Updated 5 November 2026.
Toulouse welcome Strasbourg to the Stadium de Toulouse on Friday 6 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in a Ligue 1 game between two sides level on 10 points. Toulouse sit 12th and Strasbourg 13th, separated only by goal difference. Toulouse went four league games unbeaten before losing at Marseille last time out, while Strasbourg have just scored five against Auxerre after four straight defeats.
Toulouse have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their nine, scoring 12 and conceding 13. They went to Marseille on 1 November and lost 2-0, which followed a goalless home draw with Troyes. Before that came a 3-0 win at Le Mans and a 2-2 draw at Monaco. They score 1.33 a game, the 8th fewest, and concede 1.44, the 9th fewest. Nobody in the division commits more fouls, at 15.78 a game, and they have kept a clean sheet in 22% of their matches, the 8th highest rate.
Strasbourg have scored 17 and conceded 19, which is 1.89 for and 2.11 against a game, the 4th most scored and the 4th most conceded. In 78% of their games both teams have scored, the 2nd highest rate, and 89% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest in the league. They have not kept a single clean sheet. Their four defeats in a row were 2-1 at Paris, 2-1 at Nice, 3-1 at home to PSG and 3-0 at Rennes, and last time out they won 5-1 at home to Auxerre. They also win very few corners, the 2nd fewest in the league at 2.67 a game.
In the Ligue 1 table the clubs are one place apart on 10 points each. Strasbourg average 5 shots on target a game, the 7th most, to 4.67 for Toulouse, the 8th fewest. Toulouse have conceded 13 goals in 9 games, against 19 for Strasbourg.
Toulouse possible starting lineup:
Restes; Diallo, Nicolaisen, McKenzie, Tapé; Jørgensen, Sigur, Cásseres Jr.; Azizi, Tengstedt, Russell-Rowe
Strasbourg possible starting lineup:
Jørgensen; Høgsberg, Doukouré, Coulibaly, Oso; Essugo, El Mourabet; Reyna, Yassine, Godo; Harder
Thomas Jørgensen has had at least one shot in all nine of Toulouse's league games, averaging 1.9 a game. He is 1.14 at bet365 for a shot.
Casper Tengstedt has managed two or more shots in seven straight games and is averaging 3.4. He is 1.17 at bet365 to keep it going.
Cristian Cásseres Jr. has made a tackle in each of Toulouse's nine games, averaging 3.9, and has committed a foul in eight in a row, averaging 2.1. Toulouse commit more fouls than any other side in Ligue 1.
For Strasbourg, Conrad Harder has had a shot on target in four straight games and is 1.80 at bet365 to make it five. Gessime Yassine has made a tackle in all nine of Strasbourg's matches, at 2.6 a game.
We make Toulouse the narrow favourites at 42% to win, with the draw at 25% and a Strasbourg win at 33%. bet365 have Toulouse at 2.05, the draw at 3.80 and Strasbourg at 3.30. We put both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%, and bet365 have both teams to score at 1.53 and over 2.5 at 1.62.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse win | 2.05 (bet365) | 42% |
| Draw | 3.80 (bet365) | 25% |
| Strasbourg win | 3.30 (bet365) | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 (bet365) | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 (bet365) | 58% |
We project 1.62 goals for Toulouse and 1.41 for Strasbourg. The likeliest single scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 to the hosts at 9%, so a draw is in play, though we make Toulouse 42% to win against 33% for Strasbourg. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw.
Toulouse vs Strasbourg in Ligue 1 kicks off at 19:45 UK on Friday 6 November 2026 at the Stadium de Toulouse. Both sides are level on 10 points after nine Ligue 1 matches, with Toulouse 12th and Strasbourg 13th.
Our prediction for Toulouse vs Strasbourg in Ligue 1 is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest scoreline at 12%. We make Toulouse 42% to win, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 33%, so the hosts are narrow favourites overall.
We put both teams to score in Toulouse vs Strasbourg in Ligue 1 at 61%, with over 2.5 goals at 58%. Strasbourg have scored and conceded in 78% of their nine Ligue 1 games this season, the 2nd highest rate, and have kept no clean sheets.
Toulouse are 12th and Strasbourg 13th in Ligue 1 after nine games each, both on 10 points. Toulouse have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats with a goal difference of -1, while Strasbourg have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats at -2.
Thomas Jørgensen has had a shot in 9 straight Ligue 1 games for Toulouse this season, and Casper Tengstedt has had two or more shots in 7 straight, going into Toulouse vs Strasbourg on 6 November 2026. Cristian Cásseres Jr. has made a tackle in all 9 league games, averaging 3.9.
Our possible starting lineup for Toulouse in the Ligue 1 game against Strasbourg is Restes; Diallo, Nicolaisen, McKenzie, Tapé; Jørgensen, Sigur, Cásseres Jr.; Azizi, Tengstedt, Russell-Rowe. Strasbourg could line up with Jørgensen in goal and Harder leading the attack.