Rio Ave host Nacional at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde on 11 October 2026 at 15:30 in Liga Portugal. Rio Ave's last five results: W L L D L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Nacional's last five: L L L L L (5 losses). In their last 4 meetings, Rio Ave have won 1, Nacional 1, with 2 draws.
Rio Ave vs Nacional kicks off at 15:30 UK time on Sunday 11 October 2026 in Liga Portugal, at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde.
Rio Ave vs Nacional is being played at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube in Vila do Conde, the home ground of Rio Ave.
Rio Ave's last five results read W L L D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Nacional's last five results read L L L L L (oldest to newest): 5 losses.
Across the last 4 meetings Rio Ave have won 1, Nacional have won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Nacional 4-0 Rio Ave on 25 January 2026 in the Liga Portugal.
Tamás Nikitscher leads Rio Ave with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Ze Vitor leads Nacional with 15 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Rio Ave and Nacional are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Rio Ave the favourite with a 42% chance of winning, against 30% for Nacional and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Rio Ave 1.5 - 1.2 Nacional.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 55% likely and over 2.5 goals 50%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Liga Portugal | Nacional vs Rio Ave | 4-0 |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave vs Nacional | 1-1 |
| 10 May 2025 | Liga Portugal | Nacional vs Rio Ave | 3-3 |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave vs Nacional | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Rio Ave 1.5 - 1.2 Nacional in goals. It gives Rio Ave a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nacional 30%. Both teams to score is 55% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 50%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (8%), 1-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 2-1 | Rio Ave win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Rio Ave win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
| 1-2 | Nacional win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Rio Ave vs Nacional, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Rio Ave | Fouls committed | Nacional | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Nikitscher | 16 | Z. Vitor | 15 |
| 2 | A. Ntoi | 13 | M. Dias | 14 |
| 3 | F. Petrasso | 9 | P. Ruan | 10 |
| 4 | T. Monteiro | 7 | F. Soares | 9 |
| 5 | D. Spikic | 7 | L. Santos | 8 |
| # | Rio Ave | Shots | Nacional | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Bezerra | 16 | P. Ruan | 12 |
| 2 | T. Monteiro | 13 | L. Santos | 8 |
| 3 | J. Blesa | 13 | W. Gasolina | 8 |
| 4 | D. Spikic | 9 | D. Jr | 7 |
| 5 | T. Nikitscher | 5 | F. Soares | 7 |
| # | Rio Ave | Shots on target | Nacional | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Blesa | 7 | P. Ruan | 4 |
| 2 | D. Bezerra | 6 | M. Baeza | 3 |
| 3 | T. Monteiro | 5 | Liziero | 2 |
| 4 | M. Vrousai | 2 | S. Gavriel | 2 |
| 5 | R. Galčík | 2 | M. Djaló | 2 |
| # | Rio Ave | Goals | Nacional | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Blesa | 3 | F. Soares | 1 |
| 2 | D. Bezerra | 1 | M. Djaló | 1 |
| 3 | F. Petrasso | 1 | W. Gasolina | 1 |
| 4 | R. Galčík | 1 | P. Ruan | 1 |
| 5 | T. Monteiro | 1 | L. Santos | 1 |
| # | Rio Ave | Yellow cards | Nacional | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Petrasso | 3 | M. Dias | 3 |
| 2 | Ryan | 2 | F. Soares | 3 |
| 3 | T. Nikitscher | 2 | Z. Vitor | 2 |
| 4 | D. Bezerra | 1 | W. Kokolo | 2 |
| 5 | S. García | 1 | C. Labidi | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.7 | 16 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2.1 | 17 of 18 |
| Shots | 7.1 | 18 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 2.6 | 18 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9 | 18 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.7 | 14 of 18 |
| Passes | 357 | 15 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 14 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 14 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2.1 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots | 10.7 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 2.9 | 16 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 17 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.3 | 8 of 18 |
| Passes | 419.9 | 9 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 11 of 18 |