Updated 5 November 2026.
Trabzonspor welcome SC Freiburg to Papara Park on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 17:45 UK, in the Europa Conference League league stage. The hosts have won both of their European games and sit 4th of 36, while Freiburg are 18th after a win and a defeat. Trabzonspor have won seven in a row in all competitions, while Freiburg have lost three of their last five games.
Trabzonspor are on six points from two, with six goals scored and two conceded. They opened with a 4-2 win at KuPS and followed it with a 2-0 home win over Hearts. Domestically they have kept winning: a 2-0 win over Beşiktaş, a 4-3 win at Rizespor and a 2-0 win over Gaziantep last weekend. Their goals record is the 4th most in European competition this season, at three a game, and they have kept a clean sheet in half of their games, the 9th highest rate.
Freiburg are 18th in the league stage table on three points, with three scored and five conceded. They beat Jablonec 3-2 at home, then lost 3-0 at Monaco. In the Bundesliga they lost 2-1 at Leverkusen and 3-1 at home to Bayern, before a 2-1 win at Augsburg on 31 October.
Freiburg's games have produced goals. They have fired the 8th most shots on target and won the 12th most corners, and every one of their games has gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in European competition this season. Both teams have scored in 75% of their games, the 41st highest rate. At the back they concede 1.75 a game, the 66th most, and have not kept a clean sheet.
Trabzonspor possible starting lineup:
Onana; Pina, Savic, Nwaiwu, Eskihellaç; Fabinho, Kabasakal; Muci, Salah, Saviolo; Onuachu
SC Freiburg possible starting lineup:
Backhaus; Kübler, Lienhart, Ginter, Makengo; Eggestein, Engelhardt, Beste; Suzuki, Scherhant, Matanovic
Mohamed Salah has had a shot on target in four of his last five games, with three on target in one of them and two in another, and he is 1.29 at bet365 to get one here. Ernest Muci has done the same in four of his last five and is 1.67 at bet365.
For Freiburg, Lukas Kübler has had a shot in four of his last five, including five in one game, and is 1.44 at bet365 to have one again. Maximilian Eggestein has had a shot in four of his last five and is 1.20 at bet365.
A longer shot is Matthias Ginter, whom our model has 2nd likeliest in the match to have two or more shots, at 3.50.
We back Freiburg by the narrowest of margins at 39% to win, and they are 2.70 at bet365. Trabzonspor are 2.45 at Coral and the draw is 3.75 at Midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 2.45 (Coral) | 36% |
| Draw | 3.75 (Midnite) | 25% |
| Freiburg win | 2.70 (bet365) | 39% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 (bet365) | 59% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 11%, though we make Freiburg slightly more likely to win. We put both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%, with Freiburg projected 1.58 goals to Trabzonspor's 1.49. We give Trabzonspor a 21% chance of a clean sheet and Freiburg 23%.
Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg in the 2026 Europa Conference League league stage kicks off at 17:45 UK on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Papara Park. It is the third league-stage game for both clubs, with Trabzonspor 4th of 36 on 6 points and Freiburg 18th on 3.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg in the 2026-27 Europa Conference League, the likeliest single score at 11%, though we make Freiburg slightly more likely to win at 39% against 36%.
Freiburg are narrow favourites in our model at 39% to win, against 36% for Trabzonspor and 25% for a draw in this 2026-27 Europa Conference League league stage game. The bookmakers have Trabzonspor at 2.45 and Freiburg at 2.70.
We give both teams to score a 62% chance in Trabzonspor vs Freiburg in the 2026-27 Europa Conference League, and over 2.5 goals 59%. Freiburg have gone over 2.5 goals in both of their league-stage games so far.
Before Trabzonspor vs Freiburg, Trabzonspor are 4th of 36 on 6 points from 2 games in the 2026-27 Europa Conference League league stage, while Freiburg are 18th on 3 points after one win and one defeat.
Ahead of Trabzonspor vs Freiburg in the 2026-27 Europa Conference League, Mohamed Salah and Ernest Muci have each had a shot on target in 4 of their last 5 games for Trabzonspor. For Freiburg, Lukas Kübler and Maximilian Eggestein have each had a shot in 4 of 5.
For Trabzonspor vs Freiburg in the 2026-27 Europa Conference League (17:45 UK, Thursday 5 November), our predicted lineup has Onana in goal and Salah, Muci and Onuachu in attack for Trabzonspor, with Backhaus in goal and Suzuki, Scherhant and Matanovic leading the line for Freiburg.