Rayo host Athletic Club at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid on 10 October 2026 at 13:00 in La Liga. Rayo's last five results: L W L W D (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Athletic Club's last five: L W W D D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Rayo have won 0, Athletic Club 5, with 1 draw.
Rayo vs Athletic Club kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in La Liga, at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid.
Rayo vs Athletic Club is being played at Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid, the home ground of Rayo.
Rayo's last five results read L W L W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Athletic Club's last five results read L W W D D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Rayo have won 0, Athletic Club have won 5 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Club on 28 February 2026 in the La Liga.
Sergio Camello leads Rayo with 9 goals across their last 10 games.
Iñaki Williams leads Athletic Club with 4 assists across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Rayo and Athletic Club are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Rayo the favourite with a 36% chance of winning, against 36% for Athletic Club and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Rayo 1.3 - 1.3 Athletic Club.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 55% likely and over 2.5 goals 50%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club | 1-1 |
| 25 Aug 2025 | La Liga | Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano | 1-0 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | La Liga | Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano | 3-1 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club | 1-2 |
| 25 May 2024 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club | 0-1 |
| 2 Dec 2023 | La Liga | Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano | 4-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Rayo 1.3 - 1.3 Athletic Club in goals. It gives Rayo a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Athletic Club 36%. Both teams to score is 55% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 50%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (8%), 0-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Rayo win | 8% |
| 0-1 | Athletic Club win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Rayo win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Athletic Club win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Rayo vs Athletic Club, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Rayo | Fouls committed | Athletic Club | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. López | 13 | I. Galarreta | 14 |
| 2 | F. Pérez | 10 | G. Guruzeta | 12 |
| 3 | Ó. Valentín | 10 | I. Williams | 11 |
| 4 | A. Zurawski | 9 | B. Gerenabarrena | 11 |
| 5 | F. Lejeune | 9 | M. Jauregizar | 10 |
| # | Rayo | Shots | Athletic Club | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Camello | 26 | I. Williams | 22 |
| 2 | F. Lejeune | 16 | O. Sancet | 20 |
| 3 | P. Díaz | 15 | G. Guruzeta | 16 |
| 4 | Á. García | 11 | N. Williams | 13 |
| 5 | A. Zurawski | 10 | Y. Berchiche | 13 |
| # | Rayo | Shots on target | Athletic Club | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Camello | 15 | I. Williams | 10 |
| 2 | A. Zurawski | 5 | O. Sancet | 5 |
| 3 | R. Nteka | 4 | R. Navarro | 5 |
| 4 | F. Lejeune | 4 | G. Guruzeta | 4 |
| 5 | J. Frutos | 4 | M. Jauregizar | 4 |
| # | Rayo | Goals | Athletic Club | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Camello | 9 | I. Williams | 2 |
| 2 | Á. García | 2 | R. Navarro | 2 |
| 3 | F. Lejeune | 1 | G. Guruzeta | 1 |
| 4 | A. Zurawski | 1 | O. Sancet | 1 |
| 5 | R. Nteka | 1 | N. Williams | 1 |
| # | Rayo | Yellow cards | Athletic Club | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Ciss | 4 | Y. Berchiche | 3 |
| 2 | U. López | 3 | A. Laporte | 2 |
| 3 | S. Camello | 3 | I. Galarreta | 2 |
| 4 | A. Zurawski | 3 | B. Gerenabarrena | 2 |
| 5 | F. Lejeune | 2 | G. Guruzeta | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Rayo vs Athletic Club: Florian Lejeune 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Sergio Camello 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 1.5 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 8 of 20 |
| Goals against | 2.3 | 18 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 8 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 9 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 9 of 20 |
| Tackles | 17.4 | 7 of 20 |
| Passes | 381.1 | 16 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 7 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 15 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.7 | 6 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 8 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 13 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 485.5 | 7 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 5 of 20 |