Kilmarnock have recorded 7 expected goals (xG) across 7 Scottish Premiership games in 2026/2027, averaging 1 per match. J. Hugill leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.39 per game. G. Kiltie is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, Kilmarnock are averaging 1 expected goals (xG) per match - J. Hugill leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Kilmarnock vs Rangers on 10.10.2026.
Kilmarnock average 1 expected goals (xG) per Scottish Premiership game in 2026/2027, based on 7 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1 per match.
J. Hugill leads Kilmarnock for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 1 in Scottish Premiership - an average of 0.39 per game. G. Kiltie is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Kilmarnock's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Kilmarnock have taken 5.0 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +3.7 goals against their xG, and +5.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 28.35 | 32 | +3.65 | 40.03 | 35 | +5.03 | 23.00 | 28 | +5.00 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.73 | 16 | +1.27 | 19.82 | 17 | +2.82 | 11.91 | 14 | +2.09 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.82 | 2 | -2.82 | 8.93 | 6 | +2.93 | 4.53 | 5 | +0.47 |
| Home | 11 | 18.04 | 19 | +0.96 | 24.29 | 20 | +4.29 | 13.10 | 17 | +3.90 |
| Away | 9 | 10.31 | 13 | +2.69 | 15.74 | 15 | +0.74 | 9.90 | 11 | +1.10 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (H) | 1-1 | 0.42 | 1.92 | 0.41 | 1 | L |
| 15 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (A) | 0-1 | 1.61 | 1.65 | 1.36 | 3 | L |
| 5 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen (A) | 0-0 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 1.35 | 1 | D |
| 2 Sep | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (H) | 0-1 | 0.70 | 1.15 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (H) | 0-4 | 1.31 | 3.47 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 9 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (H) | 1-5 | 1.09 | 5.75 | 0.08 | 0 | L |
| 2 Aug | Scottish Premiership | St. Johnstone (A) | 4-3 | 1.67 | 2.68 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Scottish Premiership | Livingston (A) | 1-4 | 2.31 | 0.71 | 2.37 | 3 | W |
| 12 May | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (H) | 3-1 | 3.65 | 0.44 | 2.79 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (A) | 0-3 | 1.19 | 1.31 | 1.28 | 3 | L |
| 2 May | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (H) | 3-0 | 2.03 | 2.42 | 1.19 | 3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen (A) | 1-0 | 0.92 | 0.91 | 1.35 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (H) | 2-2 | 1.73 | 1.23 | 1.71 | 1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (A) | 3-0 | 0.69 | 1.68 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Livingston (H) | 2-0 | 1.76 | 0.99 | 1.89 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (H) | 1-0 | 1.67 | 1.12 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Falkirk (A) | 5-1 | 0.40 | 3.98 | 0.08 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (A) | 1-1 | 0.74 | 2.08 | 0.56 | 1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (H) | 2-3 | 1.28 | 3.54 | 0.40 | 0 | L |
| 11 Feb | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (H) | 4-3 | 2.40 | 2.26 | 1.47 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreece John-Jules | attacker | 9 | 565 | 2.30 | 4 | +1.70 | 0.37 |
| Joe Hugill | attacker | 20 | 1683 | 7.68 | 9 | +1.32 | 0.41 |
| Michael Schjönning-Larsen | defender | 20 | 1576 | 1.74 | 3 | +1.26 | 0.10 |
| Marley Watkins | attacker | 6 | 195 | 0.29 | 1 | +0.71 | 0.14 |
| George Stanger | defender | 16 | 1393 | 0.40 | 1 | +0.60 | 0.03 |
| Nicky Clescenco | attacker | 7 | 352 | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 | 0.16 |
| Findlay Curtis | attacker | 13 | 1049 | 4.80 | 5 | +0.20 | 0.41 |
| Tom Lowery | midfielder | 15 | 1188 | 0.97 | 1 | +0.03 | 0.07 |
| Robbie Deas | defender | 14 | 1189 | 0.98 | 1 | +0.02 | 0.07 |
| Greg Kiltie | attacker | 20 | 1707 | 3.16 | 3 | -0.16 | 0.17 |
| David Watson | midfielder | 12 | 547 | 0.54 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.09 |
| Bruce Anderson | attacker | 10 | 376 | 0.68 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.16 |
| Aaron Tshibola | midfielder | 18 | 1154 | 1.65 | 0 | -1.65 | 0.13 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 17.1 | 14 | 7.8 | 4 | 13.6 | 18 | +4.4 |
| 2 | Dundee | 7 | 8.9 | 9 | 12.2 | 7 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| 3 | Rangers | 7 | 16.6 | 8 | 7.1 | 4 | 14.8 | 16 | +1.2 |
| 4 | Hearts | 7 | 12.7 | 14 | 8.8 | 8 | 12.4 | 13 | +0.6 |
| 5 | Aberdeen | 7 | 7.7 | 7 | 11.1 | 8 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| 6 | St. Mirren | 7 | 11.4 | 8 | 11.6 | 9 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 7 | 6.8 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 7.6 | 6 | 17.4 | 15 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 9 | St. Johnstone | 7 | 10.3 | 9 | 11.3 | 10 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 7 | 10.5 | 9 | 13.1 | 11 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 7 | 12.3 | 9 | 12.4 | 11 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 7 | 13.1 | 8 | 10.5 | 11 | 11.4 | 7 | -4.4 |