Updated 23 October 2026.
Sporting KC welcome Austin to Children's Mercy Park in Major League Soccer, with kick-off at 1:30am UK on Sunday 25 October. Sporting KC have conceded 75 times in 30 games, the most in the league, and Austin arrive having lost three in a row, with the 2nd fewest shots on target in MLS.
Sporting KC are 15th in the Western Conference on 22 points and Austin 14th on 31, and bet365 make Sporting KC the favourites at 2.15.
Sporting KC have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 20 of their 30 games, scoring 36 and conceding 75. They have won two of their last ten, drawn one and lost seven. The latest outing was a 3-1 home defeat to RSL. Before that came a 4-0 loss at Nashville SC, a 3-3 draw with Portland and a 2-1 loss at Seattle. Their last win was a 2-0 win at Houston on 27 September.
Sporting KC have conceded the most goals in MLS at 2.5 a game and have the lowest clean-sheet rate, just 3%. They also have the 2nd fewest goals for at 1.2 a game, the 3rd fewest shots on target and the 3rd fewest corners. Yet 80% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in the division.
Austin are 7 wins, 10 draws and 13 defeats, with 38 scored and 56 conceded. Their last three have all been losses: 2-1 at home to Vancouver, 3-1 at LAFC and 4-1 at home to Nashville SC. Before that they drew 3-3 with San Diego and 0-0 at Dallas.
Austin score 1.27 goals a game, the 5th fewest, while their games have seen both teams score 70% of the time, the 7th highest rate. They give up 1.87 goals a game, the 8th most. Austin's 4.07 shots on target a game is the 2nd fewest in the league and Sporting KC's 4.2 is the 3rd fewest.
Sporting KC possible starting lineup:
Cleveland; Bartlett, Miller, Meyer, Karic; Luiz, Bassong, Agyabeng; Harris, Calheira, Afrifa
Austin possible starting lineup:
Stuver; Rosales, Bell, Biro; F. Torres, E. Torres, Sabovic, Gallagher; Ramirez, Vazquez, Uzuni
Brandon Vazquez leads the Austin attack. Vazquez has had two or more shots in four straight games, averaging 3.5, and two or more on target in four straight, averaging 2.3. A shot on target is 1.33 at bet365, and two or more on target is 2.63 there.
André Luiz has had a shot in eight straight games, averaging four a game across the run. Luiz has also had a shot on target in four of his last five, with three on target in one of them.
Taylor Calheira leads the Sporting KC attack and has had two or more shots in four straight games, averaging 2.8 across the run. Calheira is 1.22 at bet365 for two or more shots.
Emir Karic has committed a foul in six straight games. Karic is averaging 1.7 across the run, and midnite have him at 1.62 to commit one here. His team-mate Jansen Miller has fouled twice or more in three straight, averaging 3.7, and is 2.50 at midnite for two or more. Zorhan Bassong has fouled in three straight, averaging two, and is 1.22 at midnite.
We make Sporting KC the likeliest winners at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for an Austin win, and bet365 have them at 2.15.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting KC to win | 2.15 (bet365) | 49% |
| Draw | 3.90 (bet365) | 24% |
| Austin to win | 2.85 (bet365) | 27% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 (bet365) | 63% |
We project Sporting KC for 1.89 goals and Austin for 1.37. Both teams to score comes out at 64%: Sporting KC have the lowest clean-sheet rate in the league and Austin's matches see both sides score 70% of the time. Over 2.5 goals is 63%, and 80% of Sporting KC's own games have gone over that line.
Our prediction is Sporting KC 1-1 Austin, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, with 2-1 to the home side next at 9%, though we make Sporting KC the likelier winners at 49%.
Kick-off at Children's Mercy Park is at 1:30am UK on Sunday 25 October 2026, which is 7:30pm local time on Saturday.
We predict Sporting KC 1-1 Austin, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, so a draw is in play. We still make Sporting KC 49% to win.
Sporting KC are favourites at 2.15 with bet365, against 2.85 for an Austin win and 3.90 for the draw. Our model backs them too.
We put both teams to score at 64%, with bet365 offering 1.44. Austin's matches have seen both sides score 70% of the time, and Sporting KC have the lowest clean-sheet rate in the league.
We project 1.89 for Sporting KC and 1.37 for Austin. Over 2.5 goals is 63% in our model, and 80% of Sporting KC's games have gone over that line.
Austin's Brandon Vazquez has had two or more shots in four straight games and two or more on target in four straight. For Sporting KC, André Luiz has had a shot in eight in a row.
Austin are 14th in the Western Conference with 31 points from 30 games and Sporting KC are 15th with 22 points.
Sporting KC: Cleveland; Bartlett, Miller, Meyer, Karic; Luiz, Bassong, Agyabeng; Harris, Calheira, Afrifa. Austin: Stuver; Rosales, Bell, Biro; F. Torres, E. Torres, Sabovic, Gallagher; Ramirez, Vazquez, Uzuni.