Aalesund xG 2026

Aalesund xG Questions

Are Aalesund overperforming their xG this season?

No, Aalesund have taken 24 points over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, within 1.59 of the 25.59 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.

What is Aalesund's xG per game this season?

Aalesund create 1.61 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 37.07 in all, and have scored 39 goals from those chances, 1.93 more than that xG would expect.

What is Aalesund's xGA per game this season?

Aalesund allow 2.18 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 50.21 in all, and have conceded 51 goals from those chances, 0.79 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Aalesund this season?

Marcus Haagensen Reed has the most expected goals (xG) for Aalesund over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 5.48 xG in 13 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Kristian Lonebu is next with 4.22 xG.

Aalesund expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 23
Expected goals (xG): 37.07
Goals scored: 39
Goals minus xG: +1.93
Expected goals against (xGA): 50.21
Goals conceded: 51
xGA minus goals conceded: -0.79
Expected points (xPts): 25.59
Points: 24
Points minus xPts: -1.59
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Aalesund overperforming their expected goals?

Aalesund's results and their chances agree, within 1.6 points of xPts over 23 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Next opponent: Sarpsborg 08 expected goals

Games: 23
Sarpsborg 08 xG per game: 1.69
Sarpsborg 08 xGA per game: 1.68
Points minus xPts: -4.23
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Aalesund results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	23	37.07	39	+1.93	50.21	51	-0.79	25.59	24	-1.59
Last 10	10	18.27	21	+2.73	21.92	23	-1.08	12.07	12	-0.07
Last 5	5	9.72	11	+1.28	9.13	8	+1.13	7.26	9	+1.74
Home	12	22.12	24	+1.88	26.36	30	-3.64	14.95	12	-2.95
Away	11	14.95	15	+0.05	23.85	21	+2.85	10.64	12	+1.36

Aalesund expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 Oct	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (A)	1-4	1.93	1.58	1.60	3	W
11 Oct	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (H)	2-4	2.24	2.25	1.40	0	L
19 Sep	Eliteserien	Molde (A)	1-2	1.30	1.96	0.98	3	L
13 Sep	Eliteserien	KFUM (A)	2-1	1.62	1.55	1.42	0	W
4 Sep	Eliteserien	Start (H)	2-0	2.63	1.79	1.86	3	W
30 Aug	Eliteserien	Viking (A)	2-1	1.17	2.56	0.64	0	L
16 Aug	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (H)	5-5	2.12	3.48	0.78	1	L
9 Aug	Eliteserien	HamKam (A)	1-1	1.02	2.28	0.66	1	L
2 Aug	Eliteserien	Tromsø (H)	2-6	2.46	1.61	1.88	0	W
26 Jul	Eliteserien	Viking (H)	1-1	1.78	2.86	0.85	1	L
16 Jul	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (A)	6-1	1.84	2.38	1.10	0	L
11 Jul	Eliteserien	Molde (H)	2-2	0.69	2.13	0.51	1	L
29 May	Eliteserien	HamKam (H)	2-2	1.94	2.16	1.27	1	L
25 May	Eliteserien	Tromsø (A)	1-1	1.58	1.90	1.19	1	L
20 May	Eliteserien	Brann (H)	2-1	2.94	1.47	2.18	3	W
16 May	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (A)	2-3	1.26	1.02	1.53	3	W
3 May	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (A)	1-0	1.14	2.50	0.64	0	L
26 Apr	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (H)	1-1	1.14	1.12	1.37	1	W
18 Apr	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (A)	3-0	0.85	3.42	0.26	0	L
12 Apr	Eliteserien	KFUM (H)	2-2	1.51	2.90	0.69	1	L
7 Apr	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (H)	2-3	1.35	0.74	1.82	0	W
21 Mar	Eliteserien	Start (A)	1-1	1.24	2.70	0.62	1	L
15 Mar	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (H)	1-3	1.32	3.85	0.34	0	L

Aalesund players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Mathias Christensen	midfielder	22	1822	3.84	9	+5.16	0.19
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch	attacker	21	1309	2.48	5	+2.52	0.17
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen	midfielder	21	1842	2.89	4	+1.11	0.14
Kristian Lonebu	attacker	16	1273	4.22	5	+0.78	0.30
J. Ørsahl	defender	13	561	0.42	1	+0.58	0.07
Marcus Haagensen Reed	attacker	13	948	5.48	6	+0.52	0.52
I. Djantou	attacker	11	238	0.91	1	+0.09	0.35
I. Skotheim	attacker	5	365	1.28	1	-0.28	0.32
Henrik Melland	midfielder	14	799	3.39	3	-0.39	0.38
E. Engqvist	defender	12	733	0.56	0	-0.56	0.07
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen	defender	14	1176	0.60	0	-0.60	0.05
E. Myrlid	attacker	17	237	0.77	0	-0.77	0.29
Hakon Butli Hammer	midfielder	16	721	1.14	0	-1.14	0.14
Uba Charles	defender	22	1709	2.27	1	-1.27	0.12
Marius Andresen	defender	15	905	1.28	0	-1.28	0.13
Kristoffer Nessø	midfielder	22	1317	1.41	0	-1.41	0.10
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson	midfielder	11	529	1.83	0	-1.83	0.31

Eliteserien 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Viking	23	55.1	59	32.8	22	43.7	56	+12.3
2	KFUM	23	28.1	28	42.9	37	23.4	29	+5.6
3	Fredrikstad	23	28.6	28	43.5	36	24.1	29	+4.9
4	Lillestrøm	23	37.7	32	38.7	31	31.4	36	+4.6
5	Bodø / Glimt	23	65.1	58	21.8	20	52.5	56	+3.5
6	Tromsø	23	39.4	42	32.4	31	37.4	40	+2.6
7	Rosenborg	23	42.7	43	35	31	37	37	0
8	HamKam	23	31.8	33	42.9	48	26	26	-0
9	Molde	23	48.5	52	32.4	35	40.4	40	-0.4
10	Aalesund	23	37.1	39	50.2	51	25.6	24	-1.6
11	Sandefjord	23	30.4	22	43.2	30	25.9	24	-1.9
12	Brann	23	43.5	40	41.4	37	33	29	-4
13	Sarpsborg 08	23	39	28	38.6	34	32.2	28	-4.2
14	Kristiansund	23	27.6	23	47	47	23.8	19	-4.8
15	Vålerenga	23	42.2	38	42.1	46	32.1	26	-6.1
16	Start	23	34.9	25	46.5	54	26.2	16	-10.2

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