Derby della Capitale to open the Serie A Sunday slate. Roma vs Lazio at 10:00 – and if that doesn’t get you out of bed, nothing will. Ten fixtures across the day and Statz has some monster projections. Let’s go through them.
The Derby della Capitale. Roma project 1.84 goals at home vs Lazio’s 0.79. Roma win this 60.41% of the time. BTTS at 45.93% – Lazio can’t be written off for a goal. Over 2.5 sits at 48.90%. This is a proper derby so form goes out the window, but the numbers heavily favour Roma. Watch for the atmosphere to play a part in the first half.
Napoli project 1.84 goals vs Pisa’s 0.85. The Neapolitans win 59.11% of the time. Clean sheet Napoli at a healthy 42.63% – this looks like a controlled away win for Napoli.
Juventus at home project 2.21 goals vs Fiorentina’s 0.82. Juve win 67.33%. Over 2.5 at 58.48% – Juve’s attacking output is significant here. A strong home win projection.
Genoa project 1.22 goals, Milan 1.48. Milan win 42.08%. BTTS at 54.34% – both teams expected to score in what should be an open game.
Como’s numbers are remarkable – 2.23 goals projected vs Parma’s 0.54. Como win 74.64%. Clean sheet probability for Como at 58.27%. This looks like a comfortable home win.
The standout number of the whole day. Inter project 2.77 goals at the San Siro vs Verona’s 0.75. Inter win 78.28%. Over 2.5 at 68.28% – if you’re building an acca, Inter over 2.5 total goals looks seriously attractive. This is a side that can turn on the style at home.
Atalanta project 1.79 goals vs Bologna’s 1.01. Atalanta win 53.9%. BTTS at 52.8% – Bologna can contribute in open games. A competitive fixture but Atalanta’s home advantage shows in the projections.
Udinese project 1.61 goals vs Cremonese’s 0.95. Udinese win 50.76% – a narrow home favourite projection.
Sassuolo project 1.53 goals vs Lecce’s 0.97. Sassuolo win 48.39% – tight numbers but the home side edge it.
The tightest game of the day. Cagliari 1.28 goals vs Torino 1.21. The draw sits at 29.59% – this one could genuinely go any way.
Full Serie A projections and the Serie A competition page on Statz have everything you need before placing.