Blackburn vs Wrexham Predictions, Team News and Betting Tips

Blackburn Rovers host Wrexham at Ewood Park on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 3pm UK. Blackburn are 10th and Wrexham 14th, with one point between them, 15 to 14. Blackburn lost a five-goal game at West Brom on 17 October, while Wrexham put four past Preston the same day, four days after a home defeat to West Brom. Between them they have played 22 league games and conceded 32 goals.

Both teams have scored in 82% of Blackburn's games, the 2nd highest rate in the division, and the same share have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest of any team. Both teams have scored in 73% of Wrexham's games, the 5th highest rate, though only 55% of them have gone over 2.5 goals, the 11th lowest.

How the teams arrive

Blackburn are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (4 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats), having scored 17 and let in 16. They have won three of their last five, and the latest result was a 3-2 loss at West Brom that followed a 1-0 win at Bristol City and a 2-1 home win over Cardiff. Rovers win the 4th most corners in the league at 6.18 a game and rank 3rd for cards. Their shots on target sit at 4 a game, the 10th fewest.

Wrexham are 14th with 14 points (3 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats) and 15 goals scored against 16 conceded. They come into the game on the back of a 4-1 win over Preston, which followed a 1-2 home defeat to West Brom and a 1-1 draw at Derby. Their last five began with a 6-0 defeat at West Ham, and they have taken seven points from the four games since.

Wrexham average 1.27 cards a game, the 2nd fewest in the league, while Blackburn's 2.55 is 3rd most. Wrexham also average 3.64 shots on target a game, the 6th fewest, and both sides concede 1.45 goals per match, the 11th fewest.

Predicted lineups

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Tóth; Alebiosu, McLoughlin, Atcheson, Pickering; Morsy, Montgomery; Fevrier, Cantwell, Afolayan; Gudjohnsen

Wrexham possible starting lineup:
Patterson; Imray, Doyle, Hyam, Worrall, Ekomié; James, Whiteman; O'Hare, Smith; Moore

Players to watch

Kieffer Moore has had two or more shots in four straight games, averaging three a game, and Coral have him at 1.35 to keep it going.

Kristi Montgomery has made at least one tackle in all 11 league games this season, averaging 3.1 tackles a game. Alongside him, Sam Morsy has five straight games with a tackle and three in a row with two or more fouls, which Midnite price at 2.40.

Oladapo Afolayan has committed a foul in three straight and has had a shot on target in four of his last five, which Ladbrokes and Coral price at 1.75. Andri Gudjohnsen has had 2+ shots in four of his last five at an average of two a game, with bet365 offering 1.67.

For Wrexham, Callum Doyle has made a tackle in five straight games, and Callum O'Hare has committed a foul in three in a row, which Midnite price at 1.44.

Match Leaders

Odds and Statz prediction

We make Wrexham the most likely winners at 39%, and they are 2.63 with Midnite. Blackburn are 2.70 with Ladbrokes, and the draw is 3.30 at Coral.

1-1 is the likeliest score at 14%, though we make Wrexham the more likely winners. We project 1.08 goals for Blackburn and 1.24 for Wrexham, and we give over 1.5 goals a 68% chance. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw.

We give both teams to score a 48% chance, and it is 1.83 at bet365, below the rate for either side's own games this season, 82% for Blackburn and 73% for Wrexham.