Updated 24 October 2026.
Lecce welcome Juventus to the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 17:00 UK. Juventus arrive with three days' rest after a 2-2 draw with Rennes in the Europa League, while Lecce are coming off a 3-0 win at Udinese. The hosts are 12th in the Serie A table on 9 points. Juventus are 9th on 11, and we make them clear favourites.
We project 1.86 goals for Juventus and 0.67 for Lecce, and 5.87 shots on target for Juventus to Lecce's 2.78.
Lecce have won three and lost four of their seven league games, with nine scored and twelve conceded. They've won two of their last five. The latest was the 3-0 win at Udinese on 18 October, which followed a 2-1 home defeat to Bologna. Before that came a 3-0 loss at AC Milan and a 3-2 home win over Monza. Their fouls average of 13 a game is the 2nd most in the division, and they keep a clean sheet in 29% of games, the 6th highest rate.
Juventus have three wins, two draws and two defeats in the league, nine goals for and eight against. Their goals against average of 1.14 is the 7th fewest, and their 43% clean-sheet rate is the 3rd highest. They average 5.86 shots on target a game, the 5th most, and 8.14 corners, the most in Serie A. In their last three games they had a 2-1 win at Celta in the Europa League on 15 October, a 3-0 home defeat to Lazio three days later, and then the 2-2 draw with Rennes on Thursday. Before that they drew 1-1 at Cagliari and beat Atalanta 2-0 at home.
Lecce possible starting lineup:
Falcone; Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo; Maleh, Ngom; Amar Fatah, Geubbels, N’Dri
Juventus possible starting lineup:
Vicario; Gatti, Bremer, LucumÃ, Kalulu; Douglas Luiz, Sarr, McKennie; Cambiaso, Woltemade, Kolo Muani
Danilo Veiga has committed at least one foul in seven straight games, 1.7 a game, and one or more fouls is 1.33 at Ladbrokes. The right-back has also made three or more tackles in four in a row, averaging 4.3, and that is 1.73 at bet365.
Gaspar has made a tackle in each of his last five games, and two or more tackles is 1.67 at bet365. Amar Fatah has had a shot in each of his last five and is 1.20 at bet365 to make it six. Tiago Gabriel has made a tackle in five straight games, 2 a game.
For Juventus, Pape Matar Sarr has had a shot in four of his last five games and averages two a game, priced 1.30 at bet365. Bremer has made a tackle in seven straight games, 1.6 a game, and Douglas Luiz has done it in six straight.
Juventus are favourites at 1.48 with Ladbrokes; Lecce are 8.00 at bet365 and the draw is 4.33 at Coral. We make Juventus 65% to win, the draw 23% and Lecce 12%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Lecce win | 8.00 (bet365) | 12% |
| Draw | 4.33 (Coral) | 23% |
| Juventus win | 1.48 (Ladbrokes) | 65% |
| Both teams to score | 2.00 (bet365) | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 46% |
Our prediction is Lecce 0-1 Juventus, the likeliest single score, with 0-2 close behind. 1-1 is the third likeliest score. We give Juventus a 51% chance of keeping a clean sheet and Lecce 16%. Over 1.5 goals is 1.29 at Midnite, and we make it 73%.
On the player markets, the runs above point to Veiga's fouls and tackles, Gaspar's tackles, Fatah's shots and Sarr's shots.
The Serie A game kicks off at 17:00 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026 at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare.
We predict Lecce 0-1 Juventus. We give Juventus a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lecce 12%.
Juventus are favourites at 1.48 with Ladbrokes. Lecce are 8.00 at bet365 and the draw is 4.33 at Coral.
We give both teams to score a 42% chance, and the best price is 2.00 at bet365. Over 2.5 goals is 1.80 at bet365, and we make it 46%.
Danilo Veiga has committed a foul in seven straight league games, and has made three or more tackles in his last four.
Lecce are 12th with 9 points from seven games. Juventus are 9th with 11 points.
Lecce: Falcone; Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo; Maleh, Ngom; Amar Fatah, Geubbels, N’Dri. Juventus: Vicario; Gatti, Bremer, LucumÃ, Kalulu; Douglas Luiz, Sarr, McKennie; Cambiaso, Woltemade, Kolo Muani.