Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | Birmingham win | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | Birmingham win | 8.7% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.6% |
| 1-0 | Stoke win | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | Stoke win | 7.5% |
| 0-2 | Birmingham win | 7.3% |
| 2-0 | Stoke win | 5.4% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.2% |
| 1-3 | Birmingham win | 4.0% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Stoke clean sheet | 25% |
| Birmingham clean sheet | 30% |
The most likely score in Stoke vs Birmingham is 1-1, a 14% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-1 at 10%. The Championship game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Stoke 1.19 - 1.38 Birmingham in goals for Stoke vs Birmingham, with over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 53%.
Statz projects 22 players for Stoke vs Birmingham on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
Stoke host Birmingham at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on 21 November 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. Stoke's last five results: W D W W W (4 wins and 1 draw). Birmingham's last five: W L W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Stoke have won 2, Birmingham 2, with 2 draws.
Stoke vs Birmingham kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Championship, at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke. Bet365 Stadium holds 30,089 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
Stoke vs Birmingham is being played at Bet365 Stadium in Stoke on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Stoke, which holds 30,089 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Championship.
Stoke have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2, with results reading W D W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win away to Portsmouth in the Championship on 7 November.
Birmingham have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3, with results reading W L W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to Swansea in the Championship on 7 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Stoke have won 2, Birmingham have won 2 and 2 were drawn, with Stoke scoring 7 goals to Birmingham's 6. The most recent was Birmingham City 1-1 Stoke City on 24 January 2026 in the Championship.
Jack McGlynn leads Stoke with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Stoke player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Stoke player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
August Priske leads Birmingham with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Birmingham player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Birmingham player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Stoke vs Birmingham with 11 starters a side: Stoke line up 3-4-3 and Birmingham 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 15:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Birmingham the favourite with a 40% chance of winning, against 31% for Stoke and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Stoke 1.2 - 1.4 Birmingham.
The most likely score in Stoke vs Birmingham is 1-1, a draw, at 14%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 48%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Stoke vs Birmingham, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Championship | Birmingham City vs Stoke City | 1-1 |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Championship | Stoke City vs Birmingham City | 1-0 |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Championship | Stoke City vs Birmingham City | 1-2 |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Championship | Birmingham City vs Stoke City | 1-3 |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Championship | Birmingham City vs Stoke City | 0-0 |
| 5 Nov 2022 | Championship | Stoke City vs Birmingham City | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Stoke 1.2 - 1.4 Birmingham in goals. It gives Stoke a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Birmingham 40%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 74% and over 2.5 goals 48%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 0-1 | Birmingham win | 10% |
| 1-2 | Birmingham win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 1-0 | Stoke win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Stoke vs Birmingham, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Stoke | Fouls committed | Birmingham | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Soumaré | 15 | J. Stansfield | 18 |
| 2 | B. Wilmot | 12 | C. Klarer | 15 |
| 3 | L. Graham | 11 | A. Cochrane | 11 |
| 4 | B. Johnson | 10 | T. Iwata | 11 |
| 5 | R. Boženík | 10 | A. Priske | 10 |
| # | Stoke | Shots | Birmingham | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. McGlynn | 15 | J. Stansfield | 31 |
| 2 | E. Galbraith | 12 | A. Priske | 19 |
| 3 | R. Boženík | 12 | L. Millar | 17 |
| 4 | B. Wilmot | 10 | C. Vicente | 15 |
| 5 | B. Johnson | 9 | T. Iwata | 12 |
| # | Stoke | Shots on target | Birmingham | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. McGlynn | 7 | J. Stansfield | 15 |
| 2 | E. Galbraith | 4 | A. Priske | 10 |
| 3 | B. Wilmot | 4 | L. Millar | 9 |
| 4 | B. Johnson | 4 | M. Bird | 6 |
| 5 | R. Boženík | 3 | C. Vicente | 5 |
| # | Stoke | Goals | Birmingham | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. McGlynn | 5 | A. Priske | 5 |
| 2 | B. Wilmot | 3 | L. Millar | 4 |
| 3 | L. Graham | 1 | J. Stansfield | 3 |
| 4 | R. Boženík | 1 | A. Cochrane | 2 |
| 5 | L. Cissé | 1 | D. Gray | 2 |
| # | Stoke | Yellow cards | Birmingham | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Galbraith | 3 | A. Cochrane | 3 |
| 2 | D. Soumaré | 3 | C. Vicente | 3 |
| 3 | R. Boženík | 2 | E. Laird | 2 |
| 4 | J. Tchamadeu | 2 | J. Stansfield | 2 |
| 5 | L. Graham | 2 | L. Millar | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Stoke vs Birmingham: Ethan Galbraith 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.53); Jay Stansfield 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40); Jack McGlynn 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.62); Ben Wilmot 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.73). Combined odds 6 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 9 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 8 of 24 |
| Shots | 11.3 | 22 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 20 of 24 |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 1 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15.6 | 11 of 24 |
| Passes | 367.7 | 18 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 19 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 5 of 24 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 1 of 24 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 8 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 | 5 of 24 |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 6 of 24 |
| Tackles | 14.6 | 20 of 24 |
| Passes | 399.1 | 14 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 10 of 24 |