Updated 5 November 2026.
Leeds United host Tottenham Hotspur at Elland Road on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 12:30 UK. Leeds sit 12th on 11 points and Spurs 9th on 12, and we project 1.19 goals for each side.
Spurs have won their last three league games, while Leeds are winless in five, with three draws and two defeats.
Leeds are 12th in the table with 11 points from nine league games, with two wins, five draws and two defeats. In their last five they drew 0-0 with Crystal Palace, lost 2-1 at Arsenal, drew 1-1 with Man Utd and 0-0 at Sunderland, and lost 2-0 at Bournemouth last time out. They have scored nine and conceded eight in nine games.
Leeds concede 0.89 goals a game, the 3rd fewest, and keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, the 6th highest rate in the division. Both teams have scored in 56% of Leeds's matches, the 3rd highest rate, yet only 22% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd lowest. They also commit the 6th most fouls in the league at 13 a game.
Spurs lost 3-2 at home to Villa and drew 1-1 at Man Utd before winning 3-1 against Coventry, 2-0 at Chelsea and 2-0 against Palace, with clean sheets in the last two.
They have the 3rd highest clean-sheet rate in the league at 44% and average 7.89 corners a game, the most of any side. They get 4.44 shots on target per game, the 8th most, and they commit the 4th most fouls at 13.11 a game.
Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Trafford; Bogle, Bijol, Muharemović, Gudmundsson; Justin, Ampadu, Tanaka; Wilson, Aaronson, Calvert-Lewin
Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Kinský; Gray, van Hecke, van de Ven, Robertson; Tonali, Fernandes; Kudus, Maddison, Tel; Marmoush
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has committed at least one foul in all nine of his games this season, averaging 2 a game, and he's 1.22 at Ladbrokes to do it again. Team-mate Jayden Bogle has the same nine-game run at 1.3 a game and is 1.30 at bet365.
Mohammed Kudus has had two or more shots in five straight games, averaging 2.2, and bet365 make him 1.62 to extend it. Sandro Tonali has had a shot in six in a row at 1.8 per game and is 1.33 at bet365.
Ao Tanaka has made two or more tackles in four straight games, averaging 2.5, and is 1.50 at bet365 to keep going. Archie Gray has committed a foul in seven straight games for Spurs, averaging 1.3, and is 1.44 at Ladbrokes. Gabriel Gudmundsson has made a tackle in seven straight games for Leeds, averaging 2 a game.
We give Leeds a 36% chance to win, Spurs 35% and the draw 29%. Spurs are 2.60 at bet365 and Leeds 2.70 at bet365, with the draw at 3.50 at BoyleSports.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 2.70 (bet365) | 36% |
| Draw | 3.50 (BoyleSports) | 29% |
| Spurs win | 2.60 (bet365) | 35% |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 (Ladbrokes) | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 (bet365) | 43% |
We predict 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, with 1-0 and 0-1 next at 10% each. We project 1.19 goals for each side, which puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
For a bet builder, the legs from the runs above are Tonali to have a shot (1.33 at bet365), Kudus to have two or more shots (1.62 at bet365), Calvert-Lewin to commit a foul (1.18 at bet365) and Ethan Ampadu to commit a foul (1.13 at bet365). Ampadu has committed at least one foul in each of his last five games, averaging 3.2.
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur in the 2026/27 Premier League kicks off at 12:30 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Elland Road. Leeds are 12th on 11 points and Tottenham are 9th on 12 points.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Leeds vs Spurs in the 2026/27 Premier League, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%. We give Leeds a 36% chance to win and Spurs 35%, with the draw at 29%.
Spurs are marginal favourites with the bookmakers at 2.60 at bet365, with Leeds at 2.70 at bet365, for Leeds vs Spurs in the 2026/27 Premier League on 7 November 2026. We give Leeds a 36% chance to win and Spurs 35%.
We give both teams to score a 49% chance in Leeds vs Spurs in the 2026/27 Premier League, with 1.73 at Ladbrokes. Both teams have scored in 56% of Leeds's league games, the 3rd highest rate.
Leeds are 12th on 11 points from 9 games and Spurs are 9th on 12 points from 9 games in the 2026/27 Premier League. Spurs have won their last three, while Leeds are winless in five.
Ahead of Leeds vs Spurs, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has committed a foul in 9 straight Premier League games for Leeds in 2026/27, and Mohammed Kudus has had 2+ shots in 5 straight for Spurs. Sandro Tonali has had a shot in 6 straight.
Predicted lineups for Leeds vs Spurs in the 2026/27 Premier League on Saturday 7 November 2026: Leeds United may start Trafford; Bogle, Bijol, Muharemović, Gudmundsson; Justin, Ampadu, Tanaka; Wilson, Aaronson, Calvert-Lewin. Tottenham Hotspur may start Kinský; Gray, van Hecke, van de Ven, Robertson; Tonali, Fernandes; Kudus, Maddison, Tel; Marmoush.