Updated 11 November 2026.
Crewe Alexandra host Newport County at the Alexandra Stadium on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 3pm UK, in a League Two game between a side pushing near the top and one in the middle of the pack. Crewe have drawn seven of their 14 league games and lost only twice, while Newport arrive on the back of a 4-1 league win over Chesterfield and a 3-1 FA Cup win over Walsall. Both sides have conceded exactly 17 goals this season, and that makes the contest tighter than the 10 places between them suggest.
We make Crewe the slight favourites, with 1-1 the likeliest single score.
Crewe sit 4th with 22 points from 14 games (5 wins, 7 draws, 2 defeats) and a goal difference of 0, with 17 scored and 17 conceded. They are hard to beat rather than free-scoring: they've kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games, the 6th highest in the division, and their goals against average of 1.21 is the 6th fewest. Their shots on target number is modest at 3.29 per game, the 5th fewest, and under 2.5 goals has been the usual pattern, with only 29% of their games going over, the 4th lowest rate.
Their recent results have been mixed. Crewe beat Wimbledon 2-1 in the FA Cup last Saturday and drew 1-1 with Barnet the weekend before. Before that came two away defeats, a 5-1 loss at Chesterfield and a 2-0 defeat at Exeter City, which followed a 3-2 home win over Rochdale.
Newport are 14th in the League Two table on 18 points from 14 (4 wins, 6 draws, 4 defeats) with 20 scored and 17 conceded. They score more than Crewe, 1.43 per game, which is the 9th most in the league, and half of their games have gone over 2.5 goals. Their last league outing was a 4-1 win over Chesterfield, and they followed it with a 3-1 FA Cup win against Walsall. Before that they lost 1-0 at Cheltenham and drew 2-2 at Rotherham. Newport also commit 12.64 fouls per game, the 7th most in the division.
Crewe possible starting lineup:
Booth; Billington, Offord, Stephenson, Hutchinson; Tabiner, Holicek; March, White, Gibson; McNeill
Newport possible starting lineup:
Wright; Davies, Sassi, Jenkins, Norman; Brennan, Smith; Bamba, Biggins, Adu-Poku; Etete
Newport supply most of the long runs. Centre-back Ciaran Brennan has made at least one tackle in 14 straight games, averaging 3.2 a game. He has also committed a foul in seven straight games.
Right-back Cameron Norman has fouled in 14 straight games, averaging 1.8 a match, and has made a tackle in six in a row. Harrison Biggins has had a shot in nine straight games, averaging 2.4 across that run.
For Crewe, winger Jordan Gibson has had a shot in six consecutive games, averaging 2.2 across that run. In midfield, Matus Holicek has made a tackle in five straight games, averaging 2.6.
We make Crewe 41% to win, against 30% for Newport and 29% for the draw. The best home price is 2.10 at Ladbrokes, with the draw at 3.50 there and Newport at 3.40 at Coral. We project 1.34 goals for Crewe and 1.10 for Newport.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 2.10 (Ladbrokes) | 41% |
| Draw | 3.50 (Ladbrokes) | 29% |
| Newport win | 3.40 (Coral) | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (bet365) | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 (bet365) | 44% |
Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, though we make Crewe slightly more likely to win than Newport. We give Crewe a 33% chance of a clean sheet and Newport 26%.
We project 13.48 fouls and 1.89 yellow cards for Newport, against 11.31 fouls and 1.68 yellow cards for Crewe.
Prediction: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Newport County
Crewe Alexandra host Newport County in League Two at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 at the Alexandra Stadium, in the 2026/27 season. Crewe are 4th with 22 points from 14 games, while Newport are 14th with 18 points from 14.
Our prediction for Crewe vs Newport County in the 2026/27 League Two season is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, although we give Crewe a 41% chance of winning, Newport 30% and the draw 29%.
Crewe Alexandra are the favourites for Crewe vs Newport County in League Two 2026/27 at 2.10 with Ladbrokes, against 3.40 for Newport at Coral, and our model gives Crewe a 41% chance of a home win.
Our model gives both teams to score in Crewe vs Newport County in League Two 2026/27 a 50% chance, with a best price of 1.75 at Ladbrokes. Both teams have scored in 64% of Crewe's league games, the 7th highest rate.
Our model expects 2.44 goals in Crewe vs Newport County in League Two 2026/27 (1.34 for Crewe, 1.10 for Newport), with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and 71% for over 1.5.
Crewe Alexandra are 4th in League Two with 22 points from 14 games, while Newport County are 14th with 18 points from 14, a gap of four points ahead of the 2026/27 meeting on 14 November.
Newport County centre-back Ciaran Brennan has made at least one tackle in 14 straight games in 2026/27, averaging 3.2 per game, ahead of the trip to Crewe on 14 November. Right-back Cameron Norman has fouled in 14 straight games, averaging 1.8 a game.
Predicted lineups for Crewe vs Newport in the 2026/27 League Two on Saturday 14 November 2026: Crewe may start Booth; Billington, Offord, Stephenson, Hutchinson; Tabiner, Holicek; March, White, Gibson; McNeill. Newport may start Wright; Davies, Sassi, Jenkins, Norman; Brennan, Smith; Bamba, Biggins, Adu-Poku; Etete.