Updated 5 November 2026.
Milton Keynes Dons welcome Swindon Town to Stadium mk on Saturday 7 November, with the FA Cup 1st Round tie kicking off at 3pm. The hosts have scored 11 goals in their last three league games, and we make them clear favourites, at 62% to win in 90 minutes.
MK Dons play in League One, a division above Swindon in League Two, and have won four of their last five league games to Swindon's two.
MK Dons have won four of their last five league games, scoring 13 goals and conceding five, with 11 of those goals in the last three. They beat Doncaster 6-1 on 31 October, Bromley 4-1 four days earlier and won 1-0 at Stevenage the weekend before that. The one defeat in the last five was 2-0 at Blackpool on 20 October, and the run began with a 2-1 home win over Luton on 17 October. Across the last ten they have won four, drawn three and lost three, and all four wins came in the last five games.
We project 1.99 goals for MK Dons, from 15.21 shots, 5.44 of them on target, against 0.91 goals and 2.87 shots on target for Swindon.
Swindon are unbeaten in their last four league games, though only two of those were wins. They beat Rotherham 2-1 on 31 October and drew 0-0 at Bristol Rovers a week before. Before that came a 3-1 win at Barnet and a 1-1 draw with Walsall, and the run began after a 1-0 home defeat to Crewe on 10 October.
Across the last ten league games Swindon have won three, drawn three and lost four. Swindon scored six and conceded four in their last five. We project Swindon for 7.89 shots and 1.75 yellow cards, to 15.21 shots and 1.26 yellow cards for MK Dons, who are also projected 6.25 corners to Swindon's 3.87.
Milton Keynes Dons possible starting lineup:
Dennis; Sanders, Ekpiteta, Goode; Silvera, Wintle, Gilbey, Crowley; Campbell, Collins; Nombe
Swindon Town possible starting lineup:
Ripley; Majekodunmi, Kirkman, Negru, Clark; Virtue-Thick, Butler, Thomson; Snowdon, Nichols, Drinan
Daniel Crowley wears number 7 in the MK Dons possible starting lineup, and the side has scored 11 goals in its last three league games.
S. Nombe leads the line for the hosts, with A. Collins playing off him.
For Swindon, Tom Nichols and Aaron Drinan are in the front line. Connor Ripley is in goal against a home side we project at 5.44 shots on target.
Milton Keynes Dons are the favourites at 1.50 with Ladbrokes, and we make them 62% to win in 90 minutes. Both sides to score is 1.75 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.57 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| MK Dons win | 1.50 (Ladbrokes) | 62% |
| Draw | 4.50 (bet365) | 22% |
| Swindon win | 6.00 (Midnite) | 16% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (bet365) | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 (bet365) | 55% |
We predict a 2-0 win for MK Dons, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, with 1-1, 1-0 and 2-1 each at 10%. MK Dons keep a clean sheet in 40% of our simulations and Swindon in 14%.
Over 1.5 goals is 1.17 at bet365, and we make that 79%.
MK Dons vs Swindon Town kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Stadium mk, in the 1st Round of the 2026/27 FA Cup. MK Dons play in League One and Swindon in League Two, and we make MK Dons 62% to win in 90 minutes.
We predict a 2-0 win for Milton Keynes Dons over Swindon Town in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, with a 62% chance of a home win in 90 minutes. We give the draw 22% and Swindon 16%.
Milton Keynes Dons are the favourites against Swindon Town in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, at 1.50 with Ladbrokes against 6.00 for Swindon with Midnite. We give the hosts a 62% chance of winning in 90 minutes.
We give both teams to score a 52% chance in MK Dons vs Swindon in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, with bet365 at 1.75. Swindon Town are projected for 0.91 goals, and Milton Keynes Dons for 1.99 in the tie.
Milton Keynes Dons have won 4 of their last 5 League One games, scoring 11 goals in their last 3 ahead of this 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie against Swindon. Their most recent result was a 6-1 win over Doncaster on 31 October 2026.
Predicted lineups for MK Dons vs Swindon in the 2026/27 FA Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026: Milton Keynes Dons may start Dennis; Sanders, Ekpiteta, Goode; Silvera, Wintle, Gilbey, Crowley; Campbell, Collins; Nombe. Swindon Town may start Ripley; Majekodunmi, Kirkman, Negru, Clark; Virtue-Thick, Butler, Thomson; Snowdon, Nichols, Drinan.