Updated 9 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | Grimsby win | 9.4% |
| 0-1 | Grimsby win | 7.1% |
| 2-1 | Swindon win | 7.1% |
| 0-2 | Grimsby win | 7.0% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 6.3% |
| 1-3 | Grimsby win | 5.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.2% |
| 1-0 | Swindon win | 5.1% |
| 0-3 | Grimsby win | 4.2% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Swindon clean sheet | 17% |
| Grimsby clean sheet | 26% |
The most likely score in Swindon vs Grimsby is 1-1, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-2 at 9%. The League Two game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Swindon 1.34 - 1.78 Grimsby in goals for Swindon vs Grimsby, with over 2.5 goals 60% likely and both teams to score 62%.
Statz projects 21 players for Swindon vs Grimsby on Saturday 14 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
Swindon host Grimsby at The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium, Swindon on 14 November 2026 at 15:00 in League Two. Swindon's last five results: D W D W L (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Grimsby's last five: L D W W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Swindon have won 3, Grimsby 2, with 1 draw.
Swindon vs Grimsby kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in League Two, at The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium, Swindon. The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium holds 15,728 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
Swindon vs Grimsby is being played at The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium in Swindon on Saturday 14 November 2026, the home ground of Swindon, which holds 15,728 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of League Two.
Swindon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4, with results reading L D W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to Rotherham in the League Two on 31 October.
Grimsby have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8, with results reading L L D W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 5-2 win at home to York in the League Two on 31 October.
Across the last 6 meetings Swindon have won 3, Grimsby have won 2 and 1 was drawn, with Swindon scoring 11 goals to Grimsby's 10. The most recent was Grimsby Town 4-0 Swindon Town on 25 April 2026 in the League Two.
Aaron Drinan leads Swindon with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Swindon player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Swindon player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Kieran Green leads Grimsby with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Grimsby player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Grimsby player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Swindon vs Grimsby is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Swindon's XI from their 2-1 win v Rotherham at home on Sat 31 Oct 2026, and Grimsby's XI from their 5-2 win v York at home on Sat 31 Oct 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Grimsby the favourite with a 47% chance of winning, against 28% for Swindon and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Swindon 1.3 - 1.8 Grimsby.
The most likely score in Swindon vs Grimsby is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 62% likely and over 2.5 goals 60%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Swindon vs Grimsby, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | League Two | Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town | 4-0 |
| 22 Nov 2025 | League Two | Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town | 2-2 |
| 18 Apr 2025 | League Two | Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town | 0-4 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | League Two | Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town | 3-1 |
| 20 Apr 2024 | League Two | Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town | 2-0 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | League Two | Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Swindon 1.3 - 1.8 Grimsby in goals. It gives Swindon a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Grimsby 47%. Both teams to score is 62% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 60%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 0-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Grimsby win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Grimsby win | 7% |
| 2-1 | Swindon win | 7% |
| 0-2 | Grimsby win | 7% |
Predicted lineups for Swindon vs Grimsby are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Swindon's XI from their 2-1 win v Rotherham at home on Sat 31 Oct 2026, and Grimsby's XI from their 5-2 win v York at home on Sat 31 Oct 2026.
| # | Swindon | Fouls committed | Grimsby | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Munda | 12 | M. Kacurri | 13 |
| 2 | J. Thomson | 11 | J. Sweeney | 12 |
| 3 | J. Ball | 11 | J. Walker | 12 |
| 4 | K. Majekodunmi | 8 | K. Green | 10 |
| 5 | S. Negru | 7 | J. Amaluzor | 10 |
| # | Swindon | Shots | Grimsby | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Drinan | 26 | C. Vernam | 24 |
| 2 | J. Hungbo | 17 | I. Morgan | 22 |
| 3 | J. Snowdon | 10 | A. Cook | 18 |
| 4 | O. Clarke | 9 | K. Green | 16 |
| 5 | A. Munda | 9 | J. Walker | 14 |
| # | Swindon | Shots on target | Grimsby | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Drinan | 12 | C. Vernam | 12 |
| 2 | J. Snowdon | 6 | I. Morgan | 6 |
| 3 | J. Hungbo | 4 | K. Green | 5 |
| 4 | A. Munda | 3 | A. Cook | 5 |
| 5 | M. Virtue-Thick | 3 | H. Rodgers | 4 |
| # | Swindon | Goals | Grimsby | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Drinan | 6 | K. Green | 4 |
| 2 | J. Hungbo | 2 | I. Morgan | 3 |
| 3 | J. Thomson | 1 | G. Turi | 3 |
| 4 | M. Clark | 1 | C. McJannett | 1 |
| 5 | J. Andrews | 1 |
| # | Swindon | Yellow cards | Grimsby | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Majekodunmi | 3 | M. Kacurri | 3 |
| 2 | D. Butler | 2 | C. Vernam | 3 |
| 3 | J. Ball | 2 | K. Green | 3 |
| 4 | O. Clarke | 2 | G. Turi | 2 |
| 5 | L. Millard | 1 | J. Walker | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 17 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 7 of 24 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 21 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 22 of 24 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 23 of 24 |
| Tackles | 19.9 | 1 of 24 |
| Passes | 335.7 | 19 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 20 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 4 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 11 of 24 |
| Shots | 16.6 | 2 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 2 of 24 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 15 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15.6 | 5 of 24 |
| Passes | 356.1 | 13 of 24 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 2 of 24 |