Arsenal host Leeds at Emirates Stadium, London on 10 October 2026 at 12:30 in the Premier League. Arsenal's last five results: W W W W L (4 wins and 1 loss). Leeds's last five: D D L W D (1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal have won 6, Leeds 0, with 0 draws.
Arsenal vs Leeds kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in the Premier League, at Emirates Stadium, London.
Arsenal vs Leeds is being played at Emirates Stadium in London, the home ground of Arsenal.
Arsenal's last five results read W W W W L (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Leeds's last five results read D D L W D (oldest to newest): 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Arsenal have won 6, Leeds have won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Leeds United 0-4 Arsenal on 31 January 2026 in the Premier League.
Bukayo Saka leads Arsenal with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads Leeds with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Paul Tierney is the referee for Arsenal vs Leeds, averaging 22.0 fouls and 2.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Arsenal and Leeds are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Arsenal the favourite with a 67% chance of winning, against 12% for Leeds and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are Arsenal 2.0 - 0.7 Leeds.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a Arsenal win, at 14%. Both teams to score is 43% likely and over 2.5 goals 49%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Premier League | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0-4 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Premier League | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 5-0 |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Premier League | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4-1 |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Premier League | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0-1 |
| 8 May 2022 | Premier League | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 2-1 |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Premier League | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 1-4 |
Statz's projection model expects Arsenal 2.0 - 0.7 Leeds in goals. It gives Arsenal a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leeds 12%. Both teams to score is 43% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 49%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Arsenal win | 14% |
| 1-0 | Arsenal win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Arsenal win | 9% |
| 3-0 | Arsenal win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Arsenal vs Leeds, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Arsenal | Fouls committed | Leeds | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Lewis-Skelly | 11 | E. Ampadu | 15 |
| 2 | G. Magalhães | 9 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 15 |
| 3 | V. Gyökeres | 9 | A. Stach | 14 |
| 4 | K. Havertz | 9 | J. Bogle | 9 |
| 5 | D. Rice | 8 | J. Rodon | 8 |
| # | Arsenal | Shots | Leeds | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Saka | 23 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 18 |
| 2 | K. Havertz | 16 | A. Stach | 14 |
| 3 | E. Eze | 14 | L. Nmecha | 10 |
| 4 | G. Magalhães | 11 | D. James | 10 |
| 5 | R. Calafiori | 11 | N. Okafor | 9 |
| # | Arsenal | Shots on target | Leeds | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Saka | 10 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 11 |
| 2 | K. Havertz | 7 | J. Rodon | 3 |
| 3 | E. Eze | 4 | B. Aaronson | 3 |
| 4 | G. Magalhães | 4 | A. Stach | 3 |
| 5 | V. Gyökeres | 4 | J. Justin | 3 |
| # | Arsenal | Goals | Leeds | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Saka | 4 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 6 |
| 2 | K. Havertz | 3 | A. Stach | 2 |
| 3 | V. Gyökeres | 2 | N. Okafor | 2 |
| 4 | M. Ødegaard | 2 | S. Longstaff | 1 |
| 5 | G. Jesus | 1 | J. Bogle | 1 |
| # | Arsenal | Yellow cards | Leeds | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Havertz | 2 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 5 |
| 2 | D. Rice | 2 | E. Ampadu | 2 |
| 3 | G. Magalhães | 2 | J. Rodon | 2 |
| 4 | C. Tzolis | 2 | J. Bogle | 2 |
| 5 | W. Saliba | 1 | B. Aaronson | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Arsenal vs Leeds: Viktor Gyökeres 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.40); Bukayo Saka 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Jayden Bogle 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.33); James Justin 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.80). Combined odds 4.02 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 9 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 6 of 20 |
| Shots | 13 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 8 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Tackles | 11.6 | 19 of 20 |
| Passes | 500.8 | 7 of 20 |
| Corners | 5 | 8 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 7 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 17 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 13 of 20 |
| Tackles | 18 | 5 of 20 |
| Passes | 362.2 | 18 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 10 of 20 |