Updated 4 November 2026.
Celtic host Beşiktaş at Celtic Park on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 8pm UK, in the Europa League league stage. The home side have lost all three of their games in the competition and sit 35th of 36 with no points and a goals record of 3 for and 9 against. Beşiktaş are unbeaten in the competition, 8th with 7 points from two wins and a draw.
Our model makes Celtic v Beşiktaş a close call, projecting 1.52 goals for Celtic and 1.57 for Beşiktaş.
Celtic have conceded three a game in the Europa League, the 9th most of the 76 teams we rank, and both teams have scored in all three of their games. The latest defeat was 1-2 at home to Celta on 22 October. Domestic form has been up and down: a 7-1 win over Hearts, a 2-1 win at Hibernian, a 2-2 draw with Dundee Utd, and then a 2-0 loss at Falkirk last time out.
Beşiktaş have the better numbers at both ends. They score 1.89 a game, the 15th most, and concede 0.67, the 8th fewest. They have kept a clean sheet in 56% of games, the 11th highest. Their last five have been mixed: a 3-2 win at Hoffenheim, a 2-0 defeat at Trabzonspor, a 2-2 draw with Palace, a 2-0 win over Başakşehir and a 2-2 draw at Kasımpaşa on 1 November.
Celtic do carry threat. They average 5 shots on target, the 23rd most, and 6.33 corners, the 14th most.
Celtic possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Donovan, Carter-Vickers, Scales, Tierney; McGregor, Baur; Hassan, Nygren, Osmand; Durán
Beşiktaş possible starting lineup:
Nübel; Yılmaz, Topçu, Agbadou, Murillo; Özcan, Olaitan, Ndidi; Trossard, Cerny; Vlahović
Mika Baur has had a shot on target in each of Celtic's three Europa League games, and he is 2.25 at bet365 to make it four. He has also had at least one shot in all three, at 1.30 with Ladbrokes.
Camilo Durán has the same three-game run of shots on target, at 1.40 with bet365, and averages 1.3 on target a game over that spell. Across his last five he has hit the target every time.
Kieran Tierney has made two or more tackles in three straight games, averaging three, and is 1.55 at BoyleSports to keep that going.
Colby Donovan has made three or more tackles in three straight, averaging four a game, and is 1.80 at BoyleSports.
For Beşiktaş, Emmanuel Agbadou has made 2+ tackles in each of his last five games, averaging 2.6, and is 1.67 at bet365 to do it again. Dušan Vlahović has had a shot on target in each of his last five, at 1.25 with Ladbrokes.
We back a Beşiktaş win, available at 2.25 with Ladbrokes, with the draw at 3.80 with Coral and a Celtic win at 3.00 with bet365. We put Beşiktaş at 39%, Celtic at 36% and the draw at 25%, so it is tight. Both teams to score is 1.48 with Coral, and we give it a 62% chance.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic win | 3.00 (bet365) | 36% |
| Draw | 3.80 (Coral) | 25% |
| Beşiktaş win | 2.25 (Ladbrokes) | 39% |
| Both teams to score | 1.48 (Coral) | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 (bet365) | 60% |
Our prediction is 1-1, the likeliest single score at 11%, though we make Beşiktaş slightly more likely to win the game. We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
On the player markets, we project 5.22 shots on target for Celtic and 4.80 for Beşiktaş.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş in the 2026-27 Europa League league stage kicks off at 8pm UK on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Celtic Park. Celtic are 35th of 36 with 0 points from 3 games, Beşiktaş are 8th with 7, and we make it 39% Beşiktaş, 25% draw and 36% Celtic.
Our prediction for Celtic vs Beşiktaş in the 2026-27 Europa League is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest score at 11%, though we give Beşiktaş a 39% chance of winning to Celtic's 36%.
Beşiktaş are slight favourites for the 2026-27 Europa League game at Celtic Park, at 2.25 with Ladbrokes against 3.00 with bet365 for a Celtic win, and we give them a 39% chance of victory to Celtic's 36%.
We give both teams to score in Celtic vs Beşiktaş a 62% chance in the 2026-27 Europa League, priced at 1.48 with Coral, and both sides have scored in all 3 of Celtic's matches in the competition.
Before Celtic vs Beşiktaş, Celtic are 35th of 36 in the 2026-27 Europa League with 0 points from 3 games, while Beşiktaş are 8th with 7 points after two wins and a draw.
Ahead of Celtic vs Beşiktaş in the 2026-27 Europa League, Mika Baur and Camilo Durán have each had a shot on target in 3 straight games for Celtic, and Kieran Tierney has made 2+ tackles in each of those 3 games.
Celtic's predicted XI for Celtic vs Beşiktaş in the 2026-27 Europa League on 5 November includes Johnstone, Carter-Vickers, Tierney, McGregor, Baur and Durán, while Beşiktaş are tipped to start Nübel, Topçu, Ndidi, Özcan and Trossard.