Aberdeen have recorded 7 expected goals (xG) across 7 Scottish Premiership games in 2026/2027, averaging 1 per match. K. Nisbet leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xG) - 0.42 per game.
Over their last 10 games, Aberdeen are averaging 1 expected goals (xG) per match - K. Nisbet leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone on 11.10.2026.
Aberdeen average 1 expected goals (xG) per Scottish Premiership game in 2026/2027, based on 7 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1 per match.
K. Nisbet leads Aberdeen for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 2 in Scottish Premiership - an average of 0.42 per game.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Aberdeen's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Aberdeen's results and their chances agree, within 2.8 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 21.95 | 21 | -0.95 | 30.10 | 28 | +2.10 | 22.79 | 20 | -2.79 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.13 | 11 | -0.13 | 15.05 | 13 | +2.05 | 11.20 | 11 | -0.20 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.01 | 5 | +0.99 | 7.69 | 5 | +2.69 | 4.67 | 5 | +0.33 |
| Home | 10 | 13.33 | 11 | -2.33 | 14.25 | 10 | +4.25 | 13.82 | 14 | +0.18 |
| Away | 10 | 8.62 | 10 | +1.38 | 15.85 | 18 | -2.15 | 8.97 | 6 | -2.97 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (A) | 1-1 | 0.83 | 1.73 | 0.76 | 1 | L |
| 15 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Motherwell (A) | 0-4 | 1.14 | 0.73 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (H) | 0-0 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 1.29 | 1 | D |
| 2 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (A) | 3-0 | 0.90 | 2.01 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Rangers (H) | 0-1 | 0.40 | 2.44 | 0.26 | 0 | L |
| 8 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (A) | 2-0 | 0.86 | 2.04 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 1 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (H) | 2-1 | 2.85 | 1.39 | 2.18 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (A) | 3-2 | 0.94 | 1.72 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 12 May | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (H) | 0-2 | 0.69 | 1.29 | 0.89 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (H) | 2-0 | 1.78 | 0.92 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 1 May | Scottish Premiership | Livingston (A) | 2-2 | 0.97 | 1.92 | 0.78 | 1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (H) | 1-0 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 1.33 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (H) | 2-0 | 2.52 | 0.17 | 2.75 | 3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (A) | 2-0 | 0.76 | 0.91 | 1.20 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Rangers (A) | 4-1 | 0.48 | 1.91 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Falkirk (H) | 1-1 | 1.28 | 0.81 | 1.71 | 1 | W |
| 4 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (H) | 1-2 | 1.53 | 1.63 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (A) | 1-0 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 0.72 | 0 | L |
| 24 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (A) | 0-0 | 1.05 | 1.26 | 1.20 | 1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (H) | 2-3 | 0.63 | 3.90 | 0.13 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Nisbet | attacker | 20 | 1621 | 7.06 | 10 | +2.94 | 0.39 |
| Connor Ronan | midfielder | 5 | 341 | 0.16 | 1 | +0.84 | 0.04 |
| Mitchel Frame | defender | 8 | 561 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.03 |
| Afeez Aremu | midfielder | 16 | 1090 | 0.25 | 1 | +0.75 | 0.02 |
| Liam Morrison | defender | 12 | 923 | 0.28 | 1 | +0.72 | 0.03 |
| Gavin Molloy | defender | 17 | 1365 | 0.37 | 1 | +0.63 | 0.02 |
| Dennis Geiger | midfielder | 11 | 833 | 0.43 | 1 | +0.57 | 0.05 |
| Stuart Armstrong | midfielder | 15 | 917 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.36 | 0.06 |
| Ayoub Mouloua | attacker | 7 | 200 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.36 | 0.29 |
| Lewis Mayo | defender | 6 | 471 | 1.07 | 1 | -0.07 | 0.21 |
| Emmanuel Gyamfi | defender | 4 | 331 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.14 |
| Nicky Devlin | defender | 6 | 410 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.11 |
| Topi Keskinen | attacker | 10 | 296 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.17 |
| Alexander Jensen | defender | 7 | 474 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.14 |
| Daniel Happe | defender | 6 | 382 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.17 |
| Lyall Cameron | midfielder | 11 | 648 | 0.75 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.10 |
| Jack Milne | defender | 17 | 1181 | 0.99 | 0 | -0.99 | 0.08 |
| Toyosi Olusanya | attacker | 20 | 1399 | 3.65 | 2 | -1.65 | 0.23 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 17.1 | 14 | 7.8 | 4 | 13.6 | 18 | +4.4 |
| 2 | Dundee | 7 | 8.9 | 9 | 12.2 | 7 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| 3 | Rangers | 7 | 16.6 | 8 | 7.1 | 4 | 14.8 | 16 | +1.2 |
| 4 | Hearts | 7 | 12.7 | 14 | 8.8 | 8 | 12.4 | 13 | +0.6 |
| 5 | Aberdeen | 7 | 7.7 | 7 | 11.1 | 8 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| 6 | St. Mirren | 7 | 11.4 | 8 | 11.6 | 9 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 7 | 6.8 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 7.6 | 6 | 17.4 | 15 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 9 | St. Johnstone | 7 | 10.3 | 9 | 11.3 | 10 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 7 | 10.5 | 9 | 13.1 | 11 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 7 | 12.3 | 9 | 12.4 | 11 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 7 | 13.1 | 8 | 10.5 | 11 | 11.4 | 7 | -4.4 |