Tigres UANL host Toluca at Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza on 10 October 2026 at 04:00 in Liga MX. Tigres UANL's last five results: D D D L W (1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss). Toluca's last five: W W W L D (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Tigres UANL have won 2, Toluca 2, with 2 draws.
Tigres UANL vs Toluca kicks off at 04:00 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in Liga MX, at Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza.
Tigres UANL vs Toluca is being played at Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León in San Nicolás de los Garza, the home ground of Tigres UANL.
Tigres UANL's last five results read D D D L W (oldest to newest): 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss.
Toluca's last five results read W W W L D (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Tigres UANL have won 2, Toluca have won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Tigres UANL 0-0 Toluca on 18 January 2026 in the Liga MX.
Juan Brunetta leads Tigres UANL with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Alexis Vega leads Toluca with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Tigres UANL and Toluca are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Toluca the favourite with a 42% chance of winning, against 33% for Tigres UANL and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Tigres UANL 1.4 - 1.6 Toluca.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 62% likely and over 2.5 goals 59%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Liga MX | Tigres UANL vs Toluca | 0-0 |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Tigres UANL | 2-1 |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Liga MX | Tigres UANL vs Toluca | 1-0 |
| 27 Jul 2025 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Tigres UANL | 3-4 |
| 18 May 2025 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Tigres UANL | 3-0 |
| 15 May 2025 | Liga MX | Tigres UANL vs Toluca | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Tigres UANL 1.4 - 1.6 Toluca in goals. It gives Tigres UANL a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Toluca 42%. Both teams to score is 62% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 59%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 0-1 (7%), 2-2 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Toluca win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Tigres UANL win | 8% |
| 0-1 | Toluca win | 7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Tigres UANL vs Toluca, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Tigres UANL | Fouls committed | Toluca | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Gorriarán | 19 | E. Villar | 13 |
| 2 | J. Garza | 16 | F. Pereira | 12 |
| 3 | R. Aguirre | 12 | J. Gallardo | 12 |
| 4 | R. Zwarg | 10 | D. Barbosa | 9 |
| 5 | C. Vilches | 9 | É. Galaviz | 8 |
| # | Tigres UANL | Shots | Toluca | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Brunetta | 44 | Helinho | 23 |
| 2 | D. Lainez | 22 | F. Viñas | 23 |
| 3 | R. Aguirre | 16 | A. Vega | 19 |
| 4 | O. Herrera | 13 | N. Castro | 16 |
| 5 | F. Gorriarán | 11 | Paulinho | 14 |
| # | Tigres UANL | Shots on target | Toluca | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Brunetta | 18 | Helinho | 12 |
| 2 | O. Herrera | 5 | A. Vega | 8 |
| 3 | D. Lainez | 4 | F. Viñas | 6 |
| 4 | R. Aguirre | 4 | Paulinho | 6 |
| 5 | D. Sánchez | 2 | N. Castro | 5 |
| # | Tigres UANL | Goals | Toluca | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Brunetta | 4 | A. Vega | 4 |
| 2 | R. Aguirre | 3 | F. Viñas | 4 |
| 3 | F. Gorriarán | 1 | Helinho | 3 |
| 4 | D. Sánchez | 1 | Paulinho | 2 |
| 5 | O. Herrera | 1 | J. Angulo | 1 |
| # | Tigres UANL | Yellow cards | Toluca | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Gorriarán | 3 | Helinho | 3 |
| 2 | N. Guzmán | 2 | N. Castro | 2 |
| 3 | V. Loroña | 2 | F. Romero | 2 |
| 4 | G. Ayala | 1 | D. Barbosa | 1 |
| 5 | M. LaÃnez | 1 | B. Méndez | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 14 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 8 of 18 |
| Shots | 16 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.1 | 13 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 9 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 14 of 18 |
| Passes | 407.4 | 11 of 18 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 4 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.1 | 4 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 13 of 18 |
| Tackles | 18.2 | 3 of 18 |
| Passes | 513.7 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 8 of 18 |