Updated 6 November 2026.
Real Sociedad welcome Rayo Vallecano to the Anoeta Stadium on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 15:15 UK, in a La Liga game between two sides who both score and concede freely. Sociedad sit 5th on 19 points and Rayo 12th on 12.
Sociedad drew 1-1 with Lyon in the Europa League on Thursday, four days after a 2-1 defeat at Athletic Club, while Rayo last played on 31 October, beating Celta 3-0. We make Sociedad 54% to win, with the draw and Rayo both on 23%, and 1-1 the likeliest single score.
Sociedad have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their 11 league games, scoring 20 and conceding 20. Their goals for rank as the 4th most per game at 1.82, but they also concede at the same rate, which is the 6th most. Both teams have scored in 73% of their league games, the 2nd highest rate in La Liga, and 82% have gone over 2.5 goals, also the 2nd highest.
In their last five games in all competitions Sociedad have won three, lost one and drawn one. They won 5-2 at Málaga on 18 October, 6-0 at Lillestrøm in the Europa League and 2-1 at home to Levante, then lost 2-1 at Athletic Club and drew 1-1 with Lyon. They have the 6th most shots on target in the league at 5.18 a game and sit 5th in the table.
Rayo have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their 10, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Their goals against also rank as the 6th most, and their 18% clean-sheet rate is the 8th lowest. Rayo drew 1-1 at Getafe on 19 October, lost 3-0 at home to Elche, won 3-2 at Recreativo Huelva in the Copa del Rey and then had a 3-0 win over Celta on 31 October. They average 5 shots on target a game, the 7th most in the league, and collect the 6th most cards at 2.7 a match.
Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Remiro; Aramburu, Sarr, MartÃn, Gómez; Gorrotxategi, Soler, Sucic; Barrenetxea, Oyarzabal, Guedes
Rayo Vallecano possible starting lineup:
Audero; RaÈ›iu, Lejeune, DÃaz, Pedrosa; Ciss, López, Sadick; Tsitaishvili, De Frutos, Camello
Gonçalo Guedes has had at least one shot in 10 straight league games, averaging 2 a match, and is 1.01 at bet365 to make it 11. Mikel Oyarzabal has had a shot in six in a row, averaging 2.3 a game across the run.
Carlos Soler has hit five straight with a shot, 2.2 a game, and is 1.20 at bet365 for another. Jon MartÃn has made at least one tackle in four straight games for Sociedad, averaging 2.5 over the run, and is 1.22 at bet365.
For Rayo, Sergio Camello has shot in nine consecutive games at 2.8 a match, and Unai López has made a tackle in 10 straight games at 2.1 a game, priced at 1.13 at bet365. He has also had a shot in seven in a row, 1.50 at bet365.
We back Real Sociedad at 1.70 with Coral, and our model gives them a 54% chance of winning. Rayo are 4.75 with bet365 and the draw is 4.20 with Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad win | 1.70 (Coral) | 54% |
| Draw | 4.20 (Ladbrokes) | 23% |
| Rayo Vallecano win | 4.75 (bet365) | 23% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (bet365) | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 (bet365) | 65% |
We predict 1-1 as the likeliest score, at 10%, though we make Sociedad the likelier winner at 54%. 2-1 to the home side is next at 9.6%, and we make the draw 23%. The model has Sociedad on 2.06 goals and Rayo on 1.30, with both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano in La Liga kicks off at 15:15 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Anoeta Stadium. It is a 2026/27 regular season fixture between the 5th and 12th placed sides.
Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano in La Liga 2026/27 is 1-1, which the model rates at 10%, the likeliest single scoreline. We make Sociedad the more likely winner at 54% against 23% for Rayo.
Real Sociedad are favourites at 1.70 with Coral for this La Liga 2026/27 game, and our model gives them a 54% chance of winning. Rayo Vallecano are 4.75 with bet365 and the draw is 4.20 with Ladbrokes.
We rate both teams to score at 64% in Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano, La Liga 2026/27, and bet365 offer 1.57. Both sides have scored in 73% of their league games, the 2nd highest rate in the division.
We project 2.06 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.30 for Rayo Vallecano, 3.36 in total, with over 2.5 goals at 65% in this La Liga 2026/27 game. Sociedad's matches have gone over 2.5 in 82% of games.
Real Sociedad are 5th in La Liga 2026/27 with 19 points from 11 games, while Rayo Vallecano are 12th with 12 points from 10. Both have conceded 20 league goals this season.
Predicted lineups for Sociedad vs Rayo in the 2026/27 La Liga on Sunday 8 November 2026: Real Sociedad may start Remiro; Aramburu, Sarr, MartÃn, Gómez; Gorrotxategi, Soler, Sucic; Barrenetxea, Oyarzabal, Guedes. Rayo Vallecano may start Audero; RaÈ›iu, Lejeune, DÃaz, Pedrosa; Ciss, López, Sadick; Tsitaishvili, De Frutos, Camello.