Updated 6 November 2026.
Napoli host Lazio at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 11:30 UK. In Serie A the side sitting 8th are at home to the side sitting 1st, and Lazio have not lost a league game all season.
Lazio arrive on 28 points from 10 games, nine wins and a draw, with 24 goals scored and only 8 conceded. Napoli have 14 points and have lost their last two games.
Napoli lost 2-0 at Juventus in the league on 1 November and 4-1 at Porto in the Champions League on 4 November. Before that they won 4-1 at Monza, drew 3-3 with Roma and beat Bodø / Glimt 4-3 in the Champions League. They sit 8th with four wins, two draws and four defeats, and 17 goals for against 13 against.
Napoli's shots on target average 5.6 a game, the 5th most in the division, and they have kept clean sheets in 30% of games, the 4th highest. They also concede 1.3 goals a game, the 6th fewest, and they commit the 2nd fewest fouls, 8.4 a game.
Lazio have won nine of ten, and the only blip was a draw. They beat Cagliari 2-1 last time out, won 6-2 at Sassuolo in midweek and, before that, beat Parma 2-1 and won 3-0 at Juventus. At 2.4 goals a game they have the 3rd most in the league, and their 0.8 conceded is the fewest. They are 1st on the Serie A table, and 70% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Napoli possible starting lineup:
Meret; Rrahmani, Beukema, MarÃn; Politano, Anguissa, Gilmour, McTominay, De Bruyne; Lang, Højlund
Lazio possible starting lineup:
Mandas; Floriani Mussolini, Provstgaard, Sutalo, Pellegrini; Belahyane, Taylor, Frattesi; Isaksen, Pinamonti, Noslin
Noa Lang has had a shot in seven straight games, priced at 1.07 at bet365, and a tackle in eight straight, priced at 1.14.
Rasmus Højlund has had two or more shots in four straight games, averaging 2.5 a game, and has hit the target in three in a row. One or more shots on target is 1.62 at bet365.
Scott McTominay has hit the target in four of his last five and is 1.62 at bet365 for a shot on target. He had three shots on target in one of those games.
For Lazio, Romano Floriani Mussolini has made at least one tackle in all ten league games, averaging 2.1. Gustav Isaksen has had a shot in five straight games and averages 3.2 a game, and he has hit the target in four of his last five at 1.57 with bet365.
We back Napoli at 2.30 with Ladbrokes, and our model gives them a 45% chance of winning against 28% for Lazio.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli to win | 2.30 (Ladbrokes) | 45% |
| Draw | 3.60 (bet365) | 27% |
| Lazio to win | 3.00 (bet365) | 28% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 (bet365) | 50% |
We predict 1-1, which is the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Napoli the more likely winner at 45% to Lazio's 28%. 1-0 and 2-1 to Napoli follow at 9.6% and 9.2%. We project Napoli at 1.51 goals to Lazio's 1.16, and over 2.5 goals is an even call.
For the player markets, our bet builder pairs Scott McTominay and Gustav Isaksen for a shot on target each, with Davide Frattesi and Kenneth Taylor for a shot apiece. McTominay and Isaksen have each hit the target in four of their last five, and Frattesi and Taylor have each had a shot in four of five. At bet365 the four legs are 1.62, 1.57, 1.18 and 1.40.
Napoli vs Lazio kicks off at 11:30 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, in the 2026/27 Serie A. Lazio lead the table on 28 points from 10 games and Napoli are 8th on 14.
Our Statz prediction for Napoli vs Lazio in the 2026/27 Serie A is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%. We still make Napoli slightly more likely to win, at 45% against 28% for Lazio, with the draw at 27%.
Napoli are the favourites against Lazio in the 2026/27 Serie A on 8 November at 2.30 with Ladbrokes, and our model gives them a 45% chance of winning. Lazio are 3.00 at bet365, with the draw at 3.60.
Our model gives both teams to score in Napoli vs Lazio in the 2026/27 Serie A a 54% chance, and bet365 offer 1.62. Over 2.5 goals is a 50% call, and Lazio's games have gone over 2.5 goals 70% of the time.
Before Napoli vs Lazio, Lazio lead the 2026/27 Serie A in 1st place on 28 points from 10 games, with nine wins and a draw. Napoli are 8th on 14 points from 10 games, with four wins, two draws and four defeats.
Noa Lang has had a shot in 7 straight games and a tackle in 8 straight for Napoli ahead of their 2026/27 Serie A game against Lazio. For Lazio, Romano Floriani Mussolini has made a tackle in all 10 games, and Gustav Isaksen has had a shot in 5 straight.
Predicted lineups for Napoli vs Lazio in the 2026/27 Serie A on Sunday 8 November 2026: Napoli may start Meret; Rrahmani, Beukema, MarÃn; Politano, Anguissa, Gilmour, McTominay, De Bruyne; Lang, Højlund. Lazio may start Mandas; Floriani Mussolini, Provstgaard, Sutalo, Pellegrini; Belahyane, Taylor, Frattesi; Isaksen, Pinamonti, Noslin.