Paderborn host Stuttgart at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn on 10 October 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga. Paderborn's last five results: D L L W (1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses). Stuttgart's last five: L W W L L (2 wins and 3 losses).
Paderborn vs Stuttgart kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn.
Paderborn vs Stuttgart is being played at Home Deluxe Arena in Paderborn, the home ground of Paderborn.
Paderborn's last five results read D L L W (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Stuttgart's last five results read L W W L L (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Steffen Tigges leads Paderborn with 8 shots across their last 10 games.
Ermedin Demirovic leads Stuttgart with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Paderborn and Stuttgart are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Stuttgart the favourite with a 58% chance of winning, against 20% for Paderborn and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Paderborn 1.1 - 2.0 Stuttgart.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 10%. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 61%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Paderborn 1.1 - 2.0 Stuttgart in goals. It gives Paderborn a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stuttgart 58%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 61%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Stuttgart win | 10% |
| 0-2 | Stuttgart win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Stuttgart win | 8% |
| 1-3 | Stuttgart win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Paderborn vs Stuttgart, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Paderborn | Fouls committed | Stuttgart | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Pieringer | 9 | E. Demirovic | 13 |
| 2 | L. Curda | 7 | A. Stiller | 11 |
| 3 | S. Castaneda | 4 | J. Chabot | 10 |
| 4 | J. Horst | 3 | D. Undav | 10 |
| 5 | L. Ulrich | 3 | R. Hendriks | 6 |
| # | Paderborn | Shots | Stuttgart | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Tigges | 8 | D. Undav | 23 |
| 2 | S. Marino | 6 | E. Demirovic | 20 |
| 3 | M. Pieringer | 5 | B. Khannouss | 17 |
| 4 | L. Ulrich | 5 | C. Führich | 14 |
| 5 | S. Castaneda | 5 | M. Mittelstädt | 12 |
| # | Paderborn | Shots on target | Stuttgart | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Castaneda | 2 | E. Demirovic | 11 |
| 2 | R. Philippe | 2 | C. Führich | 8 |
| 3 | S. Marino | 2 | B. Khannouss | 7 |
| 4 | S. Tigges | 1 | D. Undav | 7 |
| 5 | M. Pieringer | 1 | M. Mittelstädt | 6 |
| # | Paderborn | Goals | Stuttgart | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Castaneda | 1 | E. Demirovic | 4 |
| 2 | S. Tigges | 1 | M. Mittelstädt | 3 |
| 3 | S. Marino | 1 | C. Führich | 3 |
| 4 | B. Khannouss | 2 | ||
| 5 | J. Vagnoman | 2 |
| # | Paderborn | Yellow cards | Stuttgart | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Ulrich | 1 | M. Mittelstädt | 2 |
| 2 | L. Curda | 1 | E. Demirovic | 2 |
| 3 | J. Horst | 1 | D. Undav | 1 |
| 4 | T. Scheller | 1 | B. Khannouss | 1 |
| 5 | S. Castaneda | 1 | T. Tomás | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Paderborn vs Stuttgart: Raphael Obermair 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.57); Jeff Chabot 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 2.09 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 17 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 5 of 18 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 2 | 18 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9 | 16 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.8 | 6 of 18 |
| Passes | 446.3 | 9 of 18 |
| Corners | 4 | 12 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 14 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2.3 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 9 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 8 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 14 of 18 |
| Tackles | 13.5 | 13 of 18 |
| Passes | 488.5 | 5 of 18 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 7 of 18 |