| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Senegal win | 17.1% |
| 0-1 | Senegal win | 16.9% |
| 0-3 | Senegal win | 11.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.3% |
| 1-2 | Senegal win | 7.9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 7.7% |
| 0-4 | Senegal win | 5.9% |
| 1-3 | Senegal win | 5.3% |
| 1-0 | Sudan win | 3.8% |
| 1-4 | Senegal win | 2.7% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 32% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Sudan clean sheet | 13% |
| Senegal clean sheet | 63% |
The most likely score in Sudan vs Senegal is 0-2, a 17% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-1 at 17%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Sudan 0.46 - 2.03 Senegal in goals for Sudan vs Senegal, with over 2.5 goals 45% likely and both teams to score 32%.
Statz projects 19 players for Sudan vs Senegal on Monday 16 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 13:00 UK time kick-off.
Sudan host Senegal at Juba Stadium, Juba on 16 November 2026 at 13:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Sudan's last five results: D D W L L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Senegal's last five: W L D W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 4 meetings, Sudan have won 0, Senegal 3, with 1 draw.
Sudan vs Senegal kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Juba Stadium, Juba. Juba Stadium holds 7,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 13:00.
Sudan vs Senegal is being played at Juba Stadium in Juba on Monday 16 November 2026, the home ground of Sudan, which holds 7,000 people. Kick-off is at 13:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Sudan have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8, with results reading D D W L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-4 defeat away to Senegal in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 12 November.
Senegal have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5, with results reading W L D W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 4-1 win at home to Sudan in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 12 November.
Across the last 4 meetings Sudan have won 0, Senegal have won 3 and 1 was drawn, with Sudan scoring 2 goals to Senegal's 9. The most recent was Senegal 4-1 Sudan on 12 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Aamir Abdallah leads Sudan with 11 shots across their last 10 games, 1.1 a game, the most of any Sudan player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Sudan player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Ismaïla Sarr leads Senegal with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Senegal player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Senegal player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Hillary Hambaba is the referee for Sudan vs Senegal, averaging 27.0 fouls and 3.5 yellow cards per game across 2 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Until the team news for Sudan vs Senegal is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Sudan's XI from their 1-4 defeat at Senegal on Thu 12 Nov 2026, and Senegal's XI from their 4-1 win v Sudan at home on Thu 12 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Senegal the favourite with a 75% chance of winning, against 7% for Sudan and 18% for the draw. Projected goals are Sudan 0.5 - 2.0 Senegal.
The most likely score in Sudan vs Senegal is 0-2, a Senegal win, at 17%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 32% likely and over 2.5 goals 45%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Sudan vs Senegal, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Senegal vs Sudan | 4-1 |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations | Senegal vs Sudan | 3-1 |
| 5 Sep 2025 | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Senegal vs Sudan | 2-0 |
| 22 Mar 2025 | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Sudan vs Senegal | 0-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Sudan 0.5 - 2.0 Senegal in goals. It gives Sudan a 7% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Senegal 75%. Both teams to score is 32% likely, over 1.5 goals 71% and over 2.5 goals 45%. The most likely scorelines are 0-2 (17%), 0-1 (17%), 0-3 (12%), 0-0 (8%), 1-2 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Senegal win | 17% |
| 0-1 | Senegal win | 17% |
| 0-3 | Senegal win | 12% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
| 1-2 | Senegal win | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Sudan vs Senegal are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Sudan's XI from their 1-4 defeat at Senegal on Thu 12 Nov 2026, and Senegal's XI from their 4-1 win v Sudan at home on Thu 12 Nov 2026.
| # | Sudan | Fouls committed | Senegal | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Omer | 7 | L. Camara | 12 |
| 2 | A. Nooh | 7 | E. Diouf | 11 |
| 3 | S. Barglan | 6 | P. Gueye | 9 |
| 4 | S. Adil | 6 | N. Jackson | 7 |
| 5 | M. Karshom | 5 | K. Diatta | 6 |
| # | Sudan | Shots | Senegal | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Abdallah | 11 | I. Sarr | 17 |
| 2 | M. Eisa | 6 | N. Jackson | 17 |
| 3 | A. Omer | 4 | P. Gueye | 12 |
| 4 | S. Barglan | 4 | S. Mané | 9 |
| 5 | A. Taifour | 3 | I. Mbaye | 8 |
| # | Sudan | Shots on target | Senegal | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Eisa | 3 | N. Jackson | 7 |
| 2 | A. Abdallah | 2 | I. Sarr | 6 |
| 3 | Y. Boshara | 2 | S. Mané | 5 |
| 4 | S. Barglan | 1 | I. Mbaye | 4 |
| 5 | A. Nooh | 1 | P. Gueye | 4 |
| # | Sudan | Goals | Senegal | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Abdallah | 1 | I. Sarr | 4 |
| 2 | M. Eisa | 1 | I. Mbaye | 3 |
| 3 | Y. Hamed | 1 | H. Diarra | 2 |
| 4 | M. Abuaagla | 1 | P. Gueye | 2 |
| 5 | S. Mané | 2 |
| # | Sudan | Yellow cards | Senegal | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Barglan | 2 | P. Gueye | 3 |
| 2 | S. Adil | 2 | L. Camara | 2 |
| 3 | A. Tabanja | 2 | A. Seck | 1 |
| 4 | M. Ahmed | 1 | I. Gueye | 1 |
| 5 | W. Khidir | 1 | L. Sy | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 35 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 8 of 58 |
| Shots | 6 | 40 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 26 of 58 |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 18 of 58 |
| Passes | 0 | 48 of 58 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 36 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.4 | 7 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.3 | 5 of 58 |
| Shots | 11 | 9 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 5 of 58 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 39 of 58 |
| Passes | 1.5 | 23 of 58 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 23 of 58 |