Once Madagascar have enough completed CAF World Cup Qualifiers matches with expected goals (xG) data, per-game averages and player leaders will publish here. The match-by-match table above updates after every game.
Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau on 11.11.2026.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Madagascar's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.
Madagascar have taken 5.6 points more than their chances warranted over 10 games: +5.8 goals against their xG, and -0.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 10 | 11.23 | 17 | +5.77 | 11.74 | 12 | -0.26 | 13.43 | 19 | +5.57 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.31 | 8 | +3.69 | 4.36 | 9 | -4.64 | 6.70 | 9 | +2.30 |
| Home | 5 | 4.53 | 7 | +2.47 | 5.53 | 5 | +0.53 | 6.24 | 10 | +3.76 |
| Away | 5 | 6.70 | 10 | +3.30 | 6.21 | 7 | -0.79 | 7.19 | 9 | +1.81 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Mali (A) | 4-1 | 0.56 | 0.87 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 8 Oct | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Comoros (A) | 1-2 | 1.10 | 1.47 | 1.11 | 3 | L |
| 8 Sep | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Chad (H) | 3-1 | 1.14 | 0.56 | 1.82 | 3 | W |
| 4 Sep | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Central African Republic (H) | 2-0 | 0.56 | 0.26 | 1.57 | 3 | D |
| 24 Mar | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Ghana (H) | 0-3 | 0.95 | 1.20 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 19 Mar | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Central African Republic (A) | 1-4 | 1.92 | 1.04 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 11 Jun | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Mali (H) | 0-0 | 0.90 | 2.05 | 0.67 | 1 | L |
| 7 Jun | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Comoros (H) | 2-1 | 0.98 | 1.46 | 1.02 | 3 | L |
| 20 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Chad (A) | 0-3 | 1.64 | 0.62 | 2.11 | 3 | W |
| 17 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Ghana (A) | 1-0 | 1.48 | 2.21 | 0.97 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Raveloson | midfielder | 10 | 894 | 0.00 | 5 | +5.00 | 0.00 |
| Njiva Tsilavina Martin Rakotoharimalala | attacker | 5 | 216 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Warren Caddy | attacker | 6 | 401 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Arnaud Randrianantenaina | attacker | 6 | 386 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| El Hadary Raheriniaina | attacker | 6 | 359 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Loïc André Terry Lapoussin | midfielder | 6 | 441 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clément Couturier | midfielder | 9 | 679 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Johan N'zi | midfielder | 3 | 101 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 10 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.3 | 0 | 17.6 | 28 | +10.4 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 11 | 13.2 | 16 | 10.7 | 6 | 16.7 | 25 | +8.3 |
| 3 | Gabon | 11 | 13.5 | 23 | 10.9 | 13 | 16.8 | 25 | +8.2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 10 | 13.4 | 24 | 8.6 | 8 | 16.9 | 25 | +8.1 |
| 5 | Ghana | 10 | 14.8 | 23 | 9.3 | 6 | 17.1 | 25 | +7.9 |
| 6 | Morocco | 8 | 14.6 | 22 | 4.7 | 2 | 17.3 | 24 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Cape Verde Islands | 10 | 13.1 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 16.6 | 23 | +6.4 |
| 8 | Senegal | 10 | 16.1 | 22 | 9.2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | +6 |
| 9 | Côte d'Ivoire | 10 | 17.7 | 25 | 5.7 | 0 | 20.2 | 26 | +5.8 |
| 10 | Madagascar | 10 | 11.2 | 17 | 11.7 | 12 | 13.4 | 19 | +5.6 |
| 11 | Egypt | 9 | 15.4 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 17.7 | 23 | +5.3 |
| 12 | Libya | 10 | 9.2 | 12 | 12.3 | 10 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 13 | Niger | 7 | 7.4 | 8 | 11.1 | 10 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| 14 | Burkina Faso | 10 | 15.5 | 23 | 10.5 | 8 | 16.9 | 21 | +4.1 |
| 15 | Mozambique | 9 | 8.4 | 11 | 10.2 | 16 | 10.9 | 15 | +4.1 |
| 16 | Benin | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9.4 | 11 | 13.7 | 17 | +3.3 |
| 17 | Sierra Leone | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| 18 | South Africa | 10 | 13.5 | 17 | 7.1 | 6 | 18.1 | 21 | +2.9 |
| 19 | Uganda | 9 | 11.5 | 13 | 7.5 | 6 | 15.3 | 18 | +2.7 |
| 20 | Sudan | 10 | 10 | 8 | 13.4 | 6 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| 21 | Liberia | 9 | 8.9 | 10 | 11.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| 22 | Lesotho | 10 | 8 | 6 | 17.7 | 14 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| 23 | Guinea | 10 | 11.7 | 11 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 | Cameroon | 10 | 16.3 | 17 | 9.6 | 6 | 18.1 | 18 | -0.1 |
| 25 | Comoros | 10 | 12.3 | 12 | 9.6 | 13 | 15.1 | 15 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Tanzania | 7 | 5.6 | 3 | 8.3 | 7 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 27 | Central African Republic | 10 | 8.3 | 11 | 16.8 | 24 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| 28 | Ethiopia | 9 | 8.7 | 9 | 14.3 | 14 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| 29 | Rwanda | 9 | 8.9 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| 30 | Equatorial Guinea | 7 | 9.5 | 8 | 5.2 | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| 31 | Nigeria | 10 | 15.1 | 17 | 7.6 | 9 | 18.6 | 17 | -1.6 |
| 32 | Burundi | 10 | 8.8 | 13 | 11.3 | 13 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| 33 | Namibia | 9 | 11.2 | 10 | 8.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 12 | -1.8 |
| 34 | Malawi | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11.3 | 10 | 12.2 | 10 | -2.2 |
| 35 | Mauritius | 10 | 7 | 7 | 14.6 | 17 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| 36 | Mali | 9 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.4 | 6 | 17.4 | 15 | -2.4 |
| 37 | South Sudan | 10 | 7.9 | 3 | 17.6 | 19 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| 38 | Gambia | 10 | 14.1 | 27 | 10.9 | 18 | 15.6 | 13 | -2.6 |
| 39 | Botswana | 10 | 11.3 | 12 | 11.9 | 16 | 12.8 | 10 | -2.8 |
| 40 | Kenya | 10 | 13.2 | 18 | 9.8 | 14 | 15.3 | 12 | -3.3 |
| 41 | Congo | 5 | 4.9 | 4 | 9.3 | 15 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| 42 | Guinea-Bissau | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 13.5 | 10 | -3.5 |
| 43 | Seychelles | 10 | 4.2 | 2 | 23.8 | 53 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| 44 | Zambia | 7 | 10.4 | 7 | 9.5 | 10 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
| 45 | São Tomé and PrÃncipe | 10 | 7.8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
| 46 | Angola | 9 | 12.7 | 9 | 7.9 | 8 | 15.5 | 11 | -4.5 |
| 47 | Zimbabwe | 10 | 10.1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 5 | -6 |
| 48 | Chad | 9 | 6.9 | 5 | 13.9 | 22 | 7.7 | 1 | -6.7 |
| 49 | Mauritania | 10 | 11.3 | 4 | 11.1 | 13 | 13.8 | 7 | -6.8 |
| 50 | Somalia | 10 | 7.2 | 3 | 15.2 | 20 | 8.1 | 1 | -7.1 |
| 51 | Eswatini | 10 | 10.4 | 6 | 15.4 | 19 | 10.6 | 3 | -7.6 |
| 52 | Djibouti | 10 | 8.5 | 5 | 15.9 | 33 | 8.6 | 1 | -7.6 |
| 53 | Togo | 10 | 13.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | 16.1 | 8 | -8.1 |