Updated 4 November 2026.
Real Sociedad host Olympique Lyonnais at the Anoeta Stadium on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 17:45 UK, in the Europa League league stage. Sociedad have scored eight in three European games and Lyon have conceded in all three of theirs, so goals look likely on both sides.
Sociedad are 14th on 4 points and Lyon are 13th on 6, so the gap between them is small. A win for either side would move them up the table. Sociedad's attack meets a Lyon defence that has conceded 6 in three games.
Sociedad drew 1-1 away at Union SG, then won 6-0 at Lillestrøm on 22 October. That 6-0 is the main reason they are scoring 2.67 goals a game in this competition, the 3rd most. They have also conceded just 1 a game, the 17th fewest. In La Liga they won 5-2 at Málaga and 2-1 at home to Levante, before losing 2-1 at Athletic Club last Sunday. That Athletic defeat followed three wins and a draw in their previous four games.
Lyon sit one place above them in the Europa League table with two wins from three. They beat Palace 3-2 at home, then lost 3-0 at Hoffenheim on 22 October. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 so far, and have not kept a clean sheet yet. Every one of their three games has finished over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in the competition. Domestically it has been mixed: a 2-1 win over Nice, a 2-0 defeat at PSG and a 2-0 home win over Angers last weekend.
Both teams scored in two of Sociedad's three European games and two of Lyon's three. We give both teams to score a 63% chance here. Lyon commit only 7.33 fouls a game, the 2nd fewest in the competition.
Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Marrero; Zubeldia, Sarr, MartÃn, Gómez; Kubo, Gorrotxategi, Soler, Guedes; Sucic, Oyarzabal
Olympique Lyonnais possible starting lineup:
Greif; Abner, Kluivert, Bacher, Athekame; Tolisso, Bidstrup, Tessmann; Duranville, Nakamura, Boudache
Keito Nakamura has had 2 or more shots in each of Lyon's three European games and is 1.53 at bet365 to do it again.
Jon MartÃn has made 2 or more tackles in all three Europa League games, averaging 2.7, and is 1.67 at bet365 to make it four. Mikel Oyarzabal and Luka Sucic have each had a shot in all three games, both averaging 1.7.
Right-back Zachary Athekame has made 2 or more tackles in each of his last five games, with a high of 5 and an average of 3.6, and he is 1.40 at bet365 to make 2+ again.
We back Real Sociedad at 1.65 with bet365, and our model makes them the likelier winner at 44%. A draw is firmly in play at 24%, with Lyon at 32% (4.80 at Coral).
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad win | 1.65 (bet365) | 44% |
| Draw | 4.20 (Ladbrokes) | 24% |
| Olympique Lyonnais win | 4.80 (Coral) | 32% |
| Both teams to score | 1.60 (Ladbrokes) | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 (bet365) | 61% |
We project 1.73 goals for Sociedad against 1.44 for Lyon. 1-1 is the likeliest score at 11%, though we make Real Sociedad more likely to win, and 2-1 to the hosts is next at 9%.
Our bet builder is Carlos Soler 1+ shots (1.29 at bet365), Jon MartÃn 2+ tackles (1.67), Zachary Athekame 2+ tackles (1.40) and Felix Bacher 1+ tackles (1.20). Soler has had a shot in each of his last five games, Athekame has made 2+ tackles in all five, and Bacher has made a tackle in four of five.
Statz prediction: Real Sociedad 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais.
Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais in the Europa League league stage kicks off at 17:45 UK on Thursday 5 November 2026 at the Anoeta Stadium. It is a 2026-27 league stage fixture between two sides in the middle of the table.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais in the 2026-27 Europa League, with that scoreline given an 11% chance. We still make Real Sociedad the likelier winner at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Olympique Lyonnais.
Real Sociedad are favourites at 1.65 with bet365 for the 2026-27 Europa League game against Olympique Lyonnais on 5 November. Lyon are 4.80 at Coral and the draw is 4.20 with Ladbrokes, with our model giving Sociedad a 44% chance.
We give both teams to score a 63% chance in Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais in the 2026-27 Europa League. Lyon have conceded in all 3 league stage games, and Sociedad have scored in all 3. The best price on both teams to score is 1.60 at Ladbrokes.
Real Sociedad are 14th in the 2026-27 Europa League table after 3 games, on 4 points, while Olympique Lyonnais are 13th on 6 points. Lyon have scored 5 and conceded 6, and Sociedad have scored 8 and conceded 3.
Keito Nakamura has had 2 or more shots in all 3 of Lyon's 2026-27 Europa League games, averaging 2 a game. He is 1.53 at bet365 to take 2+ shots at the Anoeta Stadium on 5 November.
For the 2026-27 Europa League game on 5 November, Real Sociedad are predicted to start Marrero, Zubeldia, Sarr, MartÃn, Gómez, Kubo, Gorrotxategi, Soler, Guedes, Sucic and Oyarzabal. Olympique Lyonnais are predicted to start Greif, Abner, Kluivert, Bacher, Athekame, Tolisso, Bidstrup, Tessmann, Duranville, Nakamura and Boudache.