Estrela have recorded 10 expected goals (xG) across 7 Liga Portugal games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.4 per match. L. Antonetti leads the squad with 3 expected goals (xG) - 0.46 per game. A. Marcus is next with 2.
Over their last 10 games, Estrela are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xG) per match - L. Antonetti leads that period with 3. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Estrela vs Arouca on 11.10.2026.
Estrela average 1.4 expected goals (xG) per Liga Portugal game in 2026/2027, based on 7 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.
L. Antonetti leads Estrela for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 3 in Liga Portugal - an average of 0.46 per game. A. Marcus is second with 2.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Estrela's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Estrela have taken 6.8 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: +1.2 goals against their xG, and -2.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 25.81 | 27 | +1.19 | 30.66 | 33 | -2.34 | 23.83 | 17 | -6.83 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.63 | 18 | +4.37 | 16.53 | 19 | -2.47 | 11.96 | 12 | +0.04 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.18 | 10 | +1.82 | 6.23 | 10 | -3.77 | 7.92 | 8 | +0.08 |
| Home | 10 | 11.55 | 13 | +1.45 | 15.93 | 14 | +1.93 | 10.60 | 10 | -0.60 |
| Away | 10 | 14.26 | 14 | -0.26 | 14.73 | 19 | -4.27 | 13.23 | 7 | -6.23 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Liga Portugal | Ac. Viseu (H) | 0-2 | 1.30 | 1.88 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 14 Sep | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave (A) | 3-3 | 2.73 | 1.28 | 2.20 | 1 | W |
| 10 Sep | Liga Portugal | Braga (H) | 2-1 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 1.28 | 3 | D |
| 5 Sep | Liga Portugal | Famalicão (H) | 2-2 | 1.14 | 1.54 | 1.10 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Liga Portugal | Nacional (A) | 2-3 | 2.33 | 0.81 | 2.32 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Liga Portugal | Alverca (A) | 2-2 | 1.25 | 1.45 | 1.23 | 1 | L |
| 8 Aug | Liga Portugal | Sporting (H) | 2-2 | 0.94 | 2.58 | 0.50 | 1 | L |
| 16 May | Liga Portugal | Braga (A) | 2-2 | 0.55 | 2.17 | 0.41 | 1 | L |
| 11 May | Liga Portugal | Famalicão (H) | 0-0 | 0.29 | 2.07 | 0.29 | 1 | L |
| 2 May | Liga Portugal | Moreirense (A) | 3-2 | 2.42 | 2.03 | 1.61 | 0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Liga Portugal | Porto (H) | 1-2 | 1.41 | 2.02 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 19 Apr | Liga Portugal | Arouca (A) | 1-0 | 1.35 | 0.96 | 1.65 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Liga Portugal | Sporting (H) | 0-1 | 0.43 | 1.01 | 0.82 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Liga Portugal | Nacional (A) | 2-0 | 0.64 | 1.19 | 0.90 | 0 | L |
| 20 Mar | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (H) | 4-0 | 3.17 | 0.42 | 2.75 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave (A) | 2-1 | 1.53 | 2.47 | 0.88 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente (H) | 2-2 | 1.28 | 2.27 | 0.82 | 1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Liga Portugal | AVS (A) | 0-0 | 0.82 | 0.81 | 1.33 | 1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Liga Portugal | Tondela (H) | 0-2 | 0.91 | 1.42 | 1.00 | 0 | L |
| 14 Feb | Liga Portugal | Vitória SC (A) | 2-1 | 0.64 | 1.56 | 0.70 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abraham Marcus | attacker | 20 | 1759 | 4.42 | 6 | +1.58 | 0.23 |
| Ianis Stoica | attacker | 20 | 1293 | 3.66 | 5 | +1.34 | 0.25 |
| Stefan Leković | defender | 15 | 1323 | 0.95 | 2 | +1.05 | 0.06 |
| Max Scholze | defender | 18 | 1252 | 0.37 | 1 | +0.63 | 0.03 |
| B. Souza | midfielder | 7 | 162 | 0.37 | 1 | +0.63 | 0.20 |
| Leandro Antonetti | attacker | 12 | 700 | 3.43 | 4 | +0.57 | 0.44 |
| Jovane Cabral | attacker | 13 | 743 | 2.45 | 3 | +0.55 | 0.30 |
| Paulo Moreira | midfielder | 10 | 761 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.08 |
| Eddy Doué | midfielder | 18 | 1219 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.05 |
| Robinho | midfielder | 13 | 628 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.10 |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | midfielder | 15 | 797 | 0.68 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.08 |
| Lovro Zvonarek | midfielder | 7 | 604 | 0.93 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.14 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | attacker | 12 | 768 | 4.09 | 3 | -1.09 | 0.48 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 7 | 16.4 | 18 | 7.7 | 3 | 14.5 | 21 | +6.5 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 8.6 | 9 | 12.9 | 9 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 7 | 5.4 | 8 | 12.4 | 14 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 10.2 | 11 | 5.7 | 4 | 12.8 | 15 | +2.2 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 8.1 | 10 | 9.7 | 7 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 7 | 12.8 | 17 | 5.7 | 8 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 7 | Sporting Braga | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 4.2 | 5 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 10.4 | 14 | 10.3 | 14 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| 9 | Alverca | 7 | 8.7 | 9 | 11.7 | 11 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 7 | 4.5 | 5 | 13.7 | 15 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 11 | Benfica | 7 | 16.5 | 22 | 5.2 | 7 | 16.1 | 16 | -0.1 |
| 12 | MarÃtimo | 7 | 6.9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 7 | 6.3 | 9 | 8.9 | 7 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 7 | 6.7 | 3 | 12.9 | 16 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 8.3 | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| 16 | Nacional | 7 | 8.4 | 7 | 12.3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | -4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 7 | 6.2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 6.6 | 2 | -4.6 |
| 18 | Vitória Guimarães | 7 | 12.7 | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | 13.7 | 5 | -8.7 |