The numbers do not lie. Nice host PSG in Ligue 1 on Saturday and the Statz model is about as one-sided as it gets.
Nice have managed just one win in their last five – L D L L W. That is bleak. PSG come in at W L W W L, which looks inconsistent on paper, but the underlying numbers tell a very different story.
This is about as lopsided as it gets in Ligue 1:
PSG are projected to generate nearly double the shots of Nice – 15.63 vs 7.72. The expected goals gap is enormous: 2.41 to 0.91. The model is basically laughing at Nice here.
Nice have one win in five. PSG’s projections are monster numbers even by their own standards. There is no credible case for backing the home side here.
The data gives you two very clean angles:
Tips:
– PSG to Win – the projections are not close
– Over 2.5 Goals – PSG alone are projected at 2.41, and Nice will have moments
– PSG -1 Asian Handicap if you want more juice
Check the Nice vs PSG H2H page on Statz for live projections and lineup data.