Updated 11 November 2026.
Swindon Town host Grimsby Town at The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 15:00 UK. Grimsby come in 6th with 24 goals from 14 games, while Swindon sit 13th and have scored only 15.
Swindon are 13th in League Two on 19 points from 14 games, with five wins, four draws and five defeats. Their last two league results were a 2-1 home win over Rotherham and a goalless draw at Bristol Rovers, and last Saturday came a 2-1 FA Cup defeat at MK Dons. They concede 1.21 goals a game, the 6th fewest in the division, and score just 1.07 a game, also the 6th fewest. They manage 3.29 shots on target per match, the 5th fewest.
Grimsby are 6th on 20 points with five wins, five draws and four defeats, and their 24 goals are among the most in the league at 1.71 a game, the 3rd most. They average 5.21 shots on target, the 2nd most, and 6.5 corners, also the 2nd most. They beat York 5-2 and won 4-1 at Gillingham in their last two league games, and followed that with a 3-3 draw at Stafford Rangers in the FA Cup. Four of their last five games in all competitions have gone over 2.5 goals, and 57% of their matches this season have finished over 2.5 goals, the 4th highest rate in the division.
They also keep clean sheets in 29% of games, the 6th highest. Swindon's matches are quieter, with 50% going over 2.5 goals.
Swindon possible starting lineup:
Ripley; Ball, Majekodunmi, Negru; Clark, Munda, Thomson, Butler; Snowdon, Pearman; Drinan
Grimsby possible starting lineup:
Cartwright; McJannett, Kacurri, Rodgers; Vernam, Turi, Green, Foulkes; Walker; Morgan, Amaluzor
Aaron Drinan has had a shot in 14 straight games for Swindon, averaging 2.5 a game.
Charles Vernam has matched that run for Grimsby, with a shot in 14 straight games at 2.4 a game. Iwan Morgan has had a shot on target in four straight games and is 1.55 at Ladbrokes to make it five.
For Swindon, Joe Snowdon has had a shot on target in four straight games and is 2.37 at Ladbrokes to make it five. In midfield, Jack Thomson has made at least one tackle in 12 straight games, averaging 2.5, and Grimsby's Géza Dávid Turi has made one or more in nine straight at 3.6 a game.
Grimsby are the likeliest single result in our projection at 47%, against 28% for Swindon and 25% for a draw. Ladbrokes have them at 2.05 to win. Both teams to score is 1.53 at bet365, and we put that at 62%, with over 2.5 goals at 1.62 on the same site and a 60% chance from us.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town win | 3.30 (Coral) | 28% |
| Draw | 3.75 (BoyleSports) | 25% |
| Grimsby Town win | 2.05 (Ladbrokes) | 47% |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 (bet365) | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 (bet365) | 60% |
Our prediction is Swindon Town 1-1 Grimsby Town. We expect 1.34 goals from Swindon and 1.78 from Grimsby, and 1-1 is the single likeliest scoreline at 11%, though we make Grimsby more likely to win overall. Drinan and Vernam have each had a shot in 14 straight games, and Morgan has been on target in four in a row.
Swindon Town v Grimsby Town in League Two kicks off at 15:00 UK on Saturday 14 November 2026. The match is at The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium in Swindon, in the 2026/27 season, with Swindon 13th on 19 points and Grimsby 6th on 20.
We predict Swindon Town 1-1 Grimsby Town in this League Two 2026/27 fixture, with 1-1 the likeliest score at 11%. Grimsby have a 47% chance of winning, so we make them more likely to take the three points.
Grimsby Town are favourites in this League Two 2026/27 game, with a 47% chance in our model and a best price of 2.05 at Ladbrokes. Swindon Town are 3.30 at Coral, with our model giving them a 28% chance.
We give both teams to score a 62% chance in Swindon vs Grimsby in League Two 2026/27, and bet365 offer 1.53. Grimsby have scored 24 goals in 14 League Two games this season, the 3rd most per game, and 57% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals.
Aaron Drinan has had a shot in 14 straight games for Swindon Town, averaging 2.5 a game, ahead of the 14 November 2026 match with Grimsby Town. Grimsby's Charles Vernam has matched that run, and Iwan Morgan has had a shot on target in four straight games.
Before this League Two game Grimsby Town are 6th on 20 points from 14 games, while Swindon Town are 13th on 19 points from 14. Grimsby have scored 24 goals to Swindon's 15 in the 2026/27 season.
Predicted lineups for Swindon vs Grimsby in the 2026/27 League Two on Saturday 14 November 2026: Swindon may start Ripley; Ball, Majekodunmi, Negru; Clark, Munda, Thomson, Butler; Snowdon, Pearman; Drinan. Grimsby may start Cartwright; McJannett, Kacurri, Rodgers; Vernam, Turi, Green, Foulkes; Walker; Morgan, Amaluzor.