Farense xG 2024/2025

Farense expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 31.27
Goals scored: 25
Goals minus xG: -6.27
Expected goals against (xGA): 51.30
Goals conceded: 46
xGA minus goals conceded: +5.30
Expected points (xPts): 35.57
Points: 27
Points minus xPts: -8.57
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Farense overperforming their expected goals?

Farense have taken 8.6 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -6.3 goals against their xG, and +5.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Farense results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	34	31.27	25	-6.27	51.30	46	+5.30	35.57	27	-8.57
Last 10	10	11.01	10	-1.01	13.40	12	+1.40	12.33	11	-1.33
Last 5	5	5.93	5	-0.93	6.62	6	+0.62	6.53	6	-0.53
Home	17	18.00	10	-8.00	21.83	24	-2.17	22.77	11	-11.77
Away	17	13.27	15	+1.73	29.47	22	+7.47	12.80	16	+3.20

Farense expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Liga Portugal	Santa Clara (H)	1-2	1.80	1.52	1.56	0	W
11 May	Liga Portugal	Vitória SC (A)	1-2	1.35	2.36	0.82	3	L
3 May	Liga Portugal	Famalicão (H)	2-1	1.51	0.61	2.04	3	W
26 Apr	Liga Portugal	Gil Vicente (A)	1-0	0.20	1.56	0.36	0	L
18 Apr	Liga Portugal	Boavista (H)	0-1	1.07	0.57	1.75	0	W
13 Apr	Liga Portugal	Estrela (A)	0-1	0.75	1.47	0.84	3	L
7 Apr	Liga Portugal	Casa Pia (H)	0-0	0.84	0.03	2.10	1	W
2 Apr	Liga Portugal	Benfica (A)	3-2	1.67	2.25	1.06	0	L
15 Mar	Liga Portugal	Braga (H)	0-1	0.39	1.12	0.71	0	L
8 Mar	Liga Portugal	Estoril (A)	2-2	1.43	1.91	1.09	1	L
2 Mar	Liga Portugal	AVS (H)	0-1	1.13	1.10	1.37	0	W
23 Feb	Liga Portugal	Arouca (A)	2-2	0.96	2.40	0.57	1	L
16 Feb	Liga Portugal	Porto (H)	0-1	0.48	0.88	0.95	0	L
9 Feb	Liga Portugal	Nacional (H)	0-2	1.53	0.65	2.01	0	W
2 Feb	Liga Portugal	Sporting (A)	3-1	0.71	1.87	0.62	0	L
25 Jan	Liga Portugal	Rio Ave (H)	1-2	1.86	0.99	1.96	0	W
19 Jan	Liga Portugal	Moreirense (A)	0-0	0.34	0.63	0.97	1	D
5 Jan	Liga Portugal	Santa Clara (A)	0-0	0.10	0.71	0.62	1	D
29 Dec	Liga Portugal	Vitória SC (H)	2-2	0.37	3.04	0.15	1	L
21 Dec	Liga Portugal	Famalicão (A)	1-2	0.41	1.64	0.50	3	L
14 Dec	Liga Portugal	Gil Vicente (H)	0-1	0.64	0.55	1.37	0	D
8 Dec	Liga Portugal	Boavista (A)	1-1	1.23	1.74	1.05	1	L
29 Nov	Liga Portugal	Estrela (H)	1-0	1.21	0.55	1.88	3	W
9 Nov	Liga Portugal	Casa Pia (A)	1-1	0.72	1.33	0.90	1	L
2 Nov	Liga Portugal	Benfica (H)	1-2	0.98	2.19	0.66	0	L
27 Oct	Liga Portugal	Braga (A)	2-0	0.20	2.81	0.12	0	L
6 Oct	Liga Portugal	Estoril (H)	1-0	1.31	1.04	1.56	3	W
30 Sep	Liga Portugal	AVS (A)	0-0	0.51	0.53	1.25	1	D
22 Sep	Liga Portugal	Arouca (H)	0-1	1.42	0.90	1.75	0	W
15 Sep	Liga Portugal	Porto (A)	2-1	1.43	3.45	0.48	0	L

Farense players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Darío Poveda	attacker	22	998	2.51	4	+1.49	0.23
Marco Matias	attacker	27	1264	1.66	3	+1.34	0.12
Raúl Silva	defender	10	494	0.06	1	+0.94	0.01
Neto	midfielder	24	1771	1.32	2	+0.68	0.07
Tomás Ribeiro	defender	9	649	0.44	1	+0.56	0.06
Miguel Menino	midfielder	27	1852	1.61	2	+0.39	0.08
Derick Poloni	defender	23	1448	0.71	1	+0.29	0.04
Filipe Soares	midfielder	21	618	1.14	1	-0.14	0.17
Lucas Áfrico	defender	21	1758	1.19	1	-0.19	0.06
Tomané	attacker	24	1666	3.46	3	-0.46	0.19
Artur Jorge	defender	19	1299	0.62	0	-0.62	0.04
Rui Costa	attacker	15	692	2.63	2	-0.63	0.34
Álex Bermejo Escribano	attacker	24	587	1.77	1	-0.77	0.27
Marco Moreno	defender	25	2057	0.84	0	-0.84	0.04
Elves Baldé	attacker	20	1055	1.93	1	-0.93	0.16
Claudio Falcão	midfielder	32	2853	2.36	1	-1.36	0.07
Yusupha Njie	attacker	14	632	1.56	0	-1.56	0.22
Rony Lopes	attacker	14	1136	2.72	1	-1.72	0.22

Liga Portugal 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Sporting Braga	34	50.1	55	33.4	30	56.2	66	+9.8
2	Sporting CP	34	70.8	88	23.7	27	72.7	82	+9.3
3	Porto	34	57.8	65	31.4	30	62.9	71	+8.1
4	Benfica	33	72.1	82	27.8	28	70.2	77	+6.8
5	Santa Clara	34	40.5	36	34.4	32	51	57	+6
6	Estoril	34	38.9	48	48.5	53	41	46	+5
7	Casa Pia	33	32.4	36	44.1	43	38.1	42	+3.9
8	Rio Ave	34	36.1	39	55.3	55	38.1	38	-0.1
9	Moreirense	34	34.1	42	40.9	50	41.1	40	-1.1
10	Famalicão	34	40.5	44	40	39	48.2	47	-1.2
11	Vitória Guimarães	34	46.5	47	33.8	37	55.5	54	-1.5
12	Nacional	33	36.5	32	50.1	48	37.1	34	-3.1
13	Arouca	33	40.7	34	48	46	41.3	38	-3.3
14	Estrela Amadora	34	26.9	24	44	50	34.1	29	-5.1
15	Gil Vicente	34	33.1	34	42.1	47	41.5	34	-7.5
16	AVS	34	34.1	25	54.2	60	35.2	27	-8.2
17	Farense	34	31.2	25	51.3	46	35.6	27	-8.6
18	Boavista	34	34.6	24	54	59	36.5	24	-12.5