Updated 22 October 2026.
Ipswich Town host Nottingham Forest at Portman Road Stadium on Friday 23 October, kick-off 8pm UK. The Tractor Boys sit 10th in the Premier League on 9 points from 7 games, while Forest are 19th on 5 points. The hosts score freely and concede freely, and Forest have scored fewer goals per game than anyone in the division. That contrast sets up an awkward night for both defences and both attacks.
Ipswich have won 3 and lost 4 of their 7 league games, scoring 11 and conceding 15. They are scoring at 1.57 a game, the 5th most in the league, but they are also conceding 2.14, the 2nd most, and have not kept a clean sheet all season. Both teams have scored in 71% of their games, the highest rate in the division, and the same share have gone over 2.5 goals. They average 4.43 shots on target a game.
The latest outing was a 3-2 defeat at Man City last Saturday, a week after a 2-1 home win over Fulham. Before that came a 1-0 loss at Everton, and Ipswich have lost 5 of their last 7 across all competitions, including a Carabao Cup exit to Arsenal.
Forest have just one win from 7 league games, with 2 draws and 4 defeats, and sit 19th in the Premier League table with 5 points. They have scored 5 goals in total, 0.71 a game and the fewest in the league. They have also lost their last three, most recently 0-1 at home to Arsenal on Sunday and 3-1 at Palace the weekend before. Their one league win was a 2-1 victory at Villa. At the back they are steadier, conceding 1.29 a game.
Forest are also the 2nd-most fouling side in the league at 13.86 a game, and Ipswich give away 11.71, the 9th most.
Ipswich Town possible starting lineup:
Walton; Davis, Diop, Greaves, O'Shea; Florentino, Palacios; Ouattara, Enciso, Emersonn; Maeda
Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Sels; Williams, Murillo, Diomande, Cunha, Muñoz; Schlager, DomÃnguez; Ndoye, McAtee; Delap
Dan Ndoye has had 2 or more shots in each of his last four games and averages 3.5 a game, with 2 or more at 1.35 with Ladbrokes. His teammate James McAtee has had at least one shot in five straight, averaging 2.4, and is 1.22 with Coral.
Neco Williams has made a tackle in all seven of Forest's games, averaging 2.3, and Xaver Schlager has a shot in six in a row and a foul in five, at 1.25 with Midnite for a foul.
For Ipswich, Exequiel Palacios has made a tackle in six straight, averaging 2.7 a game, and he has also been rated by our model as one of the likelier players to commit a foul, at 1.50. Dara O'Shea has made at least one tackle in each of his last five, at 1.29 with bet365.
We back Forest, at 2.20 with bet365 to win, and they are the model's most likely winners at 43%. Ipswich are 3.25 and the draw is 3.50.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town win | 3.25 (bet365) | 31% |
| Draw | 3.50 (Ladbrokes) | 26% |
| Nottingham Forest win | 2.20 (bet365) | 43% |
| Both teams to score | 1.60 (Ladbrokes) | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 (bet365) | 55% |
We expect a 1-1 draw, the likeliest score at 12%, though we make Forest the likelier winners. Both teams are projected to score, at 59%, and our model has goals at 1.32 for Ipswich and 1.57 for Forest. Over 2.5 goals is also in play at 55%, a market Ipswich have landed in 71% of their league games.
On the player markets, Cédric Kipré and Jacob Greaves are among the Ipswich defenders our model rates highest for fouls, with Greaves at 4.00 for 2 or more.
Kick-off is at 8pm UK on Friday 23 October 2026 at Portman Road Stadium.
We predict a 1-1 draw, though we make Nottingham Forest the likelier winners.
Nottingham Forest, at 2.20 with bet365 to win, and the model gives them a 43% chance against 31% for Ipswich Town.
Our model gives both teams to score a 59% chance, with the best price 1.60 at Ladbrokes. Ipswich have seen both teams score in 71% of their league games.
Ipswich Town are 10th with 9 points from 7 games, and Nottingham Forest are 19th with 5 points from 7.
Dan Ndoye has had 2 or more shots in four straight games, James McAtee has had a shot in five in a row, and Neco Williams has made a tackle in all seven games.
Ipswich: Walton; Davis, Diop, Greaves, O'Shea; Florentino, Palacios; Ouattara, Enciso, Emersonn; Maeda. Forest: Sels; Williams, Murillo, Diomande, Cunha, Muñoz; Schlager, DomÃnguez; Ndoye, McAtee; Delap.