25 | +5.42 | 22.72 | 23 | +0.28 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.80 | 12 | +0.20 | 17.70 | 12 | +5.70 | 10.71 | 15 | +4.29 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.84 | 5 | -1.84 | 10.48 | 6 | +4.48 | 5.56 | 8 | +2.44 |
| Home | 9 | 11.95 | 15 | +3.05 | 11.77 | 9 | +2.77 | 12.66 | 13 | +0.34 |
| Away | 11 | 9.44 | 10 | +0.56 | 18.65 | 16 | +2.65 | 10.06 | 10 | -0.06 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (A) | 3-0 | 0.90 | 4.46 | 0.14 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Super Lig | Erzurumspor (H) | 0-0 | 1.08 | 1.54 | 1.05 | 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | Super Lig | Çorum FK (A) | 1-2 | 1.17 | 1.58 | 1.10 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Super Lig | Göztepe (H) | 2-2 | 2.19 | 1.81 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 7 Sep | Super Lig | Rizespor (A) | 0-1 | 1.50 | 1.09 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (A) | 2-1 | 0.70 | 1.70 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (H) | 1-0 | 0.51 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | Gaziantep (A) | 1-1 | 1.02 | 1.38 | 1.10 | 1 | L |
| 16 May | Super Lig | Fatih Karagümrük (A) | 2-1 | 0.84 | 1.67 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Kayserispor (H) | 3-1 | 1.89 | 1.61 | 1.56 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Super Lig | Antalyaspor (A) | 0-0 | 0.85 | 0.29 | 1.83 | 1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Super Lig | Samsunspor (H) | 2-3 | 1.16 | 1.26 | 1.29 | 0 | L |
| 19 Apr | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (A) | 1-0 | 0.25 | 1.34 | 0.48 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (H) | 1-1 | 1.00 | 1.76 | 0.87 | 1 | L |
| 4 Apr | Super Lig | Gaziantep (A) | 1-1 | 0.74 | 0.97 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 18 Mar | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 5-0 | 0.98 | 0.25 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Super Lig | Göztepe (A) | 2-2 | 0.67 | 2.22 | 0.47 | 1 | L |
| 9 Mar | Super Lig | Gençler (H) | 0-0 | 1.86 | 0.12 | 2.60 | 1 | W |
| 28 Feb | Super Lig | Galatasaray (A) | 3-1 | 0.80 | 1.95 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Super Lig | Başakşehir (H) | 1-2 | 1.28 | 2.56 | 0.70 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İbrahim Kaya | midfielder | 18 | 737 | 1.38 | 4 | +2.62 | 0.17 |
| Florent Hadergjonaj | midfielder | 19 | 1710 | 1.28 | 3 | +1.72 | 0.07 |
| Nuno Lima | defender | 19 | 1702 | 0.35 | 2 | +1.65 | 0.02 |
| Meschack Elia | midfielder | 15 | 744 | 1.59 | 3 | +1.41 | 0.19 |
| Arda Usluoğlu | attacker | 7 | 387 | 1.14 | 2 | +0.86 | 0.27 |
| Gaius Makouta | midfielder | 20 | 1574 | 1.51 | 2 | +0.49 | 0.09 |
| Paolo Fernandes | attacker | 4 | 215 | 0.68 | 1 | +0.32 | 0.28 |
| Güven Yalçın | attacker | 12 | 418 | 1.85 | 2 | +0.15 | 0.40 |
| Nicolas Janvier | midfielder | 11 | 889 | 0.88 | 1 | +0.12 | 0.09 |
| Ianis Hagi | midfielder | 16 | 539 | 0.95 | 1 | +0.05 | 0.16 |
| O. Ben Ali | attacker | 6 | 167 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.28 |
| Steve Mounié | attacker | 9 | 439 | 1.82 | 1 | -0.82 | 0.37 |
| Ui-jo Hwang | midfielder | 20 | 1386 | 2.37 | 1 | -1.37 | 0.15 |
| Ruan | midfielder | 19 | 1563 | 2.71 | 1 | -1.71 | 0.16 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | 14.4 | 9 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 11.2 | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 8 | 17.1 | 17 | 7.9 | 11 | 16.1 | 19 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 6.4 | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 9.6 | 12 | 10.6 | 9 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Amed SK | 8 | 13.8 | 18 | 7.1 | 9 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 8.8 | 7 | 16.8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 12.8 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.9 | 6 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 12 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 8 | 12.9 | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 | Gaziantep F.K. | 8 | 9.3 | 8 | 13.1 | 12 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 8 | 10.1 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 8 | 15.7 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 22 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 8 | 8.1 | 4 | 9.8 | 9 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 8 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.8 | 19 | 10.5 | 4 | -6.5 |