RKC Waalwijk xG 2024/2025

RKC Waalwijk expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 33
Expected goals (xG): 41.06
Goals scored: 43
Goals minus xG: +1.94
Expected goals against (xGA): 71.34
Goals conceded: 73
xGA minus goals conceded: -1.66
Expected points (xPts): 31.27
Points: 24
Points minus xPts: -7.27
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are RKC Waalwijk overperforming their expected goals?

RKC Waalwijk have taken 7.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 33 games: +1.9 goals against their xG, and -1.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

RKC Waalwijk results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	33	41.06	43	+1.94	71.34	73	-1.66	31.27	24	-7.27
Last 10	10	11.06	12	+0.94	26.69	25	+1.69	7.25	8	+0.75
Last 5	5	6.43	9	+2.57	16.00	16	0.00	3.38	6	+2.62
Home	16	19.90	24	+4.10	27.61	30	-2.39	17.84	17	-0.84
Away	17	21.16	19	-2.16	43.73	43	+0.73	13.43	7	-6.43

RKC Waalwijk expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 May	Eredivisie	GA Eagles (H)	5-3	2.93	4.07	0.93	3	L
14 May	Eredivisie	Feyenoord (A)	2-0	0.41	5.11	0.03	0	L
10 May	Eredivisie	Heerenveen (H)	3-1	1.31	0.97	1.61	3	W
3 May	Eredivisie	FC Groningen (A)	6-1	0.85	3.41	0.27	0	L
25 Apr	Eredivisie	FC Utrecht (H)	0-4	0.93	2.44	0.54	0	L
11 Apr	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen (A)	2-1	1.46	1.76	1.20	0	L
6 Apr	Eredivisie	Heracles Almelo (H)	0-0	1.70	0.99	1.86	1	W
1 Apr	Eredivisie	AZ (A)	2-2	1.01	2.78	0.48	1	L
29 Mar	Eredivisie	PEC Zwolle (A)	2-0	0.33	2.90	0.16	0	L
15 Mar	Eredivisie	PSV (H)	0-3	0.13	2.26	0.17	0	L
28 Feb	Eredivisie	Fortuna (H)	1-2	1.46	1.59	1.29	0	L
16 Feb	Eredivisie	FC Twente (A)	2-0	1.16	2.02	0.86	0	L
9 Feb	Eredivisie	NAC Breda (H)	5-0	3.32	0.97	2.54	3	W
2 Feb	Eredivisie	Almere City (A)	1-4	3.06	1.32	2.30	3	W
26 Jan	Eredivisie	Willem II (H)	2-0	0.67	0.45	1.50	3	D
19 Jan	Eredivisie	Sparta (A)	1-1	2.38	1.81	1.72	1	W
11 Jan	Eredivisie	Ajax (A)	2-1	0.92	2.59	0.49	0	L
14 Dec	Eredivisie	Fortuna (A)	3-2	1.35	2.98	0.59	0	L
7 Dec	Eredivisie	Feyenoord (H)	2-3	1.52	2.54	0.84	0	L
29 Nov	Eredivisie	Heerenveen (A)	1-1	1.32	0.95	1.63	1	W
23 Nov	Eredivisie	Heracles Almelo (A)	2-2	2.85	3.06	1.31	1	L
9 Nov	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen (H)	0-3	0.67	1.23	0.91	0	L
3 Nov	Eredivisie	Almere City (H)	2-0	0.71	0.42	1.57	3	D
26 Oct	Eredivisie	NAC Breda (A)	4-1	0.75	3.39	0.23	0	L
19 Oct	Eredivisie	FC Twente (H)	2-2	0.77	1.66	0.76	1	L
5 Oct	Eredivisie	FC Utrecht (A)	3-2	0.90	2.06	0.67	0	L
29 Sep	Eredivisie	Ajax (H)	0-2	0.20	1.85	0.28	0	L
21 Sep	Eredivisie	Sparta (H)	1-2	2.33	1.28	2.01	0	W
15 Sep	Eredivisie	Willem II (A)	3-0	0.88	1.65	0.84	0	L
30 Aug	Eredivisie	AZ (H)	0-3	0.09	3.08	0.07	0	L

RKC Waalwijk players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Richard van der Venne	midfielder	17	736	2.18	4	+1.82	0.27
Silvester van der Water	attacker	16	573	1.18	3	+1.82	0.19
Richonell Margaret	attacker	33	2439	5.23	6	+0.77	0.19
Tim van de Loo	midfielder	27	1830	1.29	2	+0.72	0.06
Yassin Oukili	midfielder	31	2123	5.31	6	+0.69	0.22
Godfried Roemeratoe	midfielder	24	1471	0.66	1	+0.34	0.04
Michiel Kramer	attacker	21	832	2.67	3	+0.33	0.29
Denilho Cleonise	attacker	24	1059	0.92	1	+0.08	0.08
Chris Lokesa	midfielder	19	1010	3.02	3	-0.02	0.27
Mohamed Ihattaren	midfielder	23	1453	4.26	4	-0.26	0.26
Faissal Al Mazyani	defender	21	1544	0.52	0	-0.52	0.03
Oskar Zawada	attacker	25	1868	10.76	8	-2.76	0.52

Eredivisie 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Ajax	34	66.7	67	34.1	32	66	78	+12
2	FC Utrecht	34	56.8	62	46.2	45	52.9	64	+11.1
3	Feyenoord	34	63.9	76	34.7	38	63.2	68	+4.8
4	PSV	34	86.1	103	32	39	75.4	79	+3.6
5	PEC Zwolle	33	38.7	42	54.3	50	37	40	+3
6	Go Ahead Eagles	34	56	57	53.5	55	48.7	51	+2.3
7	Willem II	34	28.7	34	65.6	56	24.8	26	+1.2
8	Heracles Almelo	34	41.6	42	64.9	63	37.1	38	+0.9
9	Fortuna Sittard	34	42.3	37	52.4	54	41	41	-0
10	AZ	34	55.1	58	37.2	37	57.6	57	-0.6
11	FC Twente	34	59.2	62	44.6	49	55.3	54	-1.3
12	SC Heerenveen	34	46.7	42	48.8	57	46.1	43	-3.1
13	NEC Nijmegen	34	48.2	51	47.5	46	47.2	43	-4.2
14	NAC Breda	34	43.1	34	61	58	37.3	33	-4.3
15	FC Groningen	34	40.9	40	48.5	53	43.4	39	-4.4
16	Sparta Rotterdam	34	49	39	52.2	43	45.8	39	-6.8
17	RKC Waalwijk	33	41.1	43	71.3	73	31.3	24	-7.3
18	Almere City	34	37.6	23	53	64	38.3	22	-16.3