Updated 2 November 2026.
Wednesday's Champions League league stage game has Fenerbahçe at home to Liverpool at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, kicking off at 17:45 UK. The hosts are 31st of 36 and still looking for their first win. Liverpool are 3rd with nine points from nine, and they have scored 12 in three games.
That makes this a meeting of a side that has leaked goals and a side that has scored them in bunches.
Fenerbahçe have two points from three, with two draws and a defeat and a goal difference of minus six (three scored, nine conceded). That defeat was a 6-0 loss at Villa on 14 October, and they drew 2-2 at home to Slavia Praha six days later. Domestically it has been rough too, with defeats to Galatasaray and Göztepe in their last two. They have lost three of their last five in all competitions.
Fenerbahçe average 5.44 shots on target, the 30th most of the 81 teams on the shots on target board, and they have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games, the 13th highest rate. Their goals-against figure of 1.33 per game is the 21st fewest.
Liverpool have won all three league stage games and sit 3rd in the Champions League table. Their 4-3 win over Villarreal on 20 October was typical: they average 4.00 goals a game in the league stage, the 2nd most, and both teams have scored in every one of their games. They have also conceded 2.33 a game, the 22nd most, and have not kept a clean sheet in the league stage.
In their last three games they lost 1-0 at home to Arsenal on Sunday, drew 1-1 with Chelsea in the Carabao Cup and beat Brighton 2-0 in the Premier League. They commit 9.00 fouls a game, the 9th fewest, and have picked up 0.33 cards a game, the 2nd fewest.
Fenerbahçe possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Semedo, Škriniar, Demir, Brown; Yüksek, Guendouzi, Kanté; Aktürkoğlu, Muriqi, Aydın
Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Araujo, Van Dijk, Jacquet, Tsimikas; Nyoni, Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Gakpo, Koumas, Ngumoha
Vedat Muriqi has had a shot on target in three straight games, averaging 1.3, and is 1.57 at bet365 to make it four. Muriqi leads the line for the hosts.
Oğuz Aydın has had a shot in each of the last three, 3.0 a game, and has also made a tackle in three straight. He is 1.17 at bet365 for a shot and 1.40 for a tackle, and Aydın averages 1.3 tackles a game.
Ronald Araujo has had a shot in three straight games, 2.3 a game, and the centre-back is 1.53 at bet365 to make it four.
Trey Nyoni has made at least one tackle in each of his last five games, eight in all, and is 1.25 at bet365. Nyoni fits a bet builder with N'Golo Kanté to commit a foul (1.36, in all of his last five games), Cody Gakpo to commit a foul (1.20, also in all of his last five) and Virgil van Dijk to have a shot (1.67 at Ladbrokes, in four of his last five).
We make Liverpool the favourites, giving them a 56% chance of the win, with Fenerbahçe at 21% and the draw at 23%. The best price on Liverpool is 1.55 at Ladbrokes, Fenerbahçe are 5.5 at Midnite and the draw is 4.5 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe win | 5.50 (Midnite) | 21% |
| Draw | 4.50 (bet365) | 23% |
| Liverpool win | 1.55 (Ladbrokes) | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (bet365) | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 (bet365) | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 (Ladbrokes) | 59% |
Our model has Fenerbahçe on 1.11 goals and Liverpool on 1.96. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 10.6%, though we make Liverpool more likely to win the game. A 1-2 away win is next at 9.9%.
Liverpool have not kept a clean sheet in the league stage and both teams have scored in all three of their games, and we give both teams to score a 58% chance (1.57 at bet365). We project Liverpool for 6.2 shots on target to Fenerbahçe's 3.8, and 6.73 corners to 4.07.
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool in the 2026/27 Champions League league stage kicks off at 17:45 UK on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. Liverpool are 3rd of 36 with 9 points from 3 games, Fenerbahçe 31st with 2.
Our prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool in the 2026/27 Champions League is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 10.6%, though we make Liverpool 56% to win, with Fenerbahçe on 21% and the draw on 23%.
Liverpool are favourites for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool in the 2026/27 Champions League, and we give them a 56% chance of winning against 21% for Fenerbahçe and 23% for the draw on Wednesday 4 November.
We give both teams to score a 58% chance in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool in the 2026/27 Champions League, and both teams have scored in all 3 of Liverpool's league stage games, where they average 4.00 goals a game.
In the 2026/27 Champions League league stage ahead of Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool, Liverpool are 3rd of 36 with 9 points from 3 games, while Fenerbahçe are 31st with 2 points from 3 and a goal difference of minus 6.
Liverpool's possible starting lineup for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool in the 2026/27 Champions League is Alisson; Araujo, Van Dijk, Jacquet, Tsimikas; Nyoni, Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Gakpo, Koumas, Ngumoha. Fenerbahçe's possible lineup has Ederson in goal.