Hearts Key Passes Stats 2026/2027

Hearts Key Passes Stats 2026/2027 - season overview

Hearts are averaging 11 key passes per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 22.3 total key passes on average. That puts them 3rd of 12 for chances created per match in their primary competition. Below you'll find every Hearts player's key-pass rate and create-shots hit percentage, the upcoming fixture against St. Mirren, and a full match-by-match log.

Frequently Asked Questions

What counts as a created shot in the Player to Create Shots market?

A key pass or an assist. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who attempts a shot without scoring; if that teammate scores, the pass is recorded as an assist instead. Bookmakers settle create-shots lines on Opta data as the sum of both, so every chance created counts once.

Does this table include assists in the key pass numbers?

No - the table shows key passes only. Because a create-shots line settles on key passes plus assists, a Hearts player's true market number is equal to or higher than what you see here. The hit rates are a conservative floor for the create-shots market.

Which bookmakers offer the create shots market?

Bet365 lists it as Player To Create Shots in its bet builder, and Sky Bet and Paddy Power carry the same market family in theirs. Lines and player coverage vary by fixture - creative midfielders and attacking full-backs are priced most often.

How does Super Sub affect create shots settlement?

At Sky Bet and Paddy Power, if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line and the substitute's chances created count towards your bet. Bet365 instead runs Sub On Play On - a player who enters as a substitute has his own bet stand, with his output counting from the moment he comes on.

Which Hearts players create the most shots?

Josh McPake leads with 15 key passes across 9 qualifying appearances (1.67/g, 89% hit rate). The table ranks every Hearts player by key passes per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes) with hit rates at the 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines and six-game form.

Where do these key passes stats come from?

All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz - 10 Hearts fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027. Bookmakers settle the create-shots market on Opta's count, which can differ by the odd marginal touch, so always treat the bookmaker's feed as final for settlement.

What is the create shots market?

Player to Create Shots is a bet builder market where you back a player to set up a number of shots for his teammates - typically 1+, 2+ or 3+ across the 90 minutes. Bookmakers settle it on Opta data as the cumulative total of a player's key passes plus his assists. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who then attempts a shot without scoring; if the teammate scores, that pass upgrades from a key pass to an assist. Both count towards a create-shots line, so the market is effectively a bet on chances created. One honest note on this table: it shows key passes only. A player's create-shots number at the bookmaker is his key passes PLUS his assists, so for Hearts players who register assists the table slightly understates the market line. Treat the hit rates here as a conservative floor - a player hitting 2+ key passes regularly clears a 2+ create-shots line at least as often.

Bet365 player to create shots

Bet365 lists the market as Player To Create Shots inside its bet builder, usually at 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines for the creative midfielders and full-backs in each side. Bet365's player markets run Sub On Play On rules: if your player comes on as a substitute, his bet stands and his output from the moment he enters counts in full. Use the Lineup only toggle above the table to focus the Hearts numbers on players expected to start.

Sky Bet create shots

Sky Bet carries create shots selections in its bet builder and applies its Super Sub rule to player markets: if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line, and the substitute's key passes and assists count towards your bet. That makes team-level creativity - how many chances Hearts generate as a side - matter as much as the individual you pick, because the line survives a substitution.

Paddy Power create shots

Paddy Power offers the same create-shots market family in its bet builder, also with Super Sub settlement - a replaced starter's line is continued by the player who comes on for him. As with any player market, settlement follows the bookmaker's official data feed (Opta), so a marginal touch that our data logs as a key pass will almost always match, but the bookmaker's count is the one that settles the bet.

How to use this table for create shots bets

Start with the hit percentage at your line: step the table between 1+, 2+ and 3+ key passes and read how often each Hearts player has cleared that number per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes). The Match grid view shows the raw counts game by game - green cells mark matches where the player hit the active line - and the form dots track his last six. The Super Sub toggle folds substitutes' key passes into each starter's fixture cells, mirroring how Sky Bet and Paddy Power settle. It also points at a structural edge: books price a starter's line on his per-90 output, while Super Sub rules quietly add his replacement's output on top - so at those books, lines on players in high-rotation positions are slightly better than they look. Pair the hit rates with the chances created per game number and the over/under dials below before building the leg.

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Hearts player key passes rates

Player	Position	Apps	Key passes	Per game	1+ hit rate
Blair Spittal	midfielder	7	13	1.86	100%
Stephen Kingsley	defender	1	2	2	100%
Yan Dhanda	midfielder	1	2	2	100%
Amadou Ba-Sy	attacker	1	1	1	100%
Alexandros Kyziridis	attacker	1	1	1	100%
Rogers Mato	attacker	1	2	2	100%
Josh McPake	midfielder	9	15	1.67	89%
Calvin Miller	midfielder	9	12	1.33	78%
Christian Borchgrevink	defender	4	4	1	75%
Tom Renaud	midfielder	4	5	1.25	75%
Cláudio Braga	attacker	10	8	0.8	60%
Sabah Kerjota	attacker	5	6	1.2	60%
Laurent Mendy	midfielder	7	5	0.71	57%
Tómas Bent Magnússon	midfielder	6	8	1.33	50%
Harry Milne	defender	4	7	1.75	50%
Jamie McCart	defender	9	3	0.33	33%
Jordi Altena	defender	9	5	0.56	33%
Jerome Williams	attacker	3	1	0.33	33%
S. Guendouz	attacker	3	1	0.33	33%
James Wilson	attacker	7	5	0.71	29%
Oisin McEntee	defender	8	2	0.25	25%
Stuart Findlay	defender	9	2	0.22	11%
Beau Reus	goalkeeper	10	0	0	0%
Pierre Landry Kabore	attacker	5	0	0	0%
Ageu	midfielder	1	0	0	0%

Hearts key passes match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team key passes	Opposition key passes	Match total	Top player
19 Sep 2026	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock	Away	1-1	15	3	18	Josh McPake (3)
15 Sep 2026	Scottish Premiership	Falkirk	Away	2-1	8	10	18	Calvin Miller (2)
6 Sep 2026	Scottish Premiership	Dundee	Home	2-1	23	2	25	Harry Milne (6)
3 Sep 2026	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian	Away	1-3	11	13	24	Calvin Miller (4)
29 Aug 2026	Scottish Premiership	St. Johnstone	Home	2-1	10	8	18	Tómas Bent Magnússon (4)
26 Aug 2026	Europa Conference League	SK Rapid	Away	2-2	8	26	34	Blair Spittal (2)
20 Aug 2026	Europa Conference League	SK Rapid	Home	2-2	14	8	22	Blair Spittal (4)
13 Aug 2026	Europa League	Benfica	Home	1-1	4	18	22	Calvin Miller (1)
9 Aug 2026	Scottish Premiership	Dundee United	Home	4-0	10	10	20	Tom Renaud (3)
6 Aug 2026	Europa League	Benfica	Away	6-1	7	15	22	Calvin Miller (2)

Hearts key passes 2026/2027: last 10 games

Key passes for per game: 11
Key passes against per game: 11.3
Match total key passes per game: 22.3
Games: 10
League rank for match key passes: 10 of 12

Hearts Key passes for 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 6.5 %	Over 8.5 %	Over 10.5 %	Over 12.5 %	Over 14.5 %
Home	5	12.2	80%	80%	40%	40%	20%
Away	5	9.8	100%	40%	40%	20%	20%
Overall	10	11	90%	60%	40%	30%	20%

Hearts Key passes against 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 6.5 %	Over 8.5 %	Over 10.5 %	Over 12.5 %	Over 14.5 %
Home	5	9.2	80%	40%	20%	20%	20%
Away	5	13.4	80%	80%	60%	60%	40%
Overall	10	11.3	80%	60%	40%	40%	30%

Hearts Match total 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 14.5 %	Over 16.5 %	Over 18.5 %	Over 20.5 %	Over 22.5 %
Home	5	21.4	100%	100%	80%	60%	20%
Away	5	23.2	100%	100%	60%	60%	40%
Overall	10	22.3	100%	100%	70%	60%	30%

Hearts Team key passes 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team key passes	Overall	Home	Away
Key passes / match	11	12.2	9.8
Key passes over 6.5	90%	80%	100%
Key passes over 8.5	60%	80%	40%
Key passes over 10.5	40%	40%	40%
Key passes over 12.5	30%	40%	20%
Key passes over 14.5	20%	20%	20%

Hearts Key passes against 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Key passes against	Overall	Home	Away
Key passes against / match	11.3	9.2	13.4
Key passes against over 6.5	80%	80%	80%
Key passes against over 8.5	60%	40%	80%
Key passes against over 10.5	40%	20%	60%
Key passes against over 12.5	40%	20%	60%
Key passes against over 14.5	30%	20%	40%

Hearts Match key passes 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match key passes	Overall	Home	Away
Match key passes / match	22.3	21.4	23.2
Match key passes over 14.5	100%	100%	100%
Match key passes over 16.5	100%	100%	100%
Match key passes over 18.5	70%	80%	60%
Match key passes over 20.5	60%	60%	60%
Match key passes over 22.5	30%	20%	40%

Hearts key passes match by match 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Key passes for	Key passes against	Match total	1st-half total
19 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (A)	1-1	15	3	18	-
15 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Falkirk (A)	2-1	8	10	18	-
6 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Dundee (H)	2-1	23	2	25	-
3 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian (A)	1-3	11	13	24	-
29 Aug	Scottish Premiership	St. Johnstone (H)	2-1	10	8	18	-
26 Aug	Europa Conference League	SK Rapid (A)	2-2	8	26	34	-
20 Aug	Europa Conference League	SK Rapid (H)	2-2	14	8	22	-
13 Aug	Europa League	Benfica (H)	1-1	4	18	22	-
9 Aug	Scottish Premiership	Dundee Utd (H)	4-0	10	10	20	-
6 Aug	Europa League	Benfica (A)	6-1	7	15	22	-

Scottish Premiership key passes table 2026/2027: every team's key passes per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
1	Celtic	7	15	8.71	23.71	71%
2	Dundee United	7	12.29	11	23.29	86%
3	Kilmarnock	7	7.86	15.29	23.14	57%
4	Motherwell	7	11.29	10.57	21.86	57%
5	Dundee	7	7.14	14.29	21.43	71%
6	Rangers	7	14	7	21	71%
7	St. Mirren	7	10.57	10.14	20.71	57%
8	Hibernian	7	11.43	8.86	20.29	57%
9	Falkirk	7	8.14	12	20.14	43%
10	Hearts	7	12.29	7.57	19.86	43%
11	Aberdeen	7	6.86	10.86	17.71	14%
12	St. Johnstone	7	8	8.57	16.57	29%

Hearts key passes against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026/2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
Vs top six	22	10.82	7.09	17.91	45%
Vs top half	22	10.82	7.09	17.91	45%
Vs bottom half	23	10.43	7.35	17.78	35%
Vs bottom six	23	10.43	7.35	17.78	35%

Hearts key passes per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
Scottish Premiership	2026/2027	7	12.29	7.57	19.86	43%
Champions League	2026/2027	2	13	11.5	24.5	100%
Europa League	2026/2027	2	5.5	16.5	22	100%
Europa Conference League	2026/2027	2	11	17	28	100%
Scottish Premiership	2025/2026	38	10.32	7.16	17.47	39%
Scottish Premiership	2024/2025	38	9.11	7.53	16.63	32%

Hearts next three opponents: key passes per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their key passes for	Their key passes against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Sat 10 Oct 14:00	St. Mirren (home)	20.71	10.57	10.14	17	9	8
Thu 15 Oct 19:00	Nordsjælland (home)	25	15	10	24.5	10.5	14
Sun 18 Oct 14:00	Celtic (away)	23.71	15	8.71	20.25	13	7.25

Hearts players with the most games of 1+ key passes 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 1+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Blair Spittal	midfielder	9	10	90%
2	Calvin Miller	midfielder	9	13	69%
3	Josh McPake	midfielder	8	10	80%
4	Cláudio Braga	attacker	8	13	62%
5	Laurent Mendy	midfielder	5	8	63%

Hearts players with the most games of 2+ key passes 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 2+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Blair Spittal	midfielder	6	10	60%
2	Josh McPake	midfielder	5	10	50%
3	Tómas Bent Magnússon	midfielder	3	10	30%
4	Calvin Miller	midfielder	3	13	23%
5	Cláudio Braga	attacker	3	13	23%

Hearts players with the most games of 3+ key passes 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 3+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Blair Spittal	midfielder	3	10	30%
2	Josh McPake	midfielder	2	10	20%
3	Alexandros Kyziridis	attacker	1	3	33%
4	S. Guendouz	attacker	1	7	14%
5	Tom Renaud	midfielder	1	7	14%

St. Mirren key passes match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Key passes for	Key passes against	Match total	1st-half total
19 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Dundee Utd (H)	0-3	9	11	20	-
9 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Rangers (A)	1-0	7	12	19	-
5 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Celtic (H)	1-2	13	16	29	-
2 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (A)	0-1	8	6	14	-
30 Aug	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell (H)	3-3	20	15	35	-
8 Aug	Scottish Premiership	St. Johnstone (H)	1-0	5	5	10	-
1 Aug	Scottish Premiership	Falkirk (A)	0-2	12	6	18	-
17 May	Scottish Premiership	Dundee Utd (H)	1-1	12	4	16	-
12 May	Scottish Premiership	Aberdeen (A)	0-2	6	6	12	-
9 May	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (H)	0-3	8	8	16	-