Updated 6 November 2026.
Genoa welcome AC Milan to the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on Sunday 8 November, with a 14:00 UK kick-off. Genoa have won their last three league games and now face a Milan side that beat Inter last weekend, then lost to Ferencvárosi in the Europa League on Thursday.
Milan sit 5th in the Serie A table on 21 points, with Genoa 11th on 13. Genoa have won four of their last five league games, while Milan have won two of their last five in all competitions.
Genoa beat Fiorentina 2-1 before losing 2-0 at Roma, then won 1-0 against Venezia, 2-0 against Juventus and 2-1 at Lecce. That is ten goals scored and 14 conceded over ten league games, and they've kept a clean sheet in 20% of them. They have conceded 1.4 goals a game, the 9th fewest. At the other end, they average 2.9 shots on target a game, the fewest in Serie A, and 1.0 goals, the 4th fewest.
Milan have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten league games and score 2.1 a game, the 5th most in the division. They won 2-0 at Udinese, lost 4-2 to Bologna, then beat Inter 3-1. Thursday's 2-0 home defeat to Ferencvárosi in the Europa League followed a 3-0 loss at Bournemouth a fortnight earlier. Both teams to score has landed in 70% of their league games, the 4th highest rate, and their 3.0 corners a game is the fewest in the league.
Genoa possible starting lineup:
Bijlow; Ehizibue, Østigård, Vásquez, Marcandalli; Frendrup, Ellertsson, Traoré; Messias, El Shaarawy, Osmajic
AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Gila, De Winter, Pavlović; Musah, Modrić, Rabiot, Diawara; Pulisic, Moreira, Ramos
Leo Østigård has made at least one tackle in all ten of Genoa's league games, 1.7 a game. He is 1.25 at bet365 to make one again. Mikael Egill Ellertsson shares the same ten-game run at 2.2 tackles a game, and for fouls 1+ is 1.50 and 2+ is 3.25.
For Milan, Christian Pulisic has had a shot on target in four straight games and is 1.67 at bet365 for another. Adrien Rabiot has also had a shot on target in four straight games, priced at 2.40 at Ladbrokes, and two or more shots in three straight, priced at 2.00 at Ladbrokes.
Diego Moreira has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 1.8, and is 1.18 at bet365. Strahinja Pavlović has made two or more tackles in five straight games at 2.2 a game, and is 1.80 at bet365 to do it again.
We back AC Milan to win, and bet365 have them at 1.80, with our model giving them a 48% chance against 24% for Genoa and 28% for the draw. Genoa are 4.50 and the draw is 3.60.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa win | 4.50 (bet365) | 24% |
| Draw | 3.60 (bet365) | 28% |
| AC Milan win | 1.80 (bet365) | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 (bet365) | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 (bet365) | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 (bet365) | 44% |
We predict 1-1, the likeliest single score at 13.4%, though we make Milan the more likely winner at 48% to Genoa's 24%. We project 0.96 goals for Genoa, who have scored ten times in ten league games, and 1.47 for Milan. A 0-1 away win is next at 12.0%, followed by 0-0 at 9.7%.
Genoa vs AC Milan kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the 2026/27 Serie A. AC Milan are 5th on 21 points from 10 games and Genoa 11th on 13.
Our 2026/27 Serie A prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan on 8 November is a 1-1 draw, with a 13% chance of that exact score. We make Milan the likelier winner at 48%, against 24% for Genoa and 28% for the draw.
AC Milan are favourites for the 2026/27 Serie A game at Genoa on 8 November, at 1.80 with bet365. Genoa are 4.50 and the draw is 3.60. Our model gives Milan a 48% chance of winning.
We give both teams to score a 48% chance in Genoa vs AC Milan, a 2026/27 Serie A game on 8 November, and bet365 have it at 1.95. Both teams have scored in 70% of Milan's league games this season, against 50% of Genoa's.
Before Genoa vs AC Milan in the 2026/27 Serie A on 8 November, AC Milan are 5th with 21 points from 10 games and Genoa are 11th with 13 points from 10. Milan have won six and Genoa four this season.
Leo Østigård has made at least one tackle in 10 straight Serie A games this 2026/27 season, averaging 1.7 a game, ahead of Genoa's home match with AC Milan on 8 November. He is 1.25 at bet365 to do it again.
Predicted lineups for Genoa vs AC Milan in the 2026/27 Serie A on Sunday 8 November 2026: Genoa may start Bijlow; Ehizibue, Østigård, Vásquez, Marcandalli; Frendrup, Ellertsson, Traoré; Messias, El Shaarawy, Osmajic. AC Milan may start Maignan; Gila, De Winter, Pavlović; Musah, Modrić, Rabiot, Diawara; Pulisic, Moreira, Ramos.