Boavista xG 2024/2025

Boavista expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 34.55
Goals scored: 24
Goals minus xG: -10.55
Expected goals against (xGA): 53.96
Goals conceded: 59
xGA minus goals conceded: -5.04
Expected points (xPts): 36.54
Points: 24
Points minus xPts: -12.54
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Boavista overperforming their expected goals?

Boavista have taken 12.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -10.6 goals against their xG, and -5.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Boavista results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	34	34.55	24	-10.55	53.96	59	-5.04	36.54	24	-12.54
Last 10	10	12.59	9	-3.59	16.57	19	-2.43	11.49	9	-2.49
Last 5	5	5.78	5	-0.78	8.62	12	-3.38	5.34	6	+0.66
Home	17	18.70	8	-10.70	24.38	31	-6.62	20.36	6	-14.36
Away	17	15.85	16	+0.15	29.58	28	+1.58	16.18	18	+1.82

Boavista expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Liga Portugal	Arouca (A)	4-1	2.08	1.45	1.77	0	W
11 May	Liga Portugal	Porto (H)	1-2	1.66	1.64	1.40	0	W
5 May	Liga Portugal	AVS (A)	1-2	0.82	1.25	1.02	3	L
27 Apr	Liga Portugal	Sporting (H)	0-5	0.65	3.21	0.23	0	L
18 Apr	Liga Portugal	Farense (A)	0-1	0.57	1.07	0.92	3	L
12 Apr	Liga Portugal	Nacional (H)	0-1	2.43	1.68	1.83	0	W
7 Apr	Liga Portugal	Rio Ave (A)	0-2	0.99	0.97	1.36	3	W
1 Apr	Liga Portugal	Gil Vicente (H)	1-3	1.25	1.17	1.42	0	W
16 Mar	Liga Portugal	Moreirense (A)	1-0	0.60	2.00	0.50	0	L
9 Mar	Liga Portugal	Vitória SC (H)	1-2	1.54	2.13	1.04	0	L
2 Mar	Liga Portugal	Santa Clara (H)	1-0	0.95	0.50	1.72	3	W
22 Feb	Liga Portugal	Benfica (A)	3-0	0.39	5.10	0.03	0	L
14 Feb	Liga Portugal	Estrela (H)	0-1	0.88	0.52	1.63	0	W
9 Feb	Liga Portugal	Estoril (A)	2-1	0.78	1.85	0.68	0	L
31 Jan	Liga Portugal	Famalicão (H)	0-2	0.09	2.37	0.13	0	L
26 Jan	Liga Portugal	Braga (A)	3-0	0.74	2.56	0.41	0	L
20 Jan	Liga Portugal	Casa Pia (H)	2-3	0.86	1.37	0.98	0	L
4 Jan	Liga Portugal	Arouca (H)	1-3	0.71	2.04	0.55	0	L
28 Dec	Liga Portugal	Porto (A)	4-0	0.29	2.32	0.23	0	L
21 Dec	Liga Portugal	AVS (H)	0-0	0.90	0.99	1.27	1	L
14 Dec	Liga Portugal	Sporting (A)	3-2	0.89	1.86	0.75	0	L
8 Dec	Liga Portugal	Farense (H)	1-1	1.74	1.23	1.71	1	W
30 Nov	Liga Portugal	Nacional (A)	0-0	0.99	1.15	1.23	1	L
9 Nov	Liga Portugal	Rio Ave (H)	0-2	2.20	0.28	2.61	0	W
2 Nov	Liga Portugal	Gil Vicente (A)	1-2	1.05	1.07	1.34	3	L
26 Oct	Liga Portugal	Moreirense (H)	0-2	0.28	1.74	0.37	0	L
6 Oct	Liga Portugal	Vitória SC (A)	2-2	2.41	1.95	1.65	1	W
29 Sep	Liga Portugal	Santa Clara (A)	1-0	0.15	2.15	0.19	0	L
23 Sep	Liga Portugal	Benfica (H)	0-3	0.33	1.76	0.39	0	L
16 Sep	Liga Portugal	Estrela (A)	2-2	1.57	1.02	1.76	1	W

Boavista players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Bruno Onyemaechi	defender	18	1565	1.83	3	+1.17	0.11
V. Lystsov	defender	8	474	0.10	1	+0.91	0.02
I. Vukotić	midfielder	26	1772	2.44	3	+0.56	0.12
Seba Pérez	midfielder	29	2032	0.68	1	+0.32	0.03
Joel Silva	midfielder	30	2398	1.74	2	+0.26	0.07
Gonçalo Miguel	defender	19	813	0.64	0	-0.64	0.07
Salvador Agra	attacker	32	2742	1.65	1	-0.65	0.05
M. Koné	attacker	7	312	0.67	0	-0.67	0.19
M. van Ginkel	midfielder	11	687	1.85	1	-0.85	0.24
Rodrigo Abascal	defender	29	2600	1.19	0	-1.19	0.04
Miguel Reisinho	midfielder	29	2172	6.48	5	-1.48	0.27
Abdoulay Diaby	attacker	12	894	2.62	1	-1.62	0.26
Róbert Boženík	attacker	33	2753	9.14	5	-4.14	0.30

Liga Portugal 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Sporting Braga	34	50.1	55	33.4	30	56.2	66	+9.8
2	Sporting CP	34	70.8	88	23.7	27	72.7	82	+9.3
3	Porto	34	57.8	65	31.4	30	62.9	71	+8.1
4	Benfica	33	72.1	82	27.8	28	70.2	77	+6.8
5	Santa Clara	34	40.5	36	34.4	32	51	57	+6
6	Estoril	34	38.9	48	48.5	53	41	46	+5
7	Casa Pia	33	32.4	36	44.1	43	38.1	42	+3.9
8	Rio Ave	34	36.1	39	55.3	55	38.1	38	-0.1
9	Moreirense	34	34.1	42	40.9	50	41.1	40	-1.1
10	Famalicão	34	40.5	44	40	39	48.2	47	-1.2
11	Vitória Guimarães	34	46.5	47	33.8	37	55.5	54	-1.5
12	Nacional	33	36.5	32	50.1	48	37.1	34	-3.1
13	Arouca	33	40.7	34	48	46	41.3	38	-3.3
14	Estrela Amadora	34	26.9	24	44	50	34.1	29	-5.1
15	Gil Vicente	34	33.1	34	42.1	47	41.5	34	-7.5
16	AVS	34	34.1	25	54.2	60	35.2	27	-8.2
17	Farense	34	31.2	25	51.3	46	35.6	27	-8.6
18	Boavista	34	34.6	24	54	59	36.5	24	-12.5