Arouca host Estrela at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca on 11 October 2026 at 20:30 in Liga Portugal. Arouca's last five results: L W D L D (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Estrela's last five: W D W D L (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Arouca have won 3, Estrela 2, with 1 draw.
Arouca vs Estrela kicks off at 20:30 UK time on Sunday 11 October 2026 in Liga Portugal, at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca.
Arouca vs Estrela is being played at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in Arouca, the home ground of Arouca.
Arouca's last five results read L W D L D (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Estrela's last five results read W D W D L (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Arouca have won 3, Estrela have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora on 19 April 2026 in the Liga Portugal.
Iván Barbero leads Arouca with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Ianis Stoica leads Estrela with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Arouca and Estrela are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Arouca the favourite with a 48% chance of winning, against 26% for Estrela and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Arouca 1.7 - 1.2 Estrela.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 56%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Liga Portugal | Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1-0 |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Liga Portugal | Estrela Amadora vs Arouca | 3-1 |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Liga Portugal | Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1-0 |
| 9 Dec 2024 | Liga Portugal | Estrela Amadora vs Arouca | 2-1 |
| 5 May 2024 | Liga Portugal | Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 0-0 |
| 28 Dec 2023 | Liga Portugal | Estrela Amadora vs Arouca | 1-4 |
Statz's projection model expects Arouca 1.7 - 1.2 Estrela in goals. It gives Arouca a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estrela 26%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 56%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%), 2-0 (8%), 1-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Arouca win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Arouca win | 8% |
| 2-0 | Arouca win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Estrela win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Arouca vs Estrela, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Arouca | Fouls committed | Estrela | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Barbero | 18 | L. Antonetti | 12 |
| 2 | E. Ee | 15 | I. Stoica | 11 |
| 3 | A. Trezza | 12 | A. Marcus | 11 |
| 4 | T. Esgaio | 11 | E. Doué | 11 |
| 5 | O. Lebedenko | 11 | L. Zvonarek | 9 |
| # | Arouca | Shots | Estrela | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Barbero | 25 | L. Antonetti | 24 |
| 2 | N. Djouahra | 16 | A. Marcus | 19 |
| 3 | A. Trezza | 15 | I. Stoica | 15 |
| 4 | T. Fukui | 13 | L. Zvonarek | 10 |
| 5 | D. NandÃn | 7 | B. Souza | 7 |
| # | Arouca | Shots on target | Estrela | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Barbero | 12 | A. Marcus | 11 |
| 2 | T. Fukui | 6 | I. Stoica | 8 |
| 3 | E. Ee | 3 | L. Antonetti | 7 |
| 4 | A. Trezza | 3 | B. Souza | 3 |
| 5 | J. Fontán | 3 | S. Leković | 2 |
| # | Arouca | Goals | Estrela | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Barbero | 5 | I. Stoica | 5 |
| 2 | H. Lee | 2 | A. Marcus | 4 |
| 3 | T. Fukui | 2 | L. Antonetti | 4 |
| 4 | J. Fontán | 2 | S. Leković | 2 |
| 5 | D. NandÃn | 2 | M. Scholze | 1 |
| # | Arouca | Yellow cards | Estrela | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Sánchez | 4 | S. Leković | 4 |
| 2 | H. Lee | 3 | E. Doué | 4 |
| 3 | J. Fontán | 2 | M. Scholze | 3 |
| 4 | E. Ee | 2 | L. Patrick | 3 |
| 5 | B. Mansilla | 2 | J. Encada | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 6 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1 | 7 of 18 |
| Shots | 11 | 11 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 3.9 | 9 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 16 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 12 of 18 |
| Passes | 455.1 | 7 of 18 |
| Corners | 2.9 | 16 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 4 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2 | 14 of 18 |
| Shots | 13 | 7 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 6 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 15 of 18 |
| Tackles | 18.4 | 2 of 18 |
| Passes | 388.4 | 11 of 18 |
| Corners | 4 | 10 of 18 |