Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Ghana win | 18.5% |
| 0-3 | Ghana win | 16.4% |
| 0-1 | Ghana win | 14.0% |
| 0-4 | Ghana win | 10.9% |
| 0-5 | Ghana win | 5.8% |
| 1-2 | Ghana win | 5.4% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.3% |
| 1-3 | Ghana win | 4.8% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 4.1% |
| 1-4 | Ghana win | 3.2% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 23% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Somalia clean sheet | 7% |
| Ghana clean sheet | 75% |
The most likely score in Somalia vs Ghana is 0-2, a 19% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-3 at 16%. The Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Somalia 0.29 - 2.65 Ghana in goals for Somalia vs Ghana, with over 2.5 goals 56% likely and both teams to score 23%.
Statz projects 22 players for Somalia vs Ghana on Monday 16 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
Somalia host Ghana at Accra Sports Stadium, Accra on 16 November 2026 at 15:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Somalia's last five results: D D L L L (2 draws and 3 losses). Ghana's last five: L L L L W (1 win and 4 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Somalia have won 0, Ghana 1, with 0 draws.
Somalia vs Ghana kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Accra Sports Stadium, Accra. Accra Sports Stadium holds 40,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
Somalia vs Ghana is being played at Accra Sports Stadium in Accra on Monday 16 November 2026, the home ground of Somalia, which holds 40,000 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Somalia have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6, with results reading D D L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat away to Ghana in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 12 November.
Ghana have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9, with results reading L L L L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win at home to Somalia in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 12 November.
Across the last 1 meetings Somalia have won 0, Ghana have won 1 and 0 were drawn, with Somalia scoring 0 goals to Ghana's 2. The most recent was Ghana 2-0 Somalia on 12 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Sakariya Hassan leads Somalia with 3 shots across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Somalia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Somalia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Issahaku Fatawu leads Ghana with 10 shots across their last 10 games, 1.0 a game, the most of any Ghana player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Ghana player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Somalia vs Ghana with 11 starters a side: Somalia line up 4-3-3 and Ghana 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 15:00 UK time kick-off on Monday 16 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Ghana the favourite with a 87% chance of winning, against 3% for Somalia and 10% for the draw. Projected goals are Somalia 0.3 - 2.7 Ghana.
The most likely score in Somalia vs Ghana is 0-2, a Ghana win, at 19%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 23% likely and over 2.5 goals 56%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Somalia vs Ghana, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Ghana vs Somalia | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Somalia 0.3 - 2.7 Ghana in goals. It gives Somalia a 3% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Ghana 87%. Both teams to score is 23% likely, over 1.5 goals 79% and over 2.5 goals 56%. The most likely scorelines are 0-2 (19%), 0-3 (16%), 0-1 (14%), 0-4 (11%), 0-5 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Ghana win | 19% |
| 0-3 | Ghana win | 16% |
| 0-1 | Ghana win | 14% |
| 0-4 | Ghana win | 11% |
| 0-5 | Ghana win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Somalia vs Ghana, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Somalia | Fouls committed | Ghana | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Hassan | 12 | C. Yirenkyi | 10 |
| 2 | A. Gigli | 5 | K. Sibo | 9 |
| 3 | A. Sharif | 4 | G. Mensah | 9 |
| 4 | A. Abdullahi | 4 | J. Ayew | 8 |
| 5 | A. Abdulle | 3 | M. Senaya | 8 |
| # | Somalia | Shots | Ghana | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Hassan | 3 | I. Fatawu | 10 |
| 2 | A. Abdulle | 2 | F. Afena-Gyan | 10 |
| 3 | A. Gigli | 1 | E. Nuamah | 7 |
| 4 | A. Abdullahi | 1 | J. Adjetey | 5 |
| 5 | B. Njie | 1 | J. Ayew | 5 |
| # | Somalia | Shots on target | Ghana | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Njie | 1 | F. Afena-Gyan | 5 |
| 2 | S. Hassan | 1 | C. Yirenkyi | 3 |
| 3 | M. Nour | 1 | J. Adjetey | 2 |
| 4 | J. Ayew | 2 | ||
| 5 | E. Nuamah | 2 |
| # | Somalia | Goals | Ghana | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Njie | 1 | C. Yirenkyi | 2 |
| 2 | F. Afena-Gyan | 2 | ||
| 3 | D. Luckassen | 1 | ||
| 4 | E. Nuamah | 1 | ||
| 5 | J. Adjetey | 1 |
| # | Somalia | Yellow cards | Ghana | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Abdullahi | 2 | A. Seidu | 2 |
| 2 | F. Ahmed | 1 | C. Yirenkyi | 2 |
| 3 | S. Hassan | 1 | K. Oppong | 2 |
| 4 | A. Abdulle | 1 | I. Fatawu | 1 |
| 5 | A. Sharif | 1 | I. Williams | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.3 | 52 of 58 |
| Goals against | 2 | 47 of 58 |
| Shots | 4.8 | 51 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 2.1 | 46 of 58 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 41 of 58 |
| Passes | 0 | 50 of 58 |
| Corners | 2.6 | 44 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 8 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 10 of 58 |
| Shots | 11 | 8 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 | 12 of 58 |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 30 of 58 |
| Passes | 1.3 | 24 of 58 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 22 of 58 |