Updated 2 November 2026.
Porto host Napoli at the Estádio Do Dragão on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 8pm UK, in the Champions League league stage. Porto are 34th of 36 with no points from three games, and Napoli are 22nd with a single win. Porto have scored 2 and conceded 6 in those games, while Napoli have scored 5 and conceded 7.
Porto have lost all three of their Champions League games, scoring two and conceding six. The latest was a 1-0 home loss to PSV on 20 October, and before that a 3-2 defeat at Betis. They have won both league games since, 1-0 at Gil Vicente and then a 4-0 home win over Estoril on 31 October, and they have won seven of their last ten overall.
In the Champions League they average 0.67 goals a game, the 11th fewest, and their shots on target sit at 3 a game, the 17th fewest. They concede 2 a game, the 37th most.
Napoli score 1.67 a game, the 31st most, and both teams have scored in 67% of their Champions League matches, the 23rd highest rate. They beat Bodø / Glimt 4-3 on 20 October, then drew 3-3 with Roma, won 4-1 at Monza and lost 2-0 at Juventus on Sunday. No clean sheet in Europe yet: they concede 2.33 a game, the 22nd most.
Both sides take few corners in the Champions League, Porto at 1.67 a game (the 4th fewest) and Napoli at 2 (the 6th fewest). Napoli's card count is 2.67 a game, the 17th most.
Porto possible starting lineup:
Diogo Costa; Alberto Costa, Kiwior, Bednarek, Sanusi; Rosario, Froholdt; Pepê, Veiga, Sainz; Aghehowa
Napoli possible starting lineup:
Meret; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, MarÃn, Olivera; Anguissa, McTominay; Politano, De Bruyne, Lang; Lucca
Kevin De Bruyne. He has recorded a foul, a tackle and a shot in each of his last three games, and he is 1.30 at bet365 for a foul and 1.20 at Ladbrokes for a shot. He is also 2.38 for 2+ fouls.
Matteo Politano. He has had a shot in three straight games, averaging 1.7 a game, and he is 1.17 at Ladbrokes to make it four.
Gabri Veiga. Porto's attacking midfielder has had a shot in three straight games, averaging 1.7 a game, and has made a tackle in each of those three, averaging 2.7 tackles a game.
Alberto Costa. The right-back has had a shot in all five of his last five games and averages 1.4 a game. He is 1.50 at bet365 for a shot here. He has also committed a foul in three straight games.
Victor Froholdt. We make him the likeliest Porto player to commit 2+ fouls, and he is 2.38 for it.
We back Porto, who are 2.00 at Coral to win at home. Napoli are 3.75 at bet365 and the draw is 3.75 at Coral. Both teams to score is 1.62 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.73.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Porto win | 2.00 (Coral) | 44% |
| Draw | 3.75 (Coral) | 27% |
| Napoli win | 3.75 (bet365) | 29% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 (bet365) | 50% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%, though we make Porto the more likely winner at 44%. Our projection has Porto on 1.5 goals and Napoli on 1.16, with 1-0 and 2-1 the next most likely scores. We put over 1.5 goals at 75%, and it is 1.22 at bet365.
In the player markets, Alberto Costa has had a shot in all five of his last five and is 1.50 at bet365. Jan Bednarek has committed a foul in all five of his last five at 1.20. Pablo Rosario has had a shot in four of his last five and is 1.67 at bet365. For Napoli, Scott McTominay has made a tackle in four of his last five and is 1.20.
Porto vs Napoli kicks off at 8pm UK on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at the Estádio Do Dragão in the 2026/27 Champions League league stage. Porto are 34th of 36 on 0 points and Napoli are 22nd on 3 points after three games each.
We predict a 1-1 draw in Porto vs Napoli in the 2026/27 Champions League league stage, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%. Porto are still the likelier winners at 44%, against 29% for Napoli and 27% for the draw.
Porto are favourites for Porto vs Napoli in the 2026/27 Champions League league stage, and we give them a 44% chance of winning. Napoli are at 29% and the draw at 27% for the game at the Estádio Do Dragão on Wednesday 4 November.
We put both teams to score in Porto vs Napoli at 54% in the 2026/27 Champions League league stage. Both teams have scored in 67% of Napoli's three Champions League games this season, against 33% of Porto's.
Porto are 34th of 36 on 0 points and Napoli 22nd on 3 points in the 2026/27 Champions League league stage ahead of Wednesday 4 November. Porto have lost all 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6, while Napoli have won 1 and lost 2.
Napoli have won 2 of their last 5 games going into Porto vs Napoli in the 2026/27 Champions League, losing 2-0 at Juventus on 1 November after a 4-1 win at Monza. Before that came a 3-3 draw with Roma and a 4-3 win over Bodø / Glimt.
Porto's possible starting lineup for the 2026/27 Champions League game against Napoli on 4 November has Diogo Costa in goal and Aghehowa leading the attack, while Napoli's has Meret in goal, McTominay and De Bruyne in midfield and Lucca up front.