Updated 23 October 2026.
Stoke City host Bristol City at the Bet365 Stadium on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 3pm UK. It is 6th against 16th in the Championship, and the two sides come in heading in opposite directions: Stoke have won four of their last five, while Bristol City have lost three of theirs.
Stoke's games tend to have goals at both ends, while Bristol City have scored twice in their last five.
Stoke City have 19 points from 11 games, 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. They won at Derby 1-0 on 17 October, four days after a 2-3 home defeat to M'Boro, and before that took a 2-1 win at Bolton.
Stoke have both teams scoring in 73% of their matches, the 5th highest in the division, and the same share of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd highest. They also commit the most fouls per game in the league, 13.73. Their shots on target sit at 3.73 a game, the 7th fewest.
Bristol City have 14 points from 11, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats, 12 scored and 15 conceded. Their last five games brought a 1-0 home defeat to Lincoln, a 1-0 home win over Watford, a 1-1 draw at Charlton, and then 1-0 home defeats to Blackburn and Sheff Utd. They have scored twice in those five games.
Bristol City concede 1.36 a game, the 9th fewest, but score only 1.09 a game, the 6th fewest in the league. They are the 3rd least booked side in the Championship at 1.36 cards a game, and they get 4.36 shots on target a game, the 9th most.
Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Johnson, Wilmot, Graham, Bombino; Soumaré, Lawal; McGlynn, Galbraith, Devenny; Cissé
Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Tickle; Tanner, McNally, Atkinson, Pring; Knight, De Keersmaecker; Hirakawa, Twine, Cardines; Ballard
Jason Knight has committed a foul in ten straight games, averaging 1.7 a game, and is 1.36 at Midnite to make it eleven.
Dominic Ballard has had a shot in eight straight games and averages 2.5 a game. He is 1.05 at Ladbrokes to keep that going, and 1.30 at Midnite to commit a foul after three in a row. His team-mate Yu Hirakawa has had at least one shot in seven straight, 2.1 a game, and is 1.20 at Ladbrokes.
For Stoke, Djibril Soumaré has made a tackle in ten straight games at 2.4 a game, and Jack McGlynn has had a shot in five in a row, 1.8 a game, at 1.08 with Ladbrokes.
Ethan Galbraith has a shot in three straight and is 1.44 at bet365 to add another. He has had one or more shots in four of his last five.
We make Stoke City the most likely winners at 44%, and they are 2.37 at Ladbrokes. Bristol City are 3.00 at bet365 and the draw is 3.40 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke City win | 2.37 (ladbrokes) | 44% |
| Draw | 3.40 (ladbrokes) | 28% |
| Bristol City win | 3.00 (bet365) | 28% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (bet365) | 47% |
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, the single likeliest score at 13%, though we make Stoke the more likely side to win the game. A 1-0 home win, at 10%, is next. We project 1.44 goals for Stoke and 1.12 for Bristol City.
Both teams have scored in 73% of Stoke's games, the 5th highest rate in the Championship, against 55% of Bristol City's, the 10th lowest. We give both teams to score a 52% chance, and it is 1.80 at bet365.
A bet builder from the possible lineups could take Hirakawa for a shot, Bosun Lawal for a foul, Galbraith for a shot and Knight for a foul. Hirakawa and Lawal have each hit in their last five, and Galbraith and Knight in four of five.
Kick-off at the Bet365 Stadium is at 3pm UK on Saturday 24 October 2026.
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we give Stoke City the best chance of winning at 44%.
Stoke City are favourites at 2.37 with Ladbrokes. Bristol City are 3.00 at bet365 and the draw is 3.40 at Ladbrokes.
Our model gives both teams to score a 52% chance, and it is 1.80 at bet365. Stoke have had both teams scoring in 73% of their games this season.
Dominic Ballard has had a shot in eight straight games, Yu Hirakawa in seven, and Jason Knight has committed a foul in ten in a row.
Stoke City are 6th with 19 points from 11 games. Bristol City are 16th with 14 points from 11.
Stoke City: Johansson; Johnson, Wilmot, Graham, Bombino; Soumaré, Lawal; McGlynn, Galbraith, Devenny; Cissé. Bristol City: Tickle; Tanner, McNally, Atkinson, Pring; Knight, De Keersmaecker; Hirakawa, Twine, Cardines; Ballard.