Hearts have recorded 12 expected goals (xG) across 7 Scottish Premiership games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.7 per match. C. Braga leads the squad with 4 expected goals (xG) - 0.69 per game. J. Wilson is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, Hearts are averaging 1.7 expected goals (xG) per match - C. Braga leads that period with 4. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Hearts vs St. Mirren on 10.10.2026.
Hearts average 1.7 expected goals (xG) per Scottish Premiership game in 2026/2027, based on 7 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.7 per match.
C. Braga leads Hearts for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 4 in Scottish Premiership - an average of 0.69 per game. J. Wilson is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Hearts's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Hearts have taken 6.7 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +4.6 goals against their xG, and +1.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 29.38 | 34 | +4.62 | 23.62 | 22 | +1.62 | 32.27 | 39 | +6.73 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.32 | 19 | +3.68 | 12.18 | 12 | +0.18 | 16.35 | 17 | +0.65 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.95 | 9 | +0.05 | 4.98 | 6 | -1.02 | 9.48 | 10 | +0.52 |
| Home | 10 | 15.66 | 20 | +4.34 | 7.61 | 4 | +3.61 | 19.09 | 30 | +10.91 |
| Away | 10 | 13.72 | 14 | +0.28 | 16.01 | 18 | -1.99 | 13.18 | 9 | -4.18 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (A) | 1-1 | 1.92 | 0.42 | 2.40 | 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Falkirk (A) | 2-1 | 1.85 | 1.53 | 1.59 | 0 | W |
| 6 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (H) | 2-1 | 2.38 | 0.43 | 2.57 | 3 | W |
| 3 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (A) | 1-3 | 1.18 | 1.68 | 1.05 | 3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Scottish Premiership | St. Johnstone (H) | 2-1 | 1.62 | 0.92 | 1.87 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (H) | 4-0 | 2.38 | 0.95 | 2.24 | 3 | W |
| 1 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen (A) | 2-1 | 1.39 | 2.85 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 16 May | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (A) | 3-1 | 0.69 | 2.56 | 0.38 | 0 | L |
| 13 May | Scottish Premiership | Falkirk (H) | 3-0 | 0.83 | 0.28 | 1.83 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Scottish Premiership | Motherwell (A) | 1-1 | 1.08 | 0.56 | 1.77 | 1 | W |
| 4 May | Scottish Premiership | Rangers (H) | 2-1 | 0.74 | 1.22 | 0.97 | 3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (A) | 1-2 | 2.09 | 0.47 | 2.44 | 3 | W |
| 11 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Motherwell (H) | 3-1 | 2.12 | 1.37 | 1.85 | 3 | W |
| 5 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Livingston (A) | 2-2 | 1.80 | 1.44 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (H) | 1-0 | 1.08 | 0.65 | 1.69 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (A) | 1-0 | 1.12 | 1.67 | 1.01 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen (H) | 1-0 | 1.62 | 0.69 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Falkirk (H) | 1-0 | 1.78 | 0.45 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 15 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Rangers (A) | 4-2 | 0.60 | 2.83 | 0.28 | 0 | L |
| 10 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (H) | 1-0 | 1.11 | 0.65 | 1.72 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin McEntee | defender | 11 | 822 | 0.45 | 2 | +1.55 | 0.05 |
| Stephen Kingsley | defender | 9 | 671 | 0.50 | 2 | +1.50 | 0.07 |
| James Wilson | attacker | 6 | 337 | 1.87 | 3 | +1.13 | 0.50 |
| Josh McPake | midfielder | 6 | 474 | 0.97 | 2 | +1.03 | 0.18 |
| Lawrence Shankland | attacker | 8 | 666 | 4.02 | 5 | +0.98 | 0.54 |
| Blair Spittal | midfielder | 15 | 934 | 1.09 | 2 | +0.91 | 0.10 |
| Frankie Kent | defender | 8 | 357 | 0.14 | 1 | +0.86 | 0.04 |
| Cammy Devlin | midfielder | 6 | 415 | 0.31 | 1 | +0.69 | 0.07 |
| Marc Leonard | midfielder | 10 | 856 | 0.43 | 1 | +0.57 | 0.05 |
| Sabah Kerjota | attacker | 12 | 422 | 0.62 | 1 | +0.38 | 0.13 |
| Laurent Mendy | midfielder | 6 | 492 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.14 |
| Tómas Bent Magnússon | midfielder | 11 | 531 | 0.81 | 1 | +0.19 | 0.14 |
| Islam Chesnokov | attacker | 10 | 408 | 0.85 | 1 | +0.15 | 0.19 |
| Calvin Miller | midfielder | 7 | 479 | 1.24 | 1 | -0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pierre Landry Kabore | attacker | 15 | 600 | 1.32 | 1 | -0.32 | 0.20 |
| Stuart Findlay | defender | 15 | 1276 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.04 |
| Jerome Williams | attacker | 4 | 117 | 0.77 | 0 | -0.77 | 0.59 |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | attacker | 13 | 987 | 1.34 | 0 | -1.34 | 0.12 |
| Cláudio Braga | attacker | 20 | 1645 | 9.18 | 6 | -3.18 | 0.50 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 17.1 | 14 | 7.8 | 4 | 13.6 | 18 | +4.4 |
| 2 | Dundee | 7 | 8.9 | 9 | 12.2 | 7 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| 3 | Rangers | 7 | 16.6 | 8 | 7.1 | 4 | 14.8 | 16 | +1.2 |
| 4 | Hearts | 7 | 12.7 | 14 | 8.8 | 8 | 12.4 | 13 | +0.6 |
| 5 | Aberdeen | 7 | 7.7 | 7 | 11.1 | 8 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| 6 | St. Mirren | 7 | 11.4 | 8 | 11.6 | 9 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 7 | 6.8 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 7.6 | 6 | 17.4 | 15 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 9 | St. Johnstone | 7 | 10.3 | 9 | 11.3 | 10 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 7 | 10.5 | 9 | 13.1 | 11 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 7 | 12.3 | 9 | 12.4 | 11 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 7 | 13.1 | 8 | 10.5 | 11 | 11.4 | 7 | -4.4 |