Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | Tenerife win | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | Tenerife win | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | Tenerife win | 9.3% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.8% |
| 0-1 | Ceuta win | 7.5% |
| 1-2 | Ceuta win | 6.0% |
| 3-0 | Tenerife win | 4.8% |
| 3-1 | Tenerife win | 4.7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.6% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Tenerife clean sheet | 37% |
| Ceuta clean sheet | 22% |
The most likely score in Tenerife vs Ceuta is 1-1, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 12%. The La Liga 2 game kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Tenerife 1.52 - 0.98 Ceuta in goals for Tenerife vs Ceuta, with over 2.5 goals 46% likely and both teams to score 49%.
Tenerife host Ceuta at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Tenerife on 15 November 2026 at 13:00 in La Liga 2. Tenerife's last five results: L D D D D (4 draws and 1 loss). Ceuta's last five: L L W L L (1 win and 4 losses).
Tenerife vs Ceuta kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in La Liga 2, at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Tenerife. Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz holds 22,824 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 13:00.
Tenerife vs Ceuta is being played at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz in Tenerife on Sunday 15 November 2026, the home ground of Tenerife, which holds 22,824 people. Kick-off is at 13:00 UK time, and the match is part of La Liga 2.
Tenerife have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8, with results reading L D D D D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-2 draw at home to FC Andorra in the La Liga 2 on 2 November.
Ceuta have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 12, with results reading L L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-3 defeat away to Córdoba in the La Liga 2 on 7 November.
Enric Gallego leads Tenerife with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Tenerife player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Tenerife player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Carlos Hernández leads Ceuta with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Ceuta player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Ceuta player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Iosu Galech Apezteguía is the referee for Tenerife vs Ceuta, averaging 28.7 fouls and 4.8 yellow cards per game across 19 games this season. That is 0.32 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Tenerife vs Ceuta with 11 starters a side: Tenerife line up 4-4-2 and Ceuta 4-3-3, ahead of the 13:00 UK time kick-off on Sunday 15 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Tenerife the favourite with a 49% chance of winning, against 24% for Ceuta and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Tenerife 1.5 - 1.0 Ceuta.
The most likely score in Tenerife vs Ceuta is 1-1, a draw, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 49% likely and over 2.5 goals 46%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Tenerife vs Ceuta, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Tenerife 1.5 - 1.0 Ceuta in goals. It gives Tenerife a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ceuta 24%. Both teams to score is 49% likely, over 1.5 goals 72% and over 2.5 goals 46%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Tenerife win | 12% |
| 2-0 | Tenerife win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Tenerife win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Tenerife vs Ceuta, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Tenerife | Fouls committed | Ceuta | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Gallego | 27 | G. Okoro | 19 |
| 2 | F. Assis | 12 | A. Camacho | 13 |
| 3 | C. Gomis | 11 | C. Hernández | 13 |
| 4 | J. Sánchez | 9 | J. González | 9 |
| 5 | N. Gil | 7 | J. Matos | 8 |
| # | Tenerife | Shots | Ceuta | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Gallego | 23 | K. Zalazar | 32 |
| 2 | N. Gil | 12 | J. Escobar | 23 |
| 3 | C. Gomis | 9 | A. Camacho | 21 |
| 4 | F. Assis | 7 | E. Sevikyan | 14 |
| 5 | D. Fernández | 5 | C. Hernández | 12 |
| # | Tenerife | Shots on target | Ceuta | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Gallego | 7 | J. Escobar | 9 |
| 2 | C. Gomis | 6 | A. Camacho | 8 |
| 3 | F. Assis | 4 | K. Zalazar | 6 |
| 4 | N. Gil | 3 | O. Sadik | 4 |
| 5 | N. Viereck | 1 | C. Hernández | 4 |
| # | Tenerife | Goals | Ceuta | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Gallego | 6 | C. Hernández | 4 |
| 2 | C. Gomis | 2 | J. Escobar | 3 |
| 3 | N. Gil | 1 | Y. Bodiger | 1 |
| 4 | G. Ranos | 1 | A. Camacho | 1 |
| 5 | F. Assis | 1 |
| # | Tenerife | Yellow cards | Ceuta | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Gallego | 4 | C. Hernández | 4 |
| 2 | J. Sánchez | 3 | K. Zalazar | 3 |
| 3 | D. Martín | 2 | G. Okoro | 3 |
| 4 | A. Landázuri | 2 | M. Illescas | 2 |
| 5 | D. Rodríguez | 2 | J. Escobar | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 17 of 22 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 12 of 22 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 22 of 22 |
| Shots on target | 2.9 | 22 of 22 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 12 of 22 |
| Tackles | 17.9 | 4 of 22 |
| Passes | 336 | 21 of 22 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 18 of 22 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 | 22 of 22 |
| Goals against | 2.3 | 22 of 22 |
| Shots | 15.7 | 3 of 22 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 11 of 22 |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 11 of 22 |
| Tackles | 17 | 9 of 22 |
| Passes | 401.8 | 15 of 22 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 2 of 22 |