Updated 29 October 2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen welcome VfB Stuttgart to the BayArena on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 2:30pm UK, in the Bundesliga. Leverkusen are 4th with 13 points. Stuttgart are 15th with 6 after losing five of their seven league games, including the last two.
Leverkusen have scored 16 and conceded 12 in the league, and 86% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 3rd highest rate in the division. We make them the likeliest winners at 52%, against 27% for Stuttgart, and 2-1 is our predicted score.
Leverkusen's goals have come at 2.29 a game, the 4th most in the Bundesliga, and they sit 4th on the league table. They won four in a row in all competitions before losing 3-0 at Hoffenheim on Sunday: a 2-0 win at OFI in the Europa League, a 2-1 home win over Freiburg, a 4-0 win at Lech Poznań in the Europa League and a 4-3 win at Mainz. Leverkusen take the 2nd most corners in the league, 6.71 a game, and have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their matches, the 5th highest rate.
Stuttgart have won two of seven in the league and lost the other five. Their latest game was a 3-2 home defeat to Gladbach, three days after a 1-1 draw with Atlético in the Champions League. Before that came a 1-0 loss at Hamburg, a 3-0 win at Slovan in the Champions League and a 2-0 win at Paderborn. They average 1.86 goals conceded a game, the 9th fewest, and have kept a clean sheet in 14% of their league matches. They average 5.71 shots on target a game, the 6th most in the division.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen possible starting lineup:
Flekken; Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Gutiérrez; GarcÃa, Fernández; Tella, Maza, Tillman; Schick
VfB Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Seimen; Assignon, Chabot, Jeltsch, Mittelstädt; Karazor, Prömel; Leweling, Führich, Undav; Demirovic
Patrik Schick has had a shot in all seven of Leverkusen's league games, 3.6 a game, and has put one on target in four of his last five. He is 1.22 at bet365 for a shot on target.
Ibrahim Maza has also had at least one shot in all seven league games, at 3.1 a game. He has committed a foul in each of his last four league games, and 1+ fouls is 1.30 at bet365.
Nathan Tella has had two or more shots in each of his last five games, 14 shots in all, and 2+ shots is 1.25 at bet365.
Ermedin Demirovic has had a shot on target in six straight games, averaging 1.7. He is 1.62 at bet365 to make it seven.
Atakan Karazor has committed at least one foul in each of his last five, 1.4 a game, and 1+ fouls is 1.29 at bet365.
We back Leverkusen to win, and the best price is 1.80 with Ladbrokes. Stuttgart are 4.00 and the draw is 4.33, both at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Leverkusen win | 1.80 | 52% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21% |
| Stuttgart win | 4.00 | 27% |
| Both teams to score | 1.35 | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.30 | 74% |
We project 2.25 goals for Leverkusen and 1.58 for Stuttgart, and 2-1 is the likeliest single score at 9%, with a 1-1 draw next at 8%. Leverkusen are projected 20 shots to Stuttgart's 13, and we give both teams to score a 72% chance.
Statz prediction: Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart.
Leverkusen vs Stuttgart in the 2026/27 Bundesliga kicks off at 2:30pm UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the BayArena. Leverkusen are 4th on 13 points and Stuttgart 15th on 6 points in the 18-team table, and we predict a 2-1 home win.
We predict a 2-1 win for Leverkusen against Stuttgart in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, the single likeliest scoreline at 9%, with a 1-1 draw next at 8%. We give Leverkusen a 52% chance of winning, Stuttgart 27% and the draw 21%, and project 2.25 goals to 1.58.
Leverkusen are favourites against Stuttgart in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, and we give them a 52% chance of winning, with Stuttgart on 27% and the draw on 21%. Leverkusen are 4th on 13 points from 7 games, while Stuttgart are 15th on 6 points.
We make it a 72% chance that both teams score in Leverkusen vs Stuttgart in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, with over 2.5 goals at 74%. Leverkusen have gone over 2.5 goals in 86% of their league games, the 3rd highest rate in the division.
Before Leverkusen vs Stuttgart on 31 October 2026, Leverkusen are 4th in the 2026/27 Bundesliga with 13 points from 7 games and Stuttgart are 15th with 6 points from 7. Leverkusen have 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, and Stuttgart have 2 wins and 5 defeats.
In Leverkusen vs Stuttgart in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, Patrik Schick and Ibrahim Maza have each had a shot in all 7 of Leverkusen's league games, averaging 3.6 and 3.1 a game. Nathan Tella has had two or more shots in each of his last 5 games.
For the 2:30pm UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, Bayer 04 Leverkusen's possible starting lineup against VfB Stuttgart is Flekken; Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Gutiérrez; GarcÃa, Fernández; Tella, Maza, Tillman; Schick, and VfB Stuttgart's possible starting lineup is Seimen; Assignon, Chabot, Jeltsch, Mittelstädt; Karazor, Prömel; Leweling, Führich, Undav; Demirovic.