Almere City xG 2024/2025

Almere City expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 37.62
Goals scored: 23
Goals minus xG: -14.62
Expected goals against (xGA): 53.01
Goals conceded: 64
xGA minus goals conceded: -10.99
Expected points (xPts): 38.27
Points: 22
Points minus xPts: -16.27
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Almere City overperforming their expected goals?

Almere City have taken 16.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -14.6 goals against their xG, and -11.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Almere City results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	34	37.62	23	-14.62	53.01	64	-10.99	38.27	22	-16.27
Last 10	10	14.71	8	-6.71	15.99	16	-0.01	13.74	8	-5.74
Last 5	5	6.69	3	-3.69	6.53	7	-0.47	6.75	3	-3.75
Home	17	23.27	13	-10.27	22.88	36	-13.12	23.61	11	-12.61
Away	17	14.35	10	-4.35	30.13	28	+2.13	14.66	11	-3.66

Almere City expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 May	Eredivisie	AZ (A)	1-1	0.56	1.69	0.59	1	L
14 May	Eredivisie	Fortuna (H)	1-1	1.15	1.39	1.20	1	L
10 May	Eredivisie	Sparta (H)	0-3	1.26	1.87	1.00	0	L
27 Apr	Eredivisie	GA Eagles (H)	0-0	2.58	0.27	2.71	1	W
19 Apr	Eredivisie	Heerenveen (A)	2-1	1.14	1.31	1.25	0	L
12 Apr	Eredivisie	PSV (A)	5-0	0.86	4.57	0.12	0	L
5 Apr	Eredivisie	PEC Zwolle (H)	2-2	2.72	0.90	2.41	1	W
29 Mar	Eredivisie	Willem II (A)	0-2	2.12	0.72	2.28	3	W
14 Mar	Eredivisie	NAC Breda (H)	1-1	1.60	1.24	1.62	1	W
9 Mar	Eredivisie	FC Twente (A)	1-0	0.72	2.03	0.56	0	L
2 Mar	Eredivisie	Ajax (H)	0-1	0.80	0.84	1.30	0	D
22 Feb	Eredivisie	Feyenoord (A)	2-1	1.57	1.90	1.19	0	L
16 Feb	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen (A)	2-2	0.90	0.96	1.28	1	L
9 Feb	Eredivisie	FC Utrecht (A)	0-1	1.20	1.45	1.20	3	L
2 Feb	Eredivisie	RKC Waalwijk (H)	1-4	1.32	3.06	0.54	0	L
19 Jan	Eredivisie	Heracles Almelo (H)	0-2	1.17	0.85	1.60	0	W
12 Jan	Eredivisie	FC Groningen (A)	0-0	0.36	1.81	0.40	1	L
21 Dec	Eredivisie	Heerenveen (H)	3-0	1.63	0.90	1.89	3	W
15 Dec	Eredivisie	Ajax (A)	3-0	0.07	1.74	0.22	0	L
8 Dec	Eredivisie	FC Utrecht (H)	1-3	1.10	1.56	1.06	0	L
30 Nov	Eredivisie	NAC Breda (A)	1-0	0.51	0.84	1.00	0	L
23 Nov	Eredivisie	GA Eagles (A)	3-0	0.42	2.83	0.20	0	L
10 Nov	Eredivisie	Feyenoord (H)	1-4	0.56	1.85	0.52	0	L
3 Nov	Eredivisie	RKC Waalwijk (A)	2-0	0.42	0.71	1.01	0	D
25 Oct	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen (H)	1-0	0.39	1.64	0.47	3	L
19 Oct	Eredivisie	Sparta (A)	2-2	0.90	1.44	0.97	1	L
4 Oct	Eredivisie	Willem II (H)	0-1	1.96	0.49	2.37	0	W
29 Sep	Eredivisie	PEC Zwolle (A)	1-0	1.40	1.02	1.64	0	W
22 Sep	Eredivisie	FC Twente (H)	0-5	2.59	1.85	1.80	0	W
15 Sep	Eredivisie	Heracles Almelo (A)	0-0	0.73	2.02	0.57	1	L

Almere City players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Álex Balboa	midfielder	10	408	0.34	1	+0.66	0.07
Marvin Martins	defender	12	793	0.48	1	+0.52	0.05
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet	attacker	12	556	0.65	1	+0.35	0.11
Hamdi Akujobi	defender	28	2347	0.68	1	+0.32	0.03
Ricardo Visus	defender	24	1968	0.75	1	+0.25	0.03
Joey Jacobs	defender	19	1166	0.84	1	+0.16	0.06
Ali Jasim	attacker	11	434	0.95	1	+0.05	0.20
Adi Nalić	midfielder	22	686	1.03	1	-0.03	0.13
Baptiste Guillaume	attacker	18	432	1.19	1	-0.19	0.25
James Lawrence	defender	26	1772	0.77	0	-0.77	0.04
Vasilios Zagaritis	defender	33	2960	0.78	0	-0.78	0.02
Ruben Providence	attacker	22	508	0.90	0	-0.90	0.16
Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp	midfielder	26	2004	1.10	0	-1.10	0.05
T. Haye	midfielder	29	2065	1.57	0	-1.57	0.07
Charles-Andreas Brym	attacker	17	1315	4.65	3	-1.65	0.32
Junior Kadile	attacker	30	2230	7.96	5	-2.96	0.32
K. Hansen	attacker	33	1887	4.96	2	-2.96	0.24
Thomas Robinet	attacker	32	2709	5.66	2	-3.66	0.19

Eredivisie 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Ajax	34	66.7	67	34.1	32	66	78	+12
2	FC Utrecht	34	56.8	62	46.2	45	52.9	64	+11.1
3	Feyenoord	34	63.9	76	34.7	38	63.2	68	+4.8
4	PSV	34	86.1	103	32	39	75.4	79	+3.6
5	PEC Zwolle	33	38.7	42	54.3	50	37	40	+3
6	Go Ahead Eagles	34	56	57	53.5	55	48.7	51	+2.3
7	Willem II	34	28.7	34	65.6	56	24.8	26	+1.2
8	Heracles Almelo	34	41.6	42	64.9	63	37.1	38	+0.9
9	Fortuna Sittard	34	42.3	37	52.4	54	41	41	-0
10	AZ	34	55.1	58	37.2	37	57.6	57	-0.6
11	FC Twente	34	59.2	62	44.6	49	55.3	54	-1.3
12	SC Heerenveen	34	46.7	42	48.8	57	46.1	43	-3.1
13	NEC Nijmegen	34	48.2	51	47.5	46	47.2	43	-4.2
14	NAC Breda	34	43.1	34	61	58	37.3	33	-4.3
15	FC Groningen	34	40.9	40	48.5	53	43.4	39	-4.4
16	Sparta Rotterdam	34	49	39	52.2	43	45.8	39	-6.8
17	RKC Waalwijk	33	41.1	43	71.3	73	31.3	24	-7.3
18	Almere City	34	37.6	23	53	64	38.3	22	-16.3