Ross County's results and their chances agree, within 4.3 points of xPts over 38 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/25 | 38 | 41.94 | 37 | -4.94 | 67.40 | 65 | +2.40 | 41.28 | 37 | -4.28 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.48 | 7 | -4.48 | 18.58 | 16 | +2.58 | 9.30 | 5 | -4.30 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.91 | 4 | -2.91 | 9.63 | 9 | +0.63 | 5.29 | 2 | -3.29 |
| Home | 19 | 25.82 | 22 | -3.82 | 28.73 | 28 | +0.73 | 26.13 | 21 | -5.13 |
| Away | 19 | 16.12 | 15 | -1.12 | 38.67 | 37 | +1.67 | 15.15 | 16 | +0.85 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Scottish Premiership | Motherwell (H) | 1-1 | 1.67 | 2.26 | 1.06 | 1 | L |
| 14 May | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (A) | 1-1 | 1.91 | 1.12 | 1.89 | 1 | W |
| 10 May | Scottish Premiership | St. Johnstone (A) | 2-1 | 1.04 | 2.55 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (H) | 1-3 | 1.87 | 2.26 | 1.18 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (A) | 2-0 | 0.42 | 1.44 | 0.59 | 0 | L |
| 12 Apr | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (A) | 3-2 | 1.51 | 1.74 | 1.24 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen (H) | 0-1 | 0.97 | 1.48 | 1.00 | 0 | L |
| 30 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (H) | 0-1 | 0.55 | 2.06 | 0.44 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (A) | 2-0 | 0.44 | 1.51 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 1 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (H) | 1-0 | 1.10 | 2.16 | 0.76 | 3 | L |
| 26 Feb | Scottish Premiership | St. Johnstone (A) | 1-0 | 0.26 | 1.16 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (H) | 3-1 | 3.02 | 1.07 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| 15 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Motherwell (A) | 0-3 | 1.06 | 0.93 | 1.45 | 3 | W |
| 2 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Rangers (A) | 4-0 | 0.10 | 3.90 | 0.03 | 0 | L |
| 25 Jan | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (H) | 1-1 | 1.78 | 0.78 | 2.07 | 1 | W |
| 11 Jan | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (H) | 1-4 | 0.97 | 5.75 | 0.06 | 0 | L |
| 5 Jan | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (A) | 0-1 | 0.98 | 0.79 | 1.49 | 3 | W |
| 2 Jan | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen (A) | 1-2 | 0.82 | 2.51 | 0.46 | 3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (H) | 2-2 | 1.25 | 1.61 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 26 Dec | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (A) | 0-3 | 2.40 | 0.38 | 2.60 | 3 | W |
| 21 Dec | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (H) | 1-2 | 1.31 | 1.44 | 1.29 | 0 | L |
| 14 Dec | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (A) | 3-1 | 1.33 | 4.33 | 0.26 | 0 | L |
| 8 Dec | Scottish Premiership | Rangers (H) | 0-3 | 0.74 | 1.46 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 30 Nov | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (A) | 5-0 | 0.09 | 3.46 | 0.05 | 0 | L |
| 23 Nov | Scottish Premiership | Motherwell (H) | 2-1 | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.85 | 3 | W |
| 9 Nov | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (A) | 3-0 | 1.28 | 1.51 | 1.21 | 0 | L |
| 2 Nov | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (A) | 0-0 | 0.53 | 1.43 | 0.68 | 1 | L |
| 30 Oct | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (H) | 0-0 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 1.27 | 1 | D |
| 26 Oct | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (H) | 2-1 | 1.26 | 0.77 | 1.73 | 3 | W |
| 19 Oct | Scottish Premiership | St. Johnstone (A) | 3-0 | 0.34 | 2.70 | 0.19 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronan Aiden Connolly Shea Chapman Hale | attacker | 36 | 2342 | 10.44 | 12 | +1.56 | 0.40 |
| Joshua Nisbet | midfielder | 36 | 2272 | 1.55 | 3 | +1.45 | 0.06 |
| Akil Wright | defender | 38 | 3420 | 3.51 | 4 | +0.49 | 0.09 |
| Elijah Campbell | defender | 28 | 2190 | 0.80 | 1 | +0.20 | 0.03 |
| Noah Chilvers | midfielder | 30 | 1994 | 2.98 | 3 | +0.02 | 0.13 |
| Alex Samuel | attacker | 22 | 858 | 2.26 | 2 | -0.26 | 0.24 |
| Connor Randall | defender | 37 | 3256 | 1.39 | 1 | -0.39 | 0.04 |
| Michee Efete | defender | 20 | 1024 | 1.49 | 1 | -0.49 | 0.13 |
| Aidan Denholm | midfielder | 15 | 690 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.07 |
| G. Harmon | defender | 23 | 1741 | 1.65 | 1 | -0.65 | 0.09 |
| N. Kenneh | midfielder | 15 | 1052 | 1.09 | 0 | -1.09 | 0.09 |
| Eamonn Brophy | attacker | 11 | 332 | 1.40 | 0 | -1.40 | 0.38 |
| Jordan White | attacker | 38 | 2146 | 8.35 | 6 | -2.35 | 0.35 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee United | 38 | 50.4 | 45 | 61.9 | 54 | 45.4 | 53 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 38 | 49 | 48 | 61.2 | 61 | 47.1 | 53 | +5.9 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 37 | 44.4 | 45 | 59.9 | 62 | 42.7 | 48 | +5.3 |
| 4 | Celtic | 38 | 100.4 | 112 | 28.3 | 26 | 87.5 | 92 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 38 | 57.3 | 62 | 53.1 | 50 | 54.9 | 58 | +3.1 |
| 6 | Rangers | 38 | 75.5 | 80 | 39.1 | 41 | 72.2 | 75 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Dundee | 38 | 44.8 | 57 | 75.2 | 77 | 38.4 | 41 | +2.6 |
| 8 | St. Mirren | 38 | 50.5 | 53 | 55.2 | 59 | 51.2 | 50 | -1.2 |
| 9 | Ross County | 38 | 42 | 37 | 67.4 | 65 | 41.3 | 37 | -4.3 |
| 10 | Hearts | 38 | 53.8 | 52 | 47.9 | 47 | 56.7 | 52 | -4.7 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 37 | 52.4 | 44 | 54.6 | 63 | 50.4 | 43 | -7.4 |
| 12 | St. Johnstone | 38 | 41.2 | 38 | 57.8 | 68 | 42.8 | 32 | -10.8 |