Once South Africa have enough completed CAF World Cup Qualifiers matches with expected goals (xG) data, per-game averages and player leaders will publish here. The match-by-match table above updates after every game.
Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of South Africa vs Kenya on 11.11.2026.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare South Africa's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.
South Africa have taken 3.0 points more than their chances warranted over 10 games: +3.5 goals against their xG, and +1.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 10 | 13.50 | 17 | +3.50 | 7.07 | 6 | +1.07 | 18.05 | 21 | +2.95 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.63 | 9 | +2.37 | 3.01 | 1 | +2.01 | 9.37 | 11 | +1.63 |
| Home | 5 | 6.96 | 11 | +4.04 | 2.77 | 3 | -0.23 | 9.71 | 13 | +3.29 |
| Away | 5 | 6.54 | 6 | -0.54 | 4.30 | 3 | +1.30 | 8.34 | 8 | -0.34 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Rwanda (H) | 3-0 | 1.31 | 0.39 | 2.09 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Zimbabwe (A) | 0-0 | 2.22 | 0.64 | 2.38 | 1 | W |
| 9 Sep | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Nigeria (H) | 1-1 | 0.66 | 0.69 | 1.28 | 1 | D |
| 5 Sep | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Lesotho (A) | 0-3 | 1.22 | 0.82 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| 25 Mar | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Benin (A) | 0-2 | 1.22 | 0.47 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Lesotho (H) | 2-0 | 1.94 | 0.36 | 2.45 | 3 | W |
| 11 Jun | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Zimbabwe (H) | 3-1 | 2.12 | 0.76 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 7 Jun | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Nigeria (A) | 1-1 | 1.01 | 1.42 | 1.07 | 1 | L |
| 21 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Rwanda (A) | 2-0 | 0.87 | 0.95 | 1.27 | 0 | L |
| 18 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Benin (H) | 2-1 | 0.93 | 0.57 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oswin Appollis | attacker | 8 | 490 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Lyle Foster | attacker | 6 | 445 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Thapelo Morena | defender | 6 | 248 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Evidence Makgopa | attacker | 3 | 143 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Percy Tau | attacker | 5 | 425 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Themba Zwane | midfielder | 4 | 348 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Khuliso Mudau | defender | 8 | 720 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Iqraam Rayners | attacker | 6 | 187 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Relebohile Mofokeng | attacker | 3 | 159 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Thalente Mbatha | midfielder | 5 | 283 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Sipho Mbule | midfielder | 4 | 343 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Mohau Nkota | attacker | 4 | 266 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 10 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.3 | 0 | 17.6 | 28 | +10.4 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 11 | 13.2 | 16 | 10.7 | 6 | 16.7 | 25 | +8.3 |
| 3 | Gabon | 11 | 13.5 | 23 | 10.9 | 13 | 16.8 | 25 | +8.2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 10 | 13.4 | 24 | 8.6 | 8 | 16.9 | 25 | +8.1 |
| 5 | Ghana | 10 | 14.8 | 23 | 9.3 | 6 | 17.1 | 25 | +7.9 |
| 6 | Morocco | 8 | 14.6 | 22 | 4.7 | 2 | 17.3 | 24 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Cape Verde Islands | 10 | 13.1 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 16.6 | 23 | +6.4 |
| 8 | Senegal | 10 | 16.1 | 22 | 9.2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | +6 |
| 9 | Côte d'Ivoire | 10 | 17.7 | 25 | 5.7 | 0 | 20.2 | 26 | +5.8 |
| 10 | Madagascar | 10 | 11.2 | 17 | 11.7 | 12 | 13.4 | 19 | +5.6 |
| 11 | Egypt | 9 | 15.4 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 17.7 | 23 | +5.3 |
| 12 | Libya | 10 | 9.2 | 12 | 12.3 | 10 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 13 | Niger | 7 | 7.4 | 8 | 11.1 | 10 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| 14 | Burkina Faso | 10 | 15.5 | 23 | 10.5 | 8 | 16.9 | 21 | +4.1 |
| 15 | Mozambique | 9 | 8.4 | 11 | 10.2 | 16 | 10.9 | 15 | +4.1 |
| 16 | Benin | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9.4 | 11 | 13.7 | 17 | +3.3 |
| 17 | Sierra Leone | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| 18 | South Africa | 10 | 13.5 | 17 | 7.1 | 6 | 18.1 | 21 | +2.9 |
| 19 | Uganda | 9 | 11.5 | 13 | 7.5 | 6 | 15.3 | 18 | +2.7 |
| 20 | Sudan | 10 | 10 | 8 | 13.4 | 6 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| 21 | Liberia | 9 | 8.9 | 10 | 11.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| 22 | Lesotho | 10 | 8 | 6 | 17.7 | 14 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| 23 | Guinea | 10 | 11.7 | 11 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 | Cameroon | 10 | 16.3 | 17 | 9.6 | 6 | 18.1 | 18 | -0.1 |
| 25 | Comoros | 10 | 12.3 | 12 | 9.6 | 13 | 15.1 | 15 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Tanzania | 7 | 5.6 | 3 | 8.3 | 7 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 27 | Central African Republic | 10 | 8.3 | 11 | 16.8 | 24 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| 28 | Ethiopia | 9 | 8.7 | 9 | 14.3 | 14 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| 29 | Rwanda | 9 | 8.9 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| 30 | Equatorial Guinea | 7 | 9.5 | 8 | 5.2 | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| 31 | Nigeria | 10 | 15.1 | 17 | 7.6 | 9 | 18.6 | 17 | -1.6 |
| 32 | Burundi | 10 | 8.8 | 13 | 11.3 | 13 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| 33 | Namibia | 9 | 11.2 | 10 | 8.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 12 | -1.8 |
| 34 | Malawi | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11.3 | 10 | 12.2 | 10 | -2.2 |
| 35 | Mauritius | 10 | 7 | 7 | 14.6 | 17 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| 36 | Mali | 9 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.4 | 6 | 17.4 | 15 | -2.4 |
| 37 | South Sudan | 10 | 7.9 | 3 | 17.6 | 19 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| 38 | Gambia | 10 | 14.1 | 27 | 10.9 | 18 | 15.6 | 13 | -2.6 |
| 39 | Botswana | 10 | 11.3 | 12 | 11.9 | 16 | 12.8 | 10 | -2.8 |
| 40 | Kenya | 10 | 13.2 | 18 | 9.8 | 14 | 15.3 | 12 | -3.3 |
| 41 | Congo | 5 | 4.9 | 4 | 9.3 | 15 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| 42 | Guinea-Bissau | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 13.5 | 10 | -3.5 |
| 43 | Seychelles | 10 | 4.2 | 2 | 23.8 | 53 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| 44 | Zambia | 7 | 10.4 | 7 | 9.5 | 10 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
| 45 | São Tomé and PrÃncipe | 10 | 7.8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
| 46 | Angola | 9 | 12.7 | 9 | 7.9 | 8 | 15.5 | 11 | -4.5 |
| 47 | Zimbabwe | 10 | 10.1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 5 | -6 |
| 48 | Chad | 9 | 6.9 | 5 | 13.9 | 22 | 7.7 | 1 | -6.7 |
| 49 | Mauritania | 10 | 11.3 | 4 | 11.1 | 13 | 13.8 | 7 | -6.8 |
| 50 | Somalia | 10 | 7.2 | 3 | 15.2 | 20 | 8.1 | 1 | -7.1 |
| 51 | Eswatini | 10 | 10.4 | 6 | 15.4 | 19 | 10.6 | 3 | -7.6 |
| 52 | Djibouti | 10 | 8.5 | 5 | 15.9 | 33 | 8.6 | 1 | -7.6 |
| 53 | Togo | 10 | 13.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | 16.1 | 8 | -8.1 |