Updated 2 November 2026.
Manchester United host Roma at Old Trafford on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 8pm UK, in the Champions League league phase. United are 21st of 36 on 3 points and come in on three straight defeats, while Roma are 15th on 4 points and have won four of their last five.
Roma have scored 8 goals in their three European games and 12 in their last three matches in all competitions, while United have conceded 6 in their three European games.
United are 21st in the Champions League table with 3 points from three games, one win and two defeats, 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their last five are all defeats bar a draw: a 2-0 loss at Chelsea on 31 October, a 3-0 home defeat to Bournemouth on 25 October, a 4-1 loss at Como on 21 October, a 1-1 draw at Leeds and a 2-0 defeat at Atlético. In Europe they have kept a clean sheet in a third of their games, the 13th highest rate of the 81 teams in the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League, and they average 6 shots on target, the 22nd most.
Roma are 15th with 4 points from three, a win, a draw and a defeat, and 8 goals scored against 5 conceded. In their last five games they have won four and drawn one: a 5-2 win at Udinese on 31 October, a 4-2 win over Cagliari, a 3-3 draw at Napoli, a 4-0 win over Slovan in this competition and a 2-0 win over Genoa. They average 2.67 goals a game in the Champions League, the 11th most of the 81 teams, and both teams have scored in 67% of their European matches.
Manchester United possible starting lineup:
Lammens; Dalot, Maguire, de Ligt, Mazraoui; Andrey Santos, Tielemans; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Mount; Cunha
Roma possible starting lineup:
Gollini; Ghilardi, Hermoso, Balerdi; Molina, de Roon, Pisilli, Wesley; Soulé, Mora; Malen
Donyell Malen has had 3 or more shots in each of Roma's three Champions League games, averaging 4.3, and a shot on target in each of his last five games in all competitions. He is 1.40 at bet365 for 3+ shots.
Mason Mount has made a tackle in each of his last five games and in all three Champions League outings this season, averaging 2.7 in the competition. He is 1.20 at bet365 to make one again.
Bruno Fernandes has had a shot in each of United's three Champions League games, averaging 2.3, and a tackle in each of them as well. Matheus Cunha has also had a shot in all three, averaging 2, and has committed a foul in each of his last five games, which is 1.33 at bet365.
For Roma, MatÃas Soulé has had a shot in each of their three Champions League games, and Mario Hermoso has fouled in each of them, averaging 2 a game.
We make Manchester United the narrow favourites: our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, with 25% for the draw and 34% for Roma. United are 2.38 at Midnite, the draw is 4.00 at bet365 and Roma are 2.75 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United to win | 2.38 (Midnite) | 41% |
| Draw | 4.00 (bet365) | 25% |
| Roma to win | 2.75 (bet365) | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 61% |
We project 1.65 goals for United and 1.49 for Roma. We give both teams to score a 63% chance, a United clean sheet 23% and a Roma clean sheet 19%, and over 2.5 goals 61%.
We predict 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we make United slightly more likely to win overall. 2-1 to United (9%) and 1-2 to Roma (8%) come next.
For a four-leg player builder from recent form, the four who have hit in each of their last five games are Malen for a shot on target, Mount for a tackle, Cunha for a foul and Wesley for a foul.
Manchester United vs Roma kicks off at 8pm UK on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Old Trafford, in the 2026/27 Champions League league phase. United are 21st of 36 on 3 points and Roma are 15th on 4.
We predict 1-1 in Manchester United vs Roma, the likeliest scoreline at 11%, in the 2026/27 Champions League. We give United a 41% chance of winning, Roma 34% and a draw 25%, so a draw is in play.
Manchester United are the narrow favourites against Roma in the 2026/27 Champions League on 3 November, with a 41% win chance in our model against 34% for Roma and 25% for a draw. We project 1.65 goals for United and 1.49 for Roma.
We give both teams to score a 63% chance in Manchester United vs Roma, with over 2.5 goals at 61%, in the 2026/27 Champions League. Both teams have scored in 67% of Roma's European games and 33% of United's.
Manchester United are 21st of 36 with 3 points and Roma are 15th with 4 points ahead of Manchester United vs Roma in the 2026/27 Champions League on 3 November. United have lost two of three, while Roma have won one, drawn one and lost one.
Donyell Malen has had 3 or more shots in each of Roma's 3 games in the 2026/27 Champions League, averaging 4.3, ahead of the match against Manchester United on 3 November. Mason Mount has made a tackle in each of his last 5 games.
Manchester United's possible starting lineup against Roma in the 2026/27 Champions League on 3 November is Lammens; Dalot, Maguire, de Ligt, Mazraoui; Andrey Santos, Tielemans; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Mount; Cunha. Roma's possible lineup is Gollini; Ghilardi, Hermoso, Balerdi; Molina, de Roon, Pisilli, Wesley; Soulé, Mora; Malen.