Mainz host Leverkusen at Mewa Arena, Mainz on 10 October 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga. Mainz's last five results: W D W L W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Leverkusen's last five: L W D W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Mainz have won 0, Leverkusen 4, with 2 draws.
Mainz vs Leverkusen kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Mewa Arena, Mainz.
Mainz vs Leverkusen is being played at Mewa Arena in Mainz, the home ground of Mainz.
Mainz's last five results read W D W L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Leverkusen's last five results read L W D W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Mainz have won 0, Leverkusen have won 4 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 on 28 February 2026 in the Bundesliga.
Phillip Tietz leads Mainz with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Patrik Schick leads Leverkusen with 10 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Mainz and Leverkusen are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Leverkusen the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 31% for Mainz and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Mainz 1.6 - 1.9 Leverkusen.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 10%. Both teams to score is 68% likely and over 2.5 goals 68%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 | 1-1 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3-4 |
| 17 May 2025 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2-2 |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 | 1-0 |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 | 2-1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Mainz 1.6 - 1.9 Leverkusen in goals. It gives Mainz a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leverkusen 45%. Both teams to score is 68% likely, over 1.5 goals 87% and over 2.5 goals 68%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Leverkusen win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Mainz win | 7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 1-3 | Leverkusen win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Mainz vs Leverkusen, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Mainz | Fouls committed | Leverkusen | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Tietz | 19 | C. Kofane | 10 |
| 2 | K. Potulski | 13 | P. Schick | 9 |
| 3 | P. Mwene | 11 | E. Tapsoba | 8 |
| 4 | S. Becker | 9 | I. Maza | 8 |
| 5 | K. Sano | 7 | A. Moreira | 7 |
| # | Mainz | Shots | Leverkusen | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Becker | 29 | P. Schick | 40 |
| 2 | P. Tietz | 27 | I. Maza | 33 |
| 3 | N. Amiri | 22 | C. Kofane | 16 |
| 4 | K. Sano | 12 | N. Tella | 11 |
| 5 | D. Costa | 9 | A. GarcÃa | 11 |
| # | Mainz | Shots on target | Leverkusen | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Becker | 15 | P. Schick | 21 |
| 2 | P. Tietz | 12 | I. Maza | 8 |
| 3 | N. Amiri | 9 | C. Kofane | 5 |
| 4 | P. Mwene | 5 | N. Tella | 5 |
| 5 | S. Posch | 3 | J. Quansah | 4 |
| # | Mainz | Goals | Leverkusen | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Tietz | 6 | P. Schick | 10 |
| 2 | S. Becker | 4 | C. Kofane | 2 |
| 3 | N. Amiri | 2 | R. Andrich | 1 |
| 4 | P. Mwene | 2 | N. Tella | 1 |
| 5 | P. Nebel | 1 | A. GarcÃa | 1 |
| # | Mainz | Yellow cards | Leverkusen | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Caci | 3 | E. Tapsoba | 2 |
| 2 | P. Mwene | 3 | I. Maza | 2 |
| 3 | D. Kohr | 2 | J. Quansah | 1 |
| 4 | S. Becker | 2 | A. GarcÃa | 1 |
| 5 | J. Lee | 1 | J. Blaswich | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Mainz vs Leverkusen: Phillip Tietz 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.40); Ibrahim Maza 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Patrik Schick 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.22); Aleix GarcÃa 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 2.6 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.3 | 2 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 8 of 18 |
| Shots | 18.3 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.3 | 6 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 6 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.8 | 5 of 18 |
| Passes | 442.5 | 10 of 18 |
| Corners | 6 | 8 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.5 | 6 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots | 22.5 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.3 | 7 of 18 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 4 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.3 | 12 of 18 |
| Passes | 560.3 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 9.3 | 2 of 18 |