Ten La Liga fixtures on Sunday 17 May – and the headline act is Barcelona vs Betis at 19:15 with a projected 2.68 goals for the Catalans. Statz gives that game a 72.16% chance of going over 2.5. That’s where this preview ends, but there’s plenty to get through before we get there.
Real Madrid are away at the Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan – and Statz gives them a 46.27% chance of taking all three points. Madrid project 1.57 goals vs Sevilla’s 1.14. BTTS sits at 53.84% – it’s likely both teams score here. Sevilla keep a clean sheet just 20.71% of the time, Madrid 32.10%. The draw stands at 27.36%, making this one genuinely open. Over 2.5 is a coin flip at 50.91%.
Sociedad project 1.54 goals, Valencia 1.15. Sociedad take the win 44.71% of the time. BTTS at 53.66% suggests goals are likely here too.
A tight one. Oviedo 1.24 goals projected, Alaves 1.38. Alaves shade it with a 39.02% win projection. BTTS at 53.16% – expect both teams to hit the net despite the low projections.
Rayo project 1.48 goals, Villarreal 1.26. Rayo win 40.73%. BTTS at 55.43% is the highest of the early kick-offs. Both teams can score here.
Osasuna lead the projections at 1.59 goals vs Espanyol’s 0.92. Osasuna win 51.06% – they’re the clearest home favourite in the early batch.
Levante project 1.68 goals vs Mallorca’s 1.14. Levante win 48.03%. BTTS at 55.41% makes this another goals game.
Low scoring projected – Elche 1.16, Getafe 0.90. The draw comes in at 32.75%. If you’re looking for a tight, scrappy 90 minutes, this is your game.
Atletico Madrid at home. The numbers back them – 1.77 goals projected vs Girona’s 1.02. Atletico win 53.08% of the time. The clean sheet angle is interesting at 36.11% – Diego Simeone’s side know how to grind out results at the Metropolitano.
Athletic Club project 1.50 goals vs Celta’s 1.06. Athletic win 45.45% – they’re the slight favourites at home in the Basque Country.
Save this one for last. Barcelona project 2.68 goals at the Nou Camp – that is enormous. Betis project 1.06. Barca win 70.38%. Over 2.5 is a 72.16% probability. BTTS at 60.88% – even Betis are expected to find the net. This is the standout of the day by a distance.
Check all La Liga fixture projections and the La Liga competition page on Statz for the full picture before you place.