Updated 11 November 2026.
Colchester United host Gillingham at the JobServe Community Stadium on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 3pm UK, in a League Two game that pits a side near the bottom against one in the top half. Colchester sit 23rd of 24 with 12 points from 13 games, while Gillingham are 8th on 20 points from 14. Our model makes Colchester the favourites despite the league positions, with 1-1 the likeliest single score.
Colchester have only two league wins all season, and six of their 13 games have ended level, so a draw is a real outcome in this fixture.
Colchester have drawn six, lost five and won two, scoring 12 goals and conceding 19. They score 0.92 goals a game, the 4th fewest in the division. In October they had a 0-0 with Exeter City, a 1-1 at Chesterfield, then a 2-0 defeat at Northampton and a 1-3 home loss to Walsall. They followed that last Saturday with a 1-0 FA Cup win over Worcester.
Gillingham have won five, drawn five and lost four, scoring 1.43 goals a game, the 9th most in the division. Their league run is mixed: a 3-1 loss at Accrington, a 1-1 with Port Vale, a heavy 4-1 home defeat to Grimsby, then a 2-1 win at Shrewsbury. Last Saturday they went out of the FA Cup, beaten 1-0 at home by Barrow.
Gillingham keep clean sheets in 29% of their games, the 6th highest rate in the division, while Colchester manage it in 15%, the 7th lowest. Gillingham's matches produce more goals: 57% of them go over 2.5, the 4th highest figure in League Two, against 38% for Colchester. Gillingham are the 3rd most carded side in the division, averaging 2.71 cards a game, while Colchester are the least carded at 1.31.
Colchester possible starting lineup:
Lo-Tutala; Vincent-Young, Tucker, Raggett, Iandolo; Digby, Williams; Thorn, Payne, Sesay; Williams
Gillingham possible starting lineup:
Wright; Daley, Dobbs, Beckles; Brophy, Coleman, Antwi, Freeman; Hale, Sillah, McCleary
Jay Williams, a defensive midfielder, has committed a foul in nine straight games, averaging 1.7 a match. Left-back Ellis Iandolo has fouled in six straight games, averaging 2.0 a game.
For Gillingham, striker Ronan Aiden Connolly Shea Chapman Hale has had a shot on target in three straight games, and Ladbrokes price a shot on target at 1.57. He has averaged 2.3 shots a game across that run. Centre-back Omar Beckles has fouled in four straight games, averaging 1.5 a match.
In midfield, N. Freeman has made at least one tackle in six straight games, averaging 1.5.
We make Colchester the favourites, at 2.10 with Ladbrokes. Our model gives them a 44% chance of winning, with Gillingham at 29% and the draw at 27%. Gillingham are 3.30 and the draw is 3.50.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester United to win | 2.10 (Ladbrokes) | 44% |
| Draw | 3.50 (Ladbrokes) | 27% |
| Gillingham to win | 3.30 (Ladbrokes) | 29% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (bet365) | 79% |
We project 1.59 goals for Colchester and 1.26 for Gillingham. Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single result at 12%, though we make Colchester more likely to win. A draw is plainly in play given Colchester's six draws in 13 league games. Both teams to score is 58% in our model and 1.75 at Ladbrokes. We also project 14.54 fouls and 2.40 yellow cards for Gillingham, against 9.91 fouls and 1.57 yellow cards for Colchester.
Statz prediction: Colchester United 1-1 Gillingham
Colchester United v Gillingham in League Two kicks off at 15:00 UK on Saturday 14 November 2026 at the JobServe Community Stadium. It is part of the 2026/27 League Two season, with both clubs coming off FA Cup results the weekend before.
Our prediction for Colchester United v Gillingham in League Two 2026/27 is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest score at 12%. We still make Colchester slightly more likely to win, at 44%, with Gillingham on 29% and the draw on 27%.
Colchester United are the favourites in League Two 2026/27 on Saturday 14 November, with a 44% win chance in our model and a best price of 2.10 at Ladbrokes. Gillingham are 3.30 and the draw is 3.50, in a game between 23rd and 8th.
Our model gives both teams to score in Colchester United vs Gillingham a 58% chance in League Two 2026/27, with Ladbrokes offering 1.75. We project 1.59 goals for Colchester and 1.26 for Gillingham, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Ronan Aiden Connolly Shea Chapman Hale has had a shot on target in 3 straight games for Gillingham in 2026/27, averaging 1.3 a match over that run. Ladbrokes price a shot on target at 1.57 for the game against Colchester United on Saturday.
In the 2026/27 League Two table, Colchester United are 23rd of 24 with 12 points from 13 games, and Gillingham are 8th with 20 points from 14. Colchester have won 2 league games, Gillingham 5, before Saturday's meeting.
Predicted lineups for Colchester vs Gillingham in the 2026/27 League Two on Saturday 14 November 2026: Colchester may start Lo-Tutala; Vincent-Young, Tucker, Raggett, Iandolo; Digby, Williams; Thorn, Payne, Sesay; Williams. Gillingham may start Wright; Daley, Dobbs, Beckles; Brophy, Coleman, Antwi, Freeman; Hale, Sillah, McCleary.